Warmer and wetter: Outlining climate services for snow-dependent tourism in Norway – The case of Lofoten
Human-induced climate change potentially impacts nature-based activities in Lofoten and may limit the attractiveness of the destination for tourists seeking recreation and adventure in the mountains. As a climate service, we calculated climate indicators relevant to the tourism sector based on the r...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2023-12-01
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| Series: | Climate Services |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405880723000675 |
| _version_ | 1797450894337376256 |
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| author | Stephanie Mayer Elinah Khasandi Kuya Karin Antonsen Bruno Abegg Inger Hanssen-Bauer |
| author_facet | Stephanie Mayer Elinah Khasandi Kuya Karin Antonsen Bruno Abegg Inger Hanssen-Bauer |
| author_sort | Stephanie Mayer |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Human-induced climate change potentially impacts nature-based activities in Lofoten and may limit the attractiveness of the destination for tourists seeking recreation and adventure in the mountains. As a climate service, we calculated climate indicators relevant to the tourism sector based on the representative concentration pathways RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 until 2060. We used high-resolution gridded climate data and projections to calculate indicators such as changes in the frequency and intensity of consecutive wet days, changes in precipitation type (snow, sleet, rain), changes in the number of skiing days on ungroomed, natural snow, and changes of the monthly 0 °C-isoline. We found a minor, but non-robust increase in the number of consecutive wet days with a precipitation intensity > 8 mm/day, and a clear change in the precipitation regime depending on altitude that leads to more precipitation falling as rain instead of snow. Also, a strong decrease in the number of skiing days is projected by the climate models as the monthly near-surface 0 °C-isoline increases. These are important findings for long-term planning and investments in the tourism sector in Lofoten, especially as tourism growth is considered an important tool for regional economic development. The analytical methods used in this study are transferable to analyses on a regional to national scale. National maps and data material for 11 regions were recently published on https://klimaservicesenter.no/kss/framskr/sno-sludd-regn. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-09T14:46:08Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-149131f20c484669bd28c6e4f39c9b22 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2405-8807 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-09T14:46:08Z |
| publishDate | 2023-12-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Climate Services |
| spelling | doaj.art-149131f20c484669bd28c6e4f39c9b222023-11-27T04:14:53ZengElsevierClimate Services2405-88072023-12-0132100405Warmer and wetter: Outlining climate services for snow-dependent tourism in Norway – The case of LofotenStephanie Mayer0Elinah Khasandi Kuya1Karin Antonsen2Bruno Abegg3Inger Hanssen-Bauer4NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Climate, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway; Corresponding author at: NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Postboks 22 Nygårdstangen, 5838 Bergen, Norway.Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, NorwayNordland Research Institute, Bodø, NorwayUniversity of St. Gallen, Institute for Systemic Management and Public Governance, St. Gallen, SwitzerlandNorwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, NorwayHuman-induced climate change potentially impacts nature-based activities in Lofoten and may limit the attractiveness of the destination for tourists seeking recreation and adventure in the mountains. As a climate service, we calculated climate indicators relevant to the tourism sector based on the representative concentration pathways RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 until 2060. We used high-resolution gridded climate data and projections to calculate indicators such as changes in the frequency and intensity of consecutive wet days, changes in precipitation type (snow, sleet, rain), changes in the number of skiing days on ungroomed, natural snow, and changes of the monthly 0 °C-isoline. We found a minor, but non-robust increase in the number of consecutive wet days with a precipitation intensity > 8 mm/day, and a clear change in the precipitation regime depending on altitude that leads to more precipitation falling as rain instead of snow. Also, a strong decrease in the number of skiing days is projected by the climate models as the monthly near-surface 0 °C-isoline increases. These are important findings for long-term planning and investments in the tourism sector in Lofoten, especially as tourism growth is considered an important tool for regional economic development. The analytical methods used in this study are transferable to analyses on a regional to national scale. National maps and data material for 11 regions were recently published on https://klimaservicesenter.no/kss/framskr/sno-sludd-regn.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405880723000675Climate changeSnow-dependent activitiesTourismClimate serviceLofotenNorway |
| spellingShingle | Stephanie Mayer Elinah Khasandi Kuya Karin Antonsen Bruno Abegg Inger Hanssen-Bauer Warmer and wetter: Outlining climate services for snow-dependent tourism in Norway – The case of Lofoten Climate Services Climate change Snow-dependent activities Tourism Climate service Lofoten Norway |
| title | Warmer and wetter: Outlining climate services for snow-dependent tourism in Norway – The case of Lofoten |
| title_full | Warmer and wetter: Outlining climate services for snow-dependent tourism in Norway – The case of Lofoten |
| title_fullStr | Warmer and wetter: Outlining climate services for snow-dependent tourism in Norway – The case of Lofoten |
| title_full_unstemmed | Warmer and wetter: Outlining climate services for snow-dependent tourism in Norway – The case of Lofoten |
| title_short | Warmer and wetter: Outlining climate services for snow-dependent tourism in Norway – The case of Lofoten |
| title_sort | warmer and wetter outlining climate services for snow dependent tourism in norway the case of lofoten |
| topic | Climate change Snow-dependent activities Tourism Climate service Lofoten Norway |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405880723000675 |
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