Investigating global warming's influence on food security in Benin: in-depth analysis of potential implications of climate variability on maize production

Climate change has emerged as a pressing concern affecting nations worldwide, particularly within the African continent, including Benin. Given that maize stands as a staple cereal in Benin, this research to assess the impact and predict the effects of climate change on maize production by the year...

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Main Authors: Yann Emmanuel Miassi, Sinasi Akdemir, Kossivi Fabrice Dossa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-12-01
Series:Journal of Taibah University for Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/16583655.2024.2316361
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author Yann Emmanuel Miassi
Sinasi Akdemir
Kossivi Fabrice Dossa
author_facet Yann Emmanuel Miassi
Sinasi Akdemir
Kossivi Fabrice Dossa
author_sort Yann Emmanuel Miassi
collection DOAJ
description Climate change has emerged as a pressing concern affecting nations worldwide, particularly within the African continent, including Benin. Given that maize stands as a staple cereal in Benin, this research to assess the impact and predict the effects of climate change on maize production by the year 2050. To attain this objective, an assortment of data encompassing climatic conditions, demographic factors, fertilizer application levels, and emissions of environmental pollutants has been collected and analyzed. The data analysis based on ARDL and ARIMA models has unveiled those variables such as emissions of CO2 and CH4 through food waste, peak temperatures, precipitation patterns, and rural population density exert considerable immediate influence over maize production volumes. The predictive models portend an upswing in national maize production volume, albeit accompanied by a probable decline in per capita availability. Policies aimed at controlling activities that generate high levels of air pollutants should be formulated to increase production capacities.
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spelling doaj.art-14447611ba88402f80ba9440af725f2c2024-12-17T11:38:47ZengTaylor & Francis GroupJournal of Taibah University for Science1658-36552024-12-0118110.1080/16583655.2024.2316361Investigating global warming's influence on food security in Benin: in-depth analysis of potential implications of climate variability on maize productionYann Emmanuel Miassi0Sinasi Akdemir1Kossivi Fabrice Dossa2Faculty of Agriculture, Department of Agricultural Economics, Çukurova University, Adana, TurkeyFaculty of Agriculture, Department of Agricultural Economics, Çukurova University, Adana, TurkeyFaculty of Forestry, Geography and Geomatics, Laval University, Quebec, CanadaClimate change has emerged as a pressing concern affecting nations worldwide, particularly within the African continent, including Benin. Given that maize stands as a staple cereal in Benin, this research to assess the impact and predict the effects of climate change on maize production by the year 2050. To attain this objective, an assortment of data encompassing climatic conditions, demographic factors, fertilizer application levels, and emissions of environmental pollutants has been collected and analyzed. The data analysis based on ARDL and ARIMA models has unveiled those variables such as emissions of CO2 and CH4 through food waste, peak temperatures, precipitation patterns, and rural population density exert considerable immediate influence over maize production volumes. The predictive models portend an upswing in national maize production volume, albeit accompanied by a probable decline in per capita availability. Policies aimed at controlling activities that generate high levels of air pollutants should be formulated to increase production capacities.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/16583655.2024.2316361Beninclimate changefood securitymaizeprediction modelsustainability
spellingShingle Yann Emmanuel Miassi
Sinasi Akdemir
Kossivi Fabrice Dossa
Investigating global warming's influence on food security in Benin: in-depth analysis of potential implications of climate variability on maize production
Journal of Taibah University for Science
Benin
climate change
food security
maize
prediction model
sustainability
title Investigating global warming's influence on food security in Benin: in-depth analysis of potential implications of climate variability on maize production
title_full Investigating global warming's influence on food security in Benin: in-depth analysis of potential implications of climate variability on maize production
title_fullStr Investigating global warming's influence on food security in Benin: in-depth analysis of potential implications of climate variability on maize production
title_full_unstemmed Investigating global warming's influence on food security in Benin: in-depth analysis of potential implications of climate variability on maize production
title_short Investigating global warming's influence on food security in Benin: in-depth analysis of potential implications of climate variability on maize production
title_sort investigating global warming s influence on food security in benin in depth analysis of potential implications of climate variability on maize production
topic Benin
climate change
food security
maize
prediction model
sustainability
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/16583655.2024.2316361
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