Short-term effects of air pollution on hospital admissions for cardiovascular diseases and diabetes mellitus in Sofia, Bulgaria (2009–2018)
Bulgaria has a very high incidence of cardiometabolic diseases and air pollution-related mortality rate. This study investigated the relationship between daily air pollution levels and hospital admissions for ischaemic heart diseases (IHD), cerebral infarction (CI), and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Sciendo
2023-03-01
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Series: | Arhiv za Higijenu Rada i Toksikologiju |
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.2478/aiht-2023-74-3704 |
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author | Dzhambov Angel M. Dikova Krasimira Georgieva Tzveta Panev Teodor I. Mukhtarov Plamen Dimitrova Reneta |
author_facet | Dzhambov Angel M. Dikova Krasimira Georgieva Tzveta Panev Teodor I. Mukhtarov Plamen Dimitrova Reneta |
author_sort | Dzhambov Angel M. |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Bulgaria has a very high incidence of cardiometabolic diseases and air pollution-related mortality rate. This study investigated the relationship between daily air pollution levels and hospital admissions for ischaemic heart diseases (IHD), cerebral infarction (CI), and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in Sofia, Bulgaria. We obtained daily data on hospitals admissions and daily average air pollution levels from 2009 to 2018. Pollutants of interest were particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulphur dioxide (SO2), ozone (O3), and carbon monoxide (CO). Negative binomial regressions were fitted to study the effects of air pollution on hospital admission over the course of seven days prior to that event, accounting for autocorrelations and time trend in the data, day of the week, temperature, and relative humidity. Our findings confirm that higher air pollution levels generally increase the risk of hospital admissions for IHD and CI. For T2DM the association is less clear. Admissions often lagged several days behind and were more common in specific demographic subgroups or when pollution crossed a particular threshold. However, we did not expect to find the risk of hospital admissions increased in warmer rather than colder months of the year. Our findings are to be taken with reservation but do provide an idea about how air pollution could trigger acute episodes of related cardiovascular diseases, and our model may serve to investigate similar associations across the country. |
first_indexed | 2024-03-13T07:14:39Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-13df5cc4e4ef4ffe971a5af3922975df |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1848-6312 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-13T07:14:39Z |
publishDate | 2023-03-01 |
publisher | Sciendo |
record_format | Article |
series | Arhiv za Higijenu Rada i Toksikologiju |
spelling | doaj.art-13df5cc4e4ef4ffe971a5af3922975df2023-06-05T09:18:20ZengSciendoArhiv za Higijenu Rada i Toksikologiju1848-63122023-03-01741486010.2478/aiht-2023-74-3704Short-term effects of air pollution on hospital admissions for cardiovascular diseases and diabetes mellitus in Sofia, Bulgaria (2009–2018)Dzhambov Angel M.0Dikova Krasimira1Georgieva Tzveta2Panev Teodor I.3Mukhtarov Plamen4Dimitrova Reneta51Medical University of Plovdiv Faculty of Public Health, Department of Hygiene, Plovdiv, Bulgaria3Ministry of Health, National Centre of Public Health and Analyses, Sofia, Bulgaria3Ministry of Health, National Centre of Public Health and Analyses, Sofia, Bulgaria3Ministry of Health, National Centre of Public Health and Analyses, Sofia, Bulgaria4Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, National Institute of Geophysics, Geodesy and Geography, Sofia, Bulgaria4Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, National Institute of Geophysics, Geodesy and Geography, Sofia, BulgariaBulgaria has a very high incidence of cardiometabolic diseases and air pollution-related mortality rate. This study investigated the relationship between daily air pollution levels and hospital admissions for ischaemic heart diseases (IHD), cerebral infarction (CI), and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in Sofia, Bulgaria. We obtained daily data on hospitals admissions and daily average air pollution levels from 2009 to 2018. Pollutants of interest were particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulphur dioxide (SO2), ozone (O3), and carbon monoxide (CO). Negative binomial regressions were fitted to study the effects of air pollution on hospital admission over the course of seven days prior to that event, accounting for autocorrelations and time trend in the data, day of the week, temperature, and relative humidity. Our findings confirm that higher air pollution levels generally increase the risk of hospital admissions for IHD and CI. For T2DM the association is less clear. Admissions often lagged several days behind and were more common in specific demographic subgroups or when pollution crossed a particular threshold. However, we did not expect to find the risk of hospital admissions increased in warmer rather than colder months of the year. Our findings are to be taken with reservation but do provide an idea about how air pollution could trigger acute episodes of related cardiovascular diseases, and our model may serve to investigate similar associations across the country.https://doi.org/10.2478/aiht-2023-74-3704exacerbationischaemic heart diseasesparticulate matterstroketime seriestype 2 diabetes mellitusishemijske bolesti srcalebdeće česticemoždani udarpogoršanješećerna bolest tipa 2vremenski niz |
spellingShingle | Dzhambov Angel M. Dikova Krasimira Georgieva Tzveta Panev Teodor I. Mukhtarov Plamen Dimitrova Reneta Short-term effects of air pollution on hospital admissions for cardiovascular diseases and diabetes mellitus in Sofia, Bulgaria (2009–2018) Arhiv za Higijenu Rada i Toksikologiju exacerbation ischaemic heart diseases particulate matter stroke time series type 2 diabetes mellitus ishemijske bolesti srca lebdeće čestice moždani udar pogoršanje šećerna bolest tipa 2 vremenski niz |
title | Short-term effects of air pollution on hospital admissions for cardiovascular diseases and diabetes mellitus in Sofia, Bulgaria (2009–2018) |
title_full | Short-term effects of air pollution on hospital admissions for cardiovascular diseases and diabetes mellitus in Sofia, Bulgaria (2009–2018) |
title_fullStr | Short-term effects of air pollution on hospital admissions for cardiovascular diseases and diabetes mellitus in Sofia, Bulgaria (2009–2018) |
title_full_unstemmed | Short-term effects of air pollution on hospital admissions for cardiovascular diseases and diabetes mellitus in Sofia, Bulgaria (2009–2018) |
title_short | Short-term effects of air pollution on hospital admissions for cardiovascular diseases and diabetes mellitus in Sofia, Bulgaria (2009–2018) |
title_sort | short term effects of air pollution on hospital admissions for cardiovascular diseases and diabetes mellitus in sofia bulgaria 2009 2018 |
topic | exacerbation ischaemic heart diseases particulate matter stroke time series type 2 diabetes mellitus ishemijske bolesti srca lebdeće čestice moždani udar pogoršanje šećerna bolest tipa 2 vremenski niz |
url | https://doi.org/10.2478/aiht-2023-74-3704 |
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