Towards determining Nigeria’s economic growth path: A balance-of-payments constrained growth approach

This paper examines Nigeria’s long run growth path using the externally and internally constrained version of Thirlwall’s growth model from 1982 to 2015. The present study modifies the SCA-BOPCG to take into account the effects the foreign contents in exports growth and the domestic investment. Thre...

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Main Authors: Yohanna Panshak, Irfan Civcir, Hüseyin Ozdeser
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Emerald Publishing 2020-01-01
Series:EconomiA
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1517758019300955
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author Yohanna Panshak
Irfan Civcir
Hüseyin Ozdeser
author_facet Yohanna Panshak
Irfan Civcir
Hüseyin Ozdeser
author_sort Yohanna Panshak
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines Nigeria’s long run growth path using the externally and internally constrained version of Thirlwall’s growth model from 1982 to 2015. The present study modifies the SCA-BOPCG to take into account the effects the foreign contents in exports growth and the domestic investment. Three Stage Least Squares method is used to obtain the required elasticities for the estimation of the domestic income growth. The study affirms the robustness and validity of the modified model in determining the growth path for Nigeria. The outcome of the empirical study reveals that Nigeria’s economic growth process is balance-of-payment constrained. Even though monetary policies improve growth performance, Nigeria sustainably grows faster with policies aiming at improving external balance or reducing the import components of demands, increasing export share to products with high elasticity of demand as well as keeping budget deficits within the universally acceptable limits.
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spelling doaj.art-1431e8892ea54d7ca5bd8f547b93e3c22022-12-22T01:39:06ZengEmerald PublishingEconomiA1517-75802020-01-01211104119Towards determining Nigeria’s economic growth path: A balance-of-payments constrained growth approachYohanna Panshak0Irfan Civcir1Hüseyin Ozdeser2Department of Economics, FEAS, Near East University, CyprusDepartment of Economics, Faculty of Political Science, Ankara University, Turkey; Corresponding author: Ankara University, Faculty of Political Sciences, Cebeci, Ankara, Turkey.Department of Economics, FEAS, Near East University, CyprusThis paper examines Nigeria’s long run growth path using the externally and internally constrained version of Thirlwall’s growth model from 1982 to 2015. The present study modifies the SCA-BOPCG to take into account the effects the foreign contents in exports growth and the domestic investment. Three Stage Least Squares method is used to obtain the required elasticities for the estimation of the domestic income growth. The study affirms the robustness and validity of the modified model in determining the growth path for Nigeria. The outcome of the empirical study reveals that Nigeria’s economic growth process is balance-of-payment constrained. Even though monetary policies improve growth performance, Nigeria sustainably grows faster with policies aiming at improving external balance or reducing the import components of demands, increasing export share to products with high elasticity of demand as well as keeping budget deficits within the universally acceptable limits.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1517758019300955F43E12O24
spellingShingle Yohanna Panshak
Irfan Civcir
Hüseyin Ozdeser
Towards determining Nigeria’s economic growth path: A balance-of-payments constrained growth approach
EconomiA
F43
E12
O24
title Towards determining Nigeria’s economic growth path: A balance-of-payments constrained growth approach
title_full Towards determining Nigeria’s economic growth path: A balance-of-payments constrained growth approach
title_fullStr Towards determining Nigeria’s economic growth path: A balance-of-payments constrained growth approach
title_full_unstemmed Towards determining Nigeria’s economic growth path: A balance-of-payments constrained growth approach
title_short Towards determining Nigeria’s economic growth path: A balance-of-payments constrained growth approach
title_sort towards determining nigeria s economic growth path a balance of payments constrained growth approach
topic F43
E12
O24
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1517758019300955
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AT irfancivcir towardsdeterminingnigeriaseconomicgrowthpathabalanceofpaymentsconstrainedgrowthapproach
AT huseyinozdeser towardsdeterminingnigeriaseconomicgrowthpathabalanceofpaymentsconstrainedgrowthapproach