Inter-seasonal connection of typical European heatwave patterns to soil moisture
Abstract Although prolonged heat periods have become a recurring feature of European climate, little knowledge is available on dominant spatial patterns of heatwaves and their influence on moisture-related processes. Increased knowledge will help to improve heatwave and drought prediction and mitiga...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Nature Portfolio
2023-01-01
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| Series: | npj Climate and Atmospheric Science |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00330-5 |
| _version_ | 1797945996871729152 |
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| author | Elizaveta Felsche Andrea Böhnisch Ralf Ludwig |
| author_facet | Elizaveta Felsche Andrea Böhnisch Ralf Ludwig |
| author_sort | Elizaveta Felsche |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Although prolonged heat periods have become a recurring feature of European climate, little knowledge is available on dominant spatial patterns of heatwaves and their influence on moisture-related processes. Increased knowledge will help to improve heatwave and drought prediction and mitigation. This study uses hierarchical agglomerative clustering to derive nine dominating spatial heatwave patterns from a 50-member regional climate model (Canadian Regional Climate Model version 5, CRCM5-LE). The heatwave patterns correspond well with clusters derived from an observational data set (E-OBS) and with extreme historical heatwave events. Moreover, we analyse the occurrence of heatwaves in the identified spatial patterns regarding a soil moisture deficit present before and after the event. We show that negative soil moisture anomalies in the preceding winter/spring (JFMA) can serve as a predictor for heatwaves in South Europe. For North Europe, we find a negative correlation between the number of heatwave days in summer and autumn (OND) soil moisture content. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-10T21:03:53Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-13e91f7fb9fc4db99eef3dfcf4755762 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2397-3722 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-10T21:03:53Z |
| publishDate | 2023-01-01 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
| record_format | Article |
| series | npj Climate and Atmospheric Science |
| spelling | doaj.art-13e91f7fb9fc4db99eef3dfcf47557622023-01-22T12:08:34ZengNature Portfolionpj Climate and Atmospheric Science2397-37222023-01-016111110.1038/s41612-023-00330-5Inter-seasonal connection of typical European heatwave patterns to soil moistureElizaveta Felsche0Andrea Böhnisch1Ralf Ludwig2Technical University of MunichDepartment of Geography, Ludwig-Maximilans-Universität MünchenDepartment of Geography, Ludwig-Maximilans-Universität MünchenAbstract Although prolonged heat periods have become a recurring feature of European climate, little knowledge is available on dominant spatial patterns of heatwaves and their influence on moisture-related processes. Increased knowledge will help to improve heatwave and drought prediction and mitigation. This study uses hierarchical agglomerative clustering to derive nine dominating spatial heatwave patterns from a 50-member regional climate model (Canadian Regional Climate Model version 5, CRCM5-LE). The heatwave patterns correspond well with clusters derived from an observational data set (E-OBS) and with extreme historical heatwave events. Moreover, we analyse the occurrence of heatwaves in the identified spatial patterns regarding a soil moisture deficit present before and after the event. We show that negative soil moisture anomalies in the preceding winter/spring (JFMA) can serve as a predictor for heatwaves in South Europe. For North Europe, we find a negative correlation between the number of heatwave days in summer and autumn (OND) soil moisture content.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00330-5 |
| spellingShingle | Elizaveta Felsche Andrea Böhnisch Ralf Ludwig Inter-seasonal connection of typical European heatwave patterns to soil moisture npj Climate and Atmospheric Science |
| title | Inter-seasonal connection of typical European heatwave patterns to soil moisture |
| title_full | Inter-seasonal connection of typical European heatwave patterns to soil moisture |
| title_fullStr | Inter-seasonal connection of typical European heatwave patterns to soil moisture |
| title_full_unstemmed | Inter-seasonal connection of typical European heatwave patterns to soil moisture |
| title_short | Inter-seasonal connection of typical European heatwave patterns to soil moisture |
| title_sort | inter seasonal connection of typical european heatwave patterns to soil moisture |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00330-5 |
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