On Neyman-Pearson Theory: Information Content of an Experiment and a Fancy Paradox
Two topics, connected with Neyman-Pearson theory of testing hypotheses, are treated in this article. The first topic is related to the information content of an experiment; after a short outline of ordinal comparability of experiments, the two most popular information measures – by Fisher and by Kul...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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University of Bologna
2007-10-01
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Series: | Statistica |
Online Access: | http://rivista-statistica.unibo.it/article/view/38 |
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author | Benito Vittorio Frosini |
author_facet | Benito Vittorio Frosini |
author_sort | Benito Vittorio Frosini |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Two topics, connected with Neyman-Pearson theory of testing hypotheses, are treated in this article. The first topic is related to the information content of an experiment; after a short outline of ordinal comparability of experiments, the two most popular information measures – by Fisher and by Kullback-Leibler – are considered. As far as we require a comparison of two experiments at a time, the superiority of the couple (a,b) of the two error probabilities in the Neyman-Pearson approach is easily established, owing to their clear operational meaning. The second topic deals with the so called Jeffreys – or Lindley – paradox: it can be shown that, if we attach a positive probability to a point null hypothesis, some «paradoxical» posterior probabilities – in a Bayesian approach – result in sharp contrast with the error probabilities in the Neyman-Pearson approach. It is argued that such results are simply the outcomes of absurd assumptions, and it is shown that sensible assumptions about interval – not point – hypotheses can yield posterior probabilities perfectly compatible with the Neyman-Pearson approach (although one must be very careful in making such comparisons, as the two approaches are radically different both in assumptions and in purposes). |
first_indexed | 2024-04-11T23:52:38Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-1491f6620aa84ca6b3ee344ef94fac1b |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 0390-590X 1973-2201 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-11T23:52:38Z |
publishDate | 2007-10-01 |
publisher | University of Bologna |
record_format | Article |
series | Statistica |
spelling | doaj.art-1491f6620aa84ca6b3ee344ef94fac1b2022-12-22T03:56:26ZengUniversity of BolognaStatistica0390-590X1973-22012007-10-0164227128610.6092/issn.1973-2201/3834On Neyman-Pearson Theory: Information Content of an Experiment and a Fancy ParadoxBenito Vittorio Frosini0Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, MilanoTwo topics, connected with Neyman-Pearson theory of testing hypotheses, are treated in this article. The first topic is related to the information content of an experiment; after a short outline of ordinal comparability of experiments, the two most popular information measures – by Fisher and by Kullback-Leibler – are considered. As far as we require a comparison of two experiments at a time, the superiority of the couple (a,b) of the two error probabilities in the Neyman-Pearson approach is easily established, owing to their clear operational meaning. The second topic deals with the so called Jeffreys – or Lindley – paradox: it can be shown that, if we attach a positive probability to a point null hypothesis, some «paradoxical» posterior probabilities – in a Bayesian approach – result in sharp contrast with the error probabilities in the Neyman-Pearson approach. It is argued that such results are simply the outcomes of absurd assumptions, and it is shown that sensible assumptions about interval – not point – hypotheses can yield posterior probabilities perfectly compatible with the Neyman-Pearson approach (although one must be very careful in making such comparisons, as the two approaches are radically different both in assumptions and in purposes).http://rivista-statistica.unibo.it/article/view/38 |
spellingShingle | Benito Vittorio Frosini On Neyman-Pearson Theory: Information Content of an Experiment and a Fancy Paradox Statistica |
title | On Neyman-Pearson Theory: Information Content of an Experiment and a Fancy Paradox |
title_full | On Neyman-Pearson Theory: Information Content of an Experiment and a Fancy Paradox |
title_fullStr | On Neyman-Pearson Theory: Information Content of an Experiment and a Fancy Paradox |
title_full_unstemmed | On Neyman-Pearson Theory: Information Content of an Experiment and a Fancy Paradox |
title_short | On Neyman-Pearson Theory: Information Content of an Experiment and a Fancy Paradox |
title_sort | on neyman pearson theory information content of an experiment and a fancy paradox |
url | http://rivista-statistica.unibo.it/article/view/38 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT benitovittoriofrosini onneymanpearsontheoryinformationcontentofanexperimentandafancyparadox |