On Neyman-Pearson Theory: Information Content of an Experiment and a Fancy Paradox

Two topics, connected with Neyman-Pearson theory of testing hypotheses, are treated in this article. The first topic is related to the information content of an experiment; after a short outline of ordinal comparability of experiments, the two most popular information measures – by Fisher and by Kul...

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Main Author: Benito Vittorio Frosini
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Bologna 2007-10-01
Series:Statistica
Online Access:http://rivista-statistica.unibo.it/article/view/38
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author Benito Vittorio Frosini
author_facet Benito Vittorio Frosini
author_sort Benito Vittorio Frosini
collection DOAJ
description Two topics, connected with Neyman-Pearson theory of testing hypotheses, are treated in this article. The first topic is related to the information content of an experiment; after a short outline of ordinal comparability of experiments, the two most popular information measures – by Fisher and by Kullback-Leibler – are considered. As far as we require a comparison of two experiments at a time, the superiority of the couple (a,b) of the two error probabilities in the Neyman-Pearson approach is easily established, owing to their clear operational meaning. The second topic deals with the so called Jeffreys – or Lindley – paradox: it can be shown that, if we attach a positive probability to a point null hypothesis, some «paradoxical» posterior probabilities – in a Bayesian approach – result in sharp contrast with the error probabilities in the Neyman-Pearson approach. It is argued that such results are simply the outcomes of absurd assumptions, and it is shown that sensible assumptions about interval – not point – hypotheses can yield posterior probabilities perfectly compatible with the Neyman-Pearson approach (although one must be very careful in making such comparisons, as the two approaches are radically different both in assumptions and in purposes).
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spelling doaj.art-1491f6620aa84ca6b3ee344ef94fac1b2022-12-22T03:56:26ZengUniversity of BolognaStatistica0390-590X1973-22012007-10-0164227128610.6092/issn.1973-2201/3834On Neyman-Pearson Theory: Information Content of an Experiment and a Fancy ParadoxBenito Vittorio Frosini0Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, MilanoTwo topics, connected with Neyman-Pearson theory of testing hypotheses, are treated in this article. The first topic is related to the information content of an experiment; after a short outline of ordinal comparability of experiments, the two most popular information measures – by Fisher and by Kullback-Leibler – are considered. As far as we require a comparison of two experiments at a time, the superiority of the couple (a,b) of the two error probabilities in the Neyman-Pearson approach is easily established, owing to their clear operational meaning. The second topic deals with the so called Jeffreys – or Lindley – paradox: it can be shown that, if we attach a positive probability to a point null hypothesis, some «paradoxical» posterior probabilities – in a Bayesian approach – result in sharp contrast with the error probabilities in the Neyman-Pearson approach. It is argued that such results are simply the outcomes of absurd assumptions, and it is shown that sensible assumptions about interval – not point – hypotheses can yield posterior probabilities perfectly compatible with the Neyman-Pearson approach (although one must be very careful in making such comparisons, as the two approaches are radically different both in assumptions and in purposes).http://rivista-statistica.unibo.it/article/view/38
spellingShingle Benito Vittorio Frosini
On Neyman-Pearson Theory: Information Content of an Experiment and a Fancy Paradox
Statistica
title On Neyman-Pearson Theory: Information Content of an Experiment and a Fancy Paradox
title_full On Neyman-Pearson Theory: Information Content of an Experiment and a Fancy Paradox
title_fullStr On Neyman-Pearson Theory: Information Content of an Experiment and a Fancy Paradox
title_full_unstemmed On Neyman-Pearson Theory: Information Content of an Experiment and a Fancy Paradox
title_short On Neyman-Pearson Theory: Information Content of an Experiment and a Fancy Paradox
title_sort on neyman pearson theory information content of an experiment and a fancy paradox
url http://rivista-statistica.unibo.it/article/view/38
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