Experts’ Perceptions of Water Security in Central Asia: results from a Delphi study

Water security in Central Asia has been discussed by researchers and international organizations using hydrological, engineering, and modeling approaches. Various frameworks conceptualize water security through technical, socio-economic, and environmental aspects. This study attempts to identify the...

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Main Author: Aliya Assubayeva
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Kazakh German University 2021-02-01
Series:Central Asian Journal of Water Research
Subjects:
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author Aliya Assubayeva
author_facet Aliya Assubayeva
author_sort Aliya Assubayeva
collection DOAJ
description Water security in Central Asia has been discussed by researchers and international organizations using hydrological, engineering, and modeling approaches. Various frameworks conceptualize water security through technical, socio-economic, and environmental aspects. This study attempts to identify the current trends of perceptions of experts about water security in Central Asian countries and Afghanistan as assessed through different regional and international experts with relevant knowledge and experience. The experts originate from diverse professional backgrounds like ministries, NGOs, international organizations, research, and academic institutes. The analysis was conducted through the Delphi approach, which has been widely used to identify experts’ views by reaching a consensus on various subjects. The Delphi method assisted in the elicitation of experts’ opinions about different water security dimensions in the overall region and each Central Asia country that have been suggested from the relevant literature. The two-round questionnaire was developed to infer the experts’ views (round 1) on water security in Central Asia and then identify the agreement’s rate with the initial findings (round 2). The results have shown that, while the relevant scientific literature gives priority to environmental factors, the experts emphasize water security’s economic aspects. Experts suggested including transboundary challenges, legislative and institutional weaknesses in assessing water security in Central Asia and Afghanistan. Respondents highlighted the low effectiveness or ineffectiveness of the current institutions and mechanisms that dealt with water security-related issues in Central Asia and suggested strengthening water governance in the region.
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spelling doaj.art-141d4e438bae47e1887d5880c64d064e2022-12-21T18:38:52ZengKazakh German UniversityCentral Asian Journal of Water Research2522-90602021-02-01715069https://doi.org/10.29258/CAJWR/2021-R1.v7-1/50-69.engExperts’ Perceptions of Water Security in Central Asia: results from a Delphi studyAliya Assubayeva0Graduate School of Public Policy, Nazarbayev University, Kazakhstan, 010000, Nur-Sultan, Kabanbay Batyr Ave., 53.Water security in Central Asia has been discussed by researchers and international organizations using hydrological, engineering, and modeling approaches. Various frameworks conceptualize water security through technical, socio-economic, and environmental aspects. This study attempts to identify the current trends of perceptions of experts about water security in Central Asian countries and Afghanistan as assessed through different regional and international experts with relevant knowledge and experience. The experts originate from diverse professional backgrounds like ministries, NGOs, international organizations, research, and academic institutes. The analysis was conducted through the Delphi approach, which has been widely used to identify experts’ views by reaching a consensus on various subjects. The Delphi method assisted in the elicitation of experts’ opinions about different water security dimensions in the overall region and each Central Asia country that have been suggested from the relevant literature. The two-round questionnaire was developed to infer the experts’ views (round 1) on water security in Central Asia and then identify the agreement’s rate with the initial findings (round 2). The results have shown that, while the relevant scientific literature gives priority to environmental factors, the experts emphasize water security’s economic aspects. Experts suggested including transboundary challenges, legislative and institutional weaknesses in assessing water security in Central Asia and Afghanistan. Respondents highlighted the low effectiveness or ineffectiveness of the current institutions and mechanisms that dealt with water security-related issues in Central Asia and suggested strengthening water governance in the region.delphi methodwater governancearal sea basinwater resources
spellingShingle Aliya Assubayeva
Experts’ Perceptions of Water Security in Central Asia: results from a Delphi study
Central Asian Journal of Water Research
delphi method
water governance
aral sea basin
water resources
title Experts’ Perceptions of Water Security in Central Asia: results from a Delphi study
title_full Experts’ Perceptions of Water Security in Central Asia: results from a Delphi study
title_fullStr Experts’ Perceptions of Water Security in Central Asia: results from a Delphi study
title_full_unstemmed Experts’ Perceptions of Water Security in Central Asia: results from a Delphi study
title_short Experts’ Perceptions of Water Security in Central Asia: results from a Delphi study
title_sort experts perceptions of water security in central asia results from a delphi study
topic delphi method
water governance
aral sea basin
water resources
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