PREDICTIONEER’S GAME: THE COLLECTIVE VIOLENCE IN ECUADOR
The paper analyses collective violence in Ecuador from the end of September 2010. The situation was characterized as a Coup d'état when violent clashes between hostile camps were identified. The president was attacked by rebellious units of state police that had protested against the planned cu...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | ces |
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University of Defence
2011-12-01
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| Series: | Obrana a Strategie |
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| Online Access: | http://defenceandstrategy.eu/cs/aktualni-cislo-2-2011/clanky/predictioneer-s-game-kolektivne-nasilie-v-ekvadore.html |
| _version_ | 1818642593388429312 |
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| author | Michal Mochťak |
| author_facet | Michal Mochťak |
| author_sort | Michal Mochťak |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The paper analyses collective violence in Ecuador from the end of September 2010. The situation was characterized as a Coup d'état when violent clashes between hostile camps were identified. The president was attacked by rebellious units of state police that had protested against the planned cuts of benefits and salaries in the law enforcement sector. The society was threatened by local riots, temporary anarchy and violent clashes that led to the declaration of state of emergency by president Correa. On the basis of empirical data, the prediction model is designed according to the analytical tool “Predictioneer’s Game“ defined by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita. The prediction is aimed at the forecast of the stability of regime in the context of the events from the 30th September 2010. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-16T23:45:32Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-1425b7818f5e4536a56b5f974b42ddc6 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1214-6463 1802-7199 |
| language | ces |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-16T23:45:32Z |
| publishDate | 2011-12-01 |
| publisher | University of Defence |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Obrana a Strategie |
| spelling | doaj.art-1425b7818f5e4536a56b5f974b42ddc62022-12-21T22:11:30ZcesUniversity of DefenceObrana a Strategie1214-64631802-71992011-12-011126990PREDICTIONEER’S GAME: THE COLLECTIVE VIOLENCE IN ECUADORMichal MochťakThe paper analyses collective violence in Ecuador from the end of September 2010. The situation was characterized as a Coup d'état when violent clashes between hostile camps were identified. The president was attacked by rebellious units of state police that had protested against the planned cuts of benefits and salaries in the law enforcement sector. The society was threatened by local riots, temporary anarchy and violent clashes that led to the declaration of state of emergency by president Correa. On the basis of empirical data, the prediction model is designed according to the analytical tool “Predictioneer’s Game“ defined by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita. The prediction is aimed at the forecast of the stability of regime in the context of the events from the 30th September 2010.http://defenceandstrategy.eu/cs/aktualni-cislo-2-2011/clanky/predictioneer-s-game-kolektivne-nasilie-v-ekvadore.htmlCollective violenceEcuadorpredictionPredictioneer’s Game |
| spellingShingle | Michal Mochťak PREDICTIONEER’S GAME: THE COLLECTIVE VIOLENCE IN ECUADOR Obrana a Strategie Collective violence Ecuador prediction Predictioneer’s Game |
| title | PREDICTIONEER’S GAME: THE COLLECTIVE VIOLENCE IN ECUADOR |
| title_full | PREDICTIONEER’S GAME: THE COLLECTIVE VIOLENCE IN ECUADOR |
| title_fullStr | PREDICTIONEER’S GAME: THE COLLECTIVE VIOLENCE IN ECUADOR |
| title_full_unstemmed | PREDICTIONEER’S GAME: THE COLLECTIVE VIOLENCE IN ECUADOR |
| title_short | PREDICTIONEER’S GAME: THE COLLECTIVE VIOLENCE IN ECUADOR |
| title_sort | predictioneer s game the collective violence in ecuador |
| topic | Collective violence Ecuador prediction Predictioneer’s Game |
| url | http://defenceandstrategy.eu/cs/aktualni-cislo-2-2011/clanky/predictioneer-s-game-kolektivne-nasilie-v-ekvadore.html |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT michalmochtak predictioneersgamethecollectiveviolenceinecuador |