ESTIMATING TAX REVENUES ON ECONOMIC GROWTH FOR SOUTHEAST EUROPEAN COUNTRIES

The study aims to identify and empirically analyze the impact of direct tax and indirect tax revenues on economic growth in the transition countries of Southeast Europe, based on panel data for the period 2005-2019. Factors that are included in the study as independent variables are direct tax and...

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Main Authors: Luljeta Gllogjani, Esat Durguti
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Institute for Research and European Studies 2023-12-01
Series:Journal of Liberty and International Affairs
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.e-jlia.com/index.php/jlia/article/view/1194
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author Luljeta Gllogjani
Esat Durguti
author_facet Luljeta Gllogjani
Esat Durguti
author_sort Luljeta Gllogjani
collection DOAJ
description The study aims to identify and empirically analyze the impact of direct tax and indirect tax revenues on economic growth in the transition countries of Southeast Europe, based on panel data for the period 2005-2019. Factors that are included in the study as independent variables are direct tax and indirect tax revenues. In contrast, the dependent variable is defined as the annual GDP growth in percentage, an indicator of economic growth. The econometric approach is OLS regression analysis, random effects regression, and fixed effects regression. The model’s reliability has been tested by applying diagnostic tests, such as autocorrelation, normal distribution, and heteroscedasticity. Moreover, the result of the Breusch and Pagan Lagrangian multiplier and Hausman test suggests that the adequate model is a regression with fixed effects. Therefore, the findings with a regression with fixed effects confirm that the revenues from indirect taxes resulted in a positive and statistically significant effect. In contrast, direct tax revenues did not significantly affect economic growth but resulted in a positive sign. The analysis through the econometric model enabled the achievement of the aims set in this paper and the achievement of the final goal, providing observed evidence that the role of tax policy is crucial to encouraging economic growth.
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spelling doaj.art-13f1a1ddf35b49f191cd2a42624c0f722023-12-30T19:15:43ZengInstitute for Research and European StudiesJournal of Liberty and International Affairs1857-97602023-12-019310.47305/JLIA2393121gESTIMATING TAX REVENUES ON ECONOMIC GROWTH FOR SOUTHEAST EUROPEAN COUNTRIESLuljeta Gllogjani0Esat Durguti1Faculty of Economics, University of Prishtina “Hasan Prishtina”, Kosovo University “Isa Boletini”, Faculty of Economics - Mitrovica, Kosovo The study aims to identify and empirically analyze the impact of direct tax and indirect tax revenues on economic growth in the transition countries of Southeast Europe, based on panel data for the period 2005-2019. Factors that are included in the study as independent variables are direct tax and indirect tax revenues. In contrast, the dependent variable is defined as the annual GDP growth in percentage, an indicator of economic growth. The econometric approach is OLS regression analysis, random effects regression, and fixed effects regression. The model’s reliability has been tested by applying diagnostic tests, such as autocorrelation, normal distribution, and heteroscedasticity. Moreover, the result of the Breusch and Pagan Lagrangian multiplier and Hausman test suggests that the adequate model is a regression with fixed effects. Therefore, the findings with a regression with fixed effects confirm that the revenues from indirect taxes resulted in a positive and statistically significant effect. In contrast, direct tax revenues did not significantly affect economic growth but resulted in a positive sign. The analysis through the econometric model enabled the achievement of the aims set in this paper and the achievement of the final goal, providing observed evidence that the role of tax policy is crucial to encouraging economic growth. https://www.e-jlia.com/index.php/jlia/article/view/1194Economic GrowthDirect TaxesIndirect TaxesPanel Data
spellingShingle Luljeta Gllogjani
Esat Durguti
ESTIMATING TAX REVENUES ON ECONOMIC GROWTH FOR SOUTHEAST EUROPEAN COUNTRIES
Journal of Liberty and International Affairs
Economic Growth
Direct Taxes
Indirect Taxes
Panel Data
title ESTIMATING TAX REVENUES ON ECONOMIC GROWTH FOR SOUTHEAST EUROPEAN COUNTRIES
title_full ESTIMATING TAX REVENUES ON ECONOMIC GROWTH FOR SOUTHEAST EUROPEAN COUNTRIES
title_fullStr ESTIMATING TAX REVENUES ON ECONOMIC GROWTH FOR SOUTHEAST EUROPEAN COUNTRIES
title_full_unstemmed ESTIMATING TAX REVENUES ON ECONOMIC GROWTH FOR SOUTHEAST EUROPEAN COUNTRIES
title_short ESTIMATING TAX REVENUES ON ECONOMIC GROWTH FOR SOUTHEAST EUROPEAN COUNTRIES
title_sort estimating tax revenues on economic growth for southeast european countries
topic Economic Growth
Direct Taxes
Indirect Taxes
Panel Data
url https://www.e-jlia.com/index.php/jlia/article/view/1194
work_keys_str_mv AT luljetagllogjani estimatingtaxrevenuesoneconomicgrowthforsoutheasteuropeancountries
AT esatdurguti estimatingtaxrevenuesoneconomicgrowthforsoutheasteuropeancountries