Tempo-Adjusted Period Parity Progression Measures:
In this paper we apply tempo-adjusted period parity progression ratios (Kohler and Ortega 2002) to Sweden, the Netherlands and Spain. These countries represent three distinct demographic patterns in contemporary Europe and are of particular interest for demographers. The goal of our analyses is to (...
| Format: | Article |
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| Language: | English |
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
2002-03-01
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| Series: | Demographic Research |
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| Online Access: | http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol6/7/ |
| _version_ | 1828178697445703680 |
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| collection | DOAJ |
| description | In this paper we apply tempo-adjusted period parity progression ratios (Kohler and Ortega 2002) to Sweden, the Netherlands and Spain. These countries represent three distinct demographic patterns in contemporary Europe and are of particular interest for demographers. The goal of our analyses is to (a) describe past fertility trends in these countries in terms of synthetic cohorts and (b) project the level and distribution of completed fertility in cohorts who have not finished childbearing. Our analyses suggest that the most recent period fertility patterns in these countries do not imply substantial increases in childlessness even in younger cohorts. Moreover, if these patterns prevail in the future, young cohorts would reach completed fertility levels between 1.5-1.75. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-12T05:19:55Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-1452c3fe86e04a98b2b5022470cbda5b |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1435-9871 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-12T05:19:55Z |
| publishDate | 2002-03-01 |
| publisher | Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Demographic Research |
| spelling | doaj.art-1452c3fe86e04a98b2b5022470cbda5b2022-12-22T03:46:29ZengMax Planck Institute for Demographic ResearchDemographic Research1435-98712002-03-0167Tempo-Adjusted Period Parity Progression Measures:In this paper we apply tempo-adjusted period parity progression ratios (Kohler and Ortega 2002) to Sweden, the Netherlands and Spain. These countries represent three distinct demographic patterns in contemporary Europe and are of particular interest for demographers. The goal of our analyses is to (a) describe past fertility trends in these countries in terms of synthetic cohorts and (b) project the level and distribution of completed fertility in cohorts who have not finished childbearing. Our analyses suggest that the most recent period fertility patterns in these countries do not imply substantial increases in childlessness even in younger cohorts. Moreover, if these patterns prevail in the future, young cohorts would reach completed fertility levels between 1.5-1.75.http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol6/7/fertilityNetherlandsSweden |
| spellingShingle | Tempo-Adjusted Period Parity Progression Measures: Demographic Research fertility Netherlands Sweden |
| title | Tempo-Adjusted Period Parity Progression Measures: |
| title_full | Tempo-Adjusted Period Parity Progression Measures: |
| title_fullStr | Tempo-Adjusted Period Parity Progression Measures: |
| title_full_unstemmed | Tempo-Adjusted Period Parity Progression Measures: |
| title_short | Tempo-Adjusted Period Parity Progression Measures: |
| title_sort | tempo adjusted period parity progression measures |
| topic | fertility Netherlands Sweden |
| url | http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol6/7/ |