Study Models of COVID-19 in Discrete-Time and Fractional-Order

The novel coronavirus disease (SARS-CoV-2) has caused many infections and deaths throughout the world; the spread of the coronavirus pandemic is still ongoing and continues to affect healthcare systems and economies of countries worldwide. Mathematical models are used in many applications for infect...

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Main Authors: Kamel Djeddi, Tahar Bouali, Ahmed H. Msmali, Abdullah Ali H. Ahmadini, Ali N. A. Koam
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-05-01
Series:Fractal and Fractional
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2504-3110/7/6/446
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author Kamel Djeddi
Tahar Bouali
Ahmed H. Msmali
Abdullah Ali H. Ahmadini
Ali N. A. Koam
author_facet Kamel Djeddi
Tahar Bouali
Ahmed H. Msmali
Abdullah Ali H. Ahmadini
Ali N. A. Koam
author_sort Kamel Djeddi
collection DOAJ
description The novel coronavirus disease (SARS-CoV-2) has caused many infections and deaths throughout the world; the spread of the coronavirus pandemic is still ongoing and continues to affect healthcare systems and economies of countries worldwide. Mathematical models are used in many applications for infectious diseases, including forecasting outbreaks and designing containment strategies. In this paper, we study two types of SIR and SEIR models for the coronavirus. This study focuses on the discrete-time and fractional-order of these models; we study the stability of the fixed points and orbits using the Jacobian matrix and the eigenvalues and eigenvectors of each case; moreover, we estimate the parameters of the two systems in fractional order. We present a statistical study of the coronavirus model in two countries: Saudi Arabia, which has successfully recovered from the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, and China, where the number of infections remains significantly high.
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spelling doaj.art-142a65714b4d43eaa626f4499d0615732023-11-18T10:29:25ZengMDPI AGFractal and Fractional2504-31102023-05-017644610.3390/fractalfract7060446Study Models of COVID-19 in Discrete-Time and Fractional-OrderKamel Djeddi0Tahar Bouali1Ahmed H. Msmali2Abdullah Ali H. Ahmadini3Ali N. A. Koam4Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Larbi Ben MHidi University, Oum El Bouaghi 04000, AlgeriaDepartment of Mathematics, College of Science, Jazan University, Jazan 45142, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Mathematics, College of Science, Jazan University, Jazan 45142, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Mathematics, College of Science, Jazan University, Jazan 45142, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Mathematics, College of Science, Jazan University, Jazan 45142, Saudi ArabiaThe novel coronavirus disease (SARS-CoV-2) has caused many infections and deaths throughout the world; the spread of the coronavirus pandemic is still ongoing and continues to affect healthcare systems and economies of countries worldwide. Mathematical models are used in many applications for infectious diseases, including forecasting outbreaks and designing containment strategies. In this paper, we study two types of SIR and SEIR models for the coronavirus. This study focuses on the discrete-time and fractional-order of these models; we study the stability of the fixed points and orbits using the Jacobian matrix and the eigenvalues and eigenvectors of each case; moreover, we estimate the parameters of the two systems in fractional order. We present a statistical study of the coronavirus model in two countries: Saudi Arabia, which has successfully recovered from the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, and China, where the number of infections remains significantly high.https://www.mdpi.com/2504-3110/7/6/446discrete SIR and SEIR systemsstabilityfractional orderstatistics for Saudi Arabia and Chinaparameter estimation
spellingShingle Kamel Djeddi
Tahar Bouali
Ahmed H. Msmali
Abdullah Ali H. Ahmadini
Ali N. A. Koam
Study Models of COVID-19 in Discrete-Time and Fractional-Order
Fractal and Fractional
discrete SIR and SEIR systems
stability
fractional order
statistics for Saudi Arabia and China
parameter estimation
title Study Models of COVID-19 in Discrete-Time and Fractional-Order
title_full Study Models of COVID-19 in Discrete-Time and Fractional-Order
title_fullStr Study Models of COVID-19 in Discrete-Time and Fractional-Order
title_full_unstemmed Study Models of COVID-19 in Discrete-Time and Fractional-Order
title_short Study Models of COVID-19 in Discrete-Time and Fractional-Order
title_sort study models of covid 19 in discrete time and fractional order
topic discrete SIR and SEIR systems
stability
fractional order
statistics for Saudi Arabia and China
parameter estimation
url https://www.mdpi.com/2504-3110/7/6/446
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