Analysis of the Impact of Atmospheric Models on the Orbit Prediction of Space Debris

Atmospheric drag is an important influencing factor in precise orbit determination and the prediction of low-orbit space debris. It has received widespread attention. Currently, calculating atmospheric drag mainly relies on different atmospheric density models. This experiment was designed to explor...

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Main Authors: Yigao Ding, Zhenwei Li, Chengzhi Liu, Zhe Kang, Mingguo Sun, Jiannan Sun, Long Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-11-01
Series:Sensors
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/23/21/8993
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author Yigao Ding
Zhenwei Li
Chengzhi Liu
Zhe Kang
Mingguo Sun
Jiannan Sun
Long Chen
author_facet Yigao Ding
Zhenwei Li
Chengzhi Liu
Zhe Kang
Mingguo Sun
Jiannan Sun
Long Chen
author_sort Yigao Ding
collection DOAJ
description Atmospheric drag is an important influencing factor in precise orbit determination and the prediction of low-orbit space debris. It has received widespread attention. Currently, calculating atmospheric drag mainly relies on different atmospheric density models. This experiment was designed to explore the impact of different atmospheric density models on the orbit prediction of space debris. In the experiment, satellite laser ranging data published by the ILRS (International Laser Ranging Service) were used as the basis for the precise orbit determination for space debris. The prediction error of space debris orbits at different orbital heights using different atmospheric density models was used as a criterion to evaluate the impact of atmospheric density models on the determination of space-target orbits. Eight atmospheric density models, DTM78, DTM94, DTM2000, J71, RJ71, JB2006, MSIS86, and NRLMSISE00, were compared in the experiment. The experimental results indicated that the DTM2000 atmospheric density model is best for determining and predicting the orbits of LEO (low-Earth-orbit) targets.
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spelling doaj.art-13ccb2d2f0504f028278049ee76d31bb2023-11-10T15:13:04ZengMDPI AGSensors1424-82202023-11-012321899310.3390/s23218993Analysis of the Impact of Atmospheric Models on the Orbit Prediction of Space DebrisYigao Ding0Zhenwei Li1Chengzhi Liu2Zhe Kang3Mingguo Sun4Jiannan Sun5Long Chen6Changchun Observatory, National Astronomical Observatories Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130117, ChinaChangchun Observatory, National Astronomical Observatories Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130117, ChinaChangchun Observatory, National Astronomical Observatories Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130117, ChinaChangchun Observatory, National Astronomical Observatories Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130117, ChinaChangchun Observatory, National Astronomical Observatories Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130117, ChinaChangchun Observatory, National Astronomical Observatories Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130117, ChinaChangchun Observatory, National Astronomical Observatories Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130117, ChinaAtmospheric drag is an important influencing factor in precise orbit determination and the prediction of low-orbit space debris. It has received widespread attention. Currently, calculating atmospheric drag mainly relies on different atmospheric density models. This experiment was designed to explore the impact of different atmospheric density models on the orbit prediction of space debris. In the experiment, satellite laser ranging data published by the ILRS (International Laser Ranging Service) were used as the basis for the precise orbit determination for space debris. The prediction error of space debris orbits at different orbital heights using different atmospheric density models was used as a criterion to evaluate the impact of atmospheric density models on the determination of space-target orbits. Eight atmospheric density models, DTM78, DTM94, DTM2000, J71, RJ71, JB2006, MSIS86, and NRLMSISE00, were compared in the experiment. The experimental results indicated that the DTM2000 atmospheric density model is best for determining and predicting the orbits of LEO (low-Earth-orbit) targets.https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/23/21/8993atmospheric modelorbit determinationorbit prediction
spellingShingle Yigao Ding
Zhenwei Li
Chengzhi Liu
Zhe Kang
Mingguo Sun
Jiannan Sun
Long Chen
Analysis of the Impact of Atmospheric Models on the Orbit Prediction of Space Debris
Sensors
atmospheric model
orbit determination
orbit prediction
title Analysis of the Impact of Atmospheric Models on the Orbit Prediction of Space Debris
title_full Analysis of the Impact of Atmospheric Models on the Orbit Prediction of Space Debris
title_fullStr Analysis of the Impact of Atmospheric Models on the Orbit Prediction of Space Debris
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of the Impact of Atmospheric Models on the Orbit Prediction of Space Debris
title_short Analysis of the Impact of Atmospheric Models on the Orbit Prediction of Space Debris
title_sort analysis of the impact of atmospheric models on the orbit prediction of space debris
topic atmospheric model
orbit determination
orbit prediction
url https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/23/21/8993
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