Impacts of large scale climate modes on the current and future bimodal wave climate of a semi-protected shallow gulf

The bimodal wave climate of the semi-protected shallow Gulf St Vincent in South Australia has been analyzed through a forty-year (1980-2020) wave hindcast and an investigation into the climatic drivers of wave climate anomalies is presented. The sea and swell partitions of the wave climate were mode...

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Main Authors: Benjamin Perry, Bas Huisman, José A. A. Antolínez, Patrick A. Hesp, Graziela Miot da Silva
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2024-04-01
Series:Frontiers in Marine Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2024.1364736/full
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author Benjamin Perry
Bas Huisman
José A. A. Antolínez
Patrick A. Hesp
Graziela Miot da Silva
author_facet Benjamin Perry
Bas Huisman
José A. A. Antolínez
Patrick A. Hesp
Graziela Miot da Silva
author_sort Benjamin Perry
collection DOAJ
description The bimodal wave climate of the semi-protected shallow Gulf St Vincent in South Australia has been analyzed through a forty-year (1980-2020) wave hindcast and an investigation into the climatic drivers of wave climate anomalies is presented. The sea and swell partitions of the wave climate were modelled independently as well as using an integrated model with both partitions represented. The wave hindcast was validated against two wave buoys located off the coast of Adelaide’s metropolitan beaches and key wave parameter anomalies were calculated across the gulf. Teleconnections were investigated, and the Southern Annular Mode is found to have the strongest correlations to wave parameter anomalies while the Southern Oscillation Index and the Dipole Mode Index fluctuations are found to correlate seasonally with wave parameter anomalies. Projected future trends of these climate drivers from literature have been related to the teleconnections found in this study to inform future trends of bimodal wave conditions in the gulf. The Southern Annular Mode is projected to trend positive which will reduce wave height and the westerly component of waves in the gulf, while the Southern Oscillation Index is projected to become more variable in the future which will lead to more extreme winter and spring wave conditions. An understanding of these trends allows coastal managers to pre-emptively manage the impacts of waves on the coastline at a seasonal to annual basis and provides insight into future wave conditions beyond these time periods.
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spelling doaj.art-1451207a54e3414eb1e293dc40b25fec2024-04-17T04:56:35ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Marine Science2296-77452024-04-011110.3389/fmars.2024.13647361364736Impacts of large scale climate modes on the current and future bimodal wave climate of a semi-protected shallow gulfBenjamin Perry0Bas Huisman1José A. A. Antolínez2Patrick A. Hesp3Graziela Miot da Silva4Beach and Dune Systems (BEADS) Laboratory. College of Science and Engineering, Flinders University, Adelaide, SA, AustraliaDeltares, Delft, NetherlandsDepartment of Hydraulic Engineering, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft University of Technology, Delft, NetherlandsBeach and Dune Systems (BEADS) Laboratory. College of Science and Engineering, Flinders University, Adelaide, SA, AustraliaBeach and Dune Systems (BEADS) Laboratory. College of Science and Engineering, Flinders University, Adelaide, SA, AustraliaThe bimodal wave climate of the semi-protected shallow Gulf St Vincent in South Australia has been analyzed through a forty-year (1980-2020) wave hindcast and an investigation into the climatic drivers of wave climate anomalies is presented. The sea and swell partitions of the wave climate were modelled independently as well as using an integrated model with both partitions represented. The wave hindcast was validated against two wave buoys located off the coast of Adelaide’s metropolitan beaches and key wave parameter anomalies were calculated across the gulf. Teleconnections were investigated, and the Southern Annular Mode is found to have the strongest correlations to wave parameter anomalies while the Southern Oscillation Index and the Dipole Mode Index fluctuations are found to correlate seasonally with wave parameter anomalies. Projected future trends of these climate drivers from literature have been related to the teleconnections found in this study to inform future trends of bimodal wave conditions in the gulf. The Southern Annular Mode is projected to trend positive which will reduce wave height and the westerly component of waves in the gulf, while the Southern Oscillation Index is projected to become more variable in the future which will lead to more extreme winter and spring wave conditions. An understanding of these trends allows coastal managers to pre-emptively manage the impacts of waves on the coastline at a seasonal to annual basis and provides insight into future wave conditions beyond these time periods.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2024.1364736/fullwave modellingsouthern annular modeEnsoIndian Ocean DipoleGulf St VincentSouth Australia
spellingShingle Benjamin Perry
Bas Huisman
José A. A. Antolínez
Patrick A. Hesp
Graziela Miot da Silva
Impacts of large scale climate modes on the current and future bimodal wave climate of a semi-protected shallow gulf
Frontiers in Marine Science
wave modelling
southern annular mode
Enso
Indian Ocean Dipole
Gulf St Vincent
South Australia
title Impacts of large scale climate modes on the current and future bimodal wave climate of a semi-protected shallow gulf
title_full Impacts of large scale climate modes on the current and future bimodal wave climate of a semi-protected shallow gulf
title_fullStr Impacts of large scale climate modes on the current and future bimodal wave climate of a semi-protected shallow gulf
title_full_unstemmed Impacts of large scale climate modes on the current and future bimodal wave climate of a semi-protected shallow gulf
title_short Impacts of large scale climate modes on the current and future bimodal wave climate of a semi-protected shallow gulf
title_sort impacts of large scale climate modes on the current and future bimodal wave climate of a semi protected shallow gulf
topic wave modelling
southern annular mode
Enso
Indian Ocean Dipole
Gulf St Vincent
South Australia
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2024.1364736/full
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