Impact of climate change on agricultural production; Issues, challenges, and opportunities in Asia
Agricultural production is under threat due to climate change in food insecure regions, especially in Asian countries. Various climate-driven extremes, i.e., drought, heat waves, erratic and intense rainfall patterns, storms, floods, and emerging insect pests have adversely affected the livelihood o...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Frontiers Media S.A.
2022-10-01
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| Series: | Frontiers in Plant Science |
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| Online Access: | https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2022.925548/full |
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| author | Muhammad Habib-ur-Rahman Muhammad Habib-ur-Rahman Ashfaq Ahmad Ashfaq Ahmad Ahsan Raza Muhammad Usama Hasnain Hesham F. Alharby Yahya M. Alzahrani Atif A. Bamagoos Khalid Rehman Hakeem Khalid Rehman Hakeem Khalid Rehman Hakeem Saeed Ahmad Saeed Ahmad Wajid Nasim Shafaqat Ali Fatma Mansour Ayman EL Sabagh Ayman EL Sabagh |
| author_facet | Muhammad Habib-ur-Rahman Muhammad Habib-ur-Rahman Ashfaq Ahmad Ashfaq Ahmad Ahsan Raza Muhammad Usama Hasnain Hesham F. Alharby Yahya M. Alzahrani Atif A. Bamagoos Khalid Rehman Hakeem Khalid Rehman Hakeem Khalid Rehman Hakeem Saeed Ahmad Saeed Ahmad Wajid Nasim Shafaqat Ali Fatma Mansour Ayman EL Sabagh Ayman EL Sabagh |
| author_sort | Muhammad Habib-ur-Rahman |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Agricultural production is under threat due to climate change in food insecure regions, especially in Asian countries. Various climate-driven extremes, i.e., drought, heat waves, erratic and intense rainfall patterns, storms, floods, and emerging insect pests have adversely affected the livelihood of the farmers. Future climatic predictions showed a significant increase in temperature, and erratic rainfall with higher intensity while variability exists in climatic patterns for climate extremes prediction. For mid-century (2040–2069), it is projected that there will be a rise of 2.8°C in maximum temperature and a 2.2°C in minimum temperature in Pakistan. To respond to the adverse effects of climate change scenarios, there is a need to optimize the climate-smart and resilient agricultural practices and technology for sustainable productivity. Therefore, a case study was carried out to quantify climate change effects on rice and wheat crops and to develop adaptation strategies for the rice-wheat cropping system during the mid-century (2040–2069) as these two crops have significant contributions to food production. For the quantification of adverse impacts of climate change in farmer fields, a multidisciplinary approach consisted of five climate models (GCMs), two crop models (DSSAT and APSIM) and an economic model [Trade-off Analysis, Minimum Data Model Approach (TOAMD)] was used in this case study. DSSAT predicted that there would be a yield reduction of 15.2% in rice and 14.1% in wheat and APSIM showed that there would be a yield reduction of 17.2% in rice and 12% in wheat. Adaptation technology, by modification in crop management like sowing time and density, nitrogen, and irrigation application have the potential to enhance the overall productivity and profitability of the rice-wheat cropping system under climate change scenarios. Moreover, this paper reviews current literature regarding adverse climate change impacts on agricultural productivity, associated main issues, challenges, and opportunities for sustainable productivity of agriculture to ensure food security in Asia. Flowing opportunities such as altering sowing time and planting density of crops, crop rotation with legumes, agroforestry, mixed livestock systems, climate resilient plants, livestock and fish breeds, farming of monogastric livestock, early warning systems and decision support systems, carbon sequestration, climate, water, energy, and soil smart technologies, and promotion of biodiversity have the potential to reduce the negative effects of climate change. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-11T09:30:54Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-14931758f2764633a288ddb513975f9b |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1664-462X |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-11T09:30:54Z |
| publishDate | 2022-10-01 |
| publisher | Frontiers Media S.A. |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Frontiers in Plant Science |
| spelling | doaj.art-14931758f2764633a288ddb513975f9b2022-12-22T04:31:53ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Plant Science1664-462X2022-10-011310.3389/fpls.2022.925548925548Impact of climate change on agricultural production; Issues, challenges, and opportunities in AsiaMuhammad Habib-ur-Rahman0Muhammad Habib-ur-Rahman1Ashfaq Ahmad2Ashfaq Ahmad3Ahsan Raza4Muhammad Usama Hasnain5Hesham F. Alharby6Yahya M. Alzahrani7Atif A. Bamagoos8Khalid Rehman Hakeem9Khalid Rehman Hakeem10Khalid Rehman Hakeem11Saeed Ahmad12Saeed Ahmad13Wajid Nasim14Shafaqat Ali15Fatma Mansour16Ayman EL Sabagh17Ayman EL Sabagh18Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation (INRES), Crop Science Group, University of Bonn, Bonn, GermanyDepartment of Agronomy, MNS-University of Agriculture, Multan, PakistanAsian Disaster Preparedness Center, Islamabad, PakistanDepartment of Agronomy, University of Agriculture Faisalabad, Faisalabad, PakistanInstitute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation (INRES), Crop Science Group, University of Bonn, Bonn, GermanyDepartment of Agronomy, University of Agriculture Faisalabad, Faisalabad, PakistanDepartment of Biological Sciences, Faculty of Science, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Biological Sciences, Faculty of Science, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Biological Sciences, Faculty of Science, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Biological Sciences, Faculty of Science, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Saudi ArabiaPrincess Dr. Najla Bint Saud Al-Saud Center for Excellence Research in Biotechnology, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Public Health, Daffodil International University, Dhaka, BangladeshInstitute of Plant Breeding and Biotechnology, MNS-University of Agriculture, Multan, PakistanDepartment of Agronomy, The Islamia University, Bahwalpur, PakistanDepartment of Agronomy, The Islamia University, Bahwalpur, Pakistan0Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Government College University, Faisalabad, Pakistan1Department of Economics, Business and Economics Faculty, Siirt University, Siirt, Turkey2Department of Agronomy, Faculty of Agriculture, Kafrelsheikh University, Kafrelsheikh, Egypt3Department of Field Crops, Faculty of Agriculture, Siirt University, Siirt, TurkeyAgricultural production is under threat due to climate change in food insecure regions, especially in Asian countries. Various climate-driven extremes, i.e., drought, heat waves, erratic and intense rainfall patterns, storms, floods, and emerging insect pests have adversely affected the livelihood of the farmers. Future climatic predictions showed a significant increase in temperature, and erratic rainfall with higher intensity while variability exists in climatic patterns for climate extremes prediction. For mid-century (2040–2069), it is projected that there will be a rise of 2.8°C in maximum temperature and a 2.2°C in minimum temperature in Pakistan. To respond to the adverse effects of climate change scenarios, there is a need to optimize the climate-smart and resilient agricultural practices and technology for sustainable productivity. Therefore, a case study was carried out to quantify climate change effects on rice and wheat crops and to develop adaptation strategies for the rice-wheat cropping system during the mid-century (2040–2069) as these two crops have significant contributions to food production. For the quantification of adverse impacts of climate change in farmer fields, a multidisciplinary approach consisted of five climate models (GCMs), two crop models (DSSAT and APSIM) and an economic model [Trade-off Analysis, Minimum Data Model Approach (TOAMD)] was used in this case study. DSSAT predicted that there would be a yield reduction of 15.2% in rice and 14.1% in wheat and APSIM showed that there would be a yield reduction of 17.2% in rice and 12% in wheat. Adaptation technology, by modification in crop management like sowing time and density, nitrogen, and irrigation application have the potential to enhance the overall productivity and profitability of the rice-wheat cropping system under climate change scenarios. Moreover, this paper reviews current literature regarding adverse climate change impacts on agricultural productivity, associated main issues, challenges, and opportunities for sustainable productivity of agriculture to ensure food security in Asia. Flowing opportunities such as altering sowing time and planting density of crops, crop rotation with legumes, agroforestry, mixed livestock systems, climate resilient plants, livestock and fish breeds, farming of monogastric livestock, early warning systems and decision support systems, carbon sequestration, climate, water, energy, and soil smart technologies, and promotion of biodiversity have the potential to reduce the negative effects of climate change.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2022.925548/fullclimate variabilityyield reductionlivestockelevated temperatureadaptationclimate and crop modeling |
| spellingShingle | Muhammad Habib-ur-Rahman Muhammad Habib-ur-Rahman Ashfaq Ahmad Ashfaq Ahmad Ahsan Raza Muhammad Usama Hasnain Hesham F. Alharby Yahya M. Alzahrani Atif A. Bamagoos Khalid Rehman Hakeem Khalid Rehman Hakeem Khalid Rehman Hakeem Saeed Ahmad Saeed Ahmad Wajid Nasim Shafaqat Ali Fatma Mansour Ayman EL Sabagh Ayman EL Sabagh Impact of climate change on agricultural production; Issues, challenges, and opportunities in Asia Frontiers in Plant Science climate variability yield reduction livestock elevated temperature adaptation climate and crop modeling |
| title | Impact of climate change on agricultural production; Issues, challenges, and opportunities in Asia |
| title_full | Impact of climate change on agricultural production; Issues, challenges, and opportunities in Asia |
| title_fullStr | Impact of climate change on agricultural production; Issues, challenges, and opportunities in Asia |
| title_full_unstemmed | Impact of climate change on agricultural production; Issues, challenges, and opportunities in Asia |
| title_short | Impact of climate change on agricultural production; Issues, challenges, and opportunities in Asia |
| title_sort | impact of climate change on agricultural production issues challenges and opportunities in asia |
| topic | climate variability yield reduction livestock elevated temperature adaptation climate and crop modeling |
| url | https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2022.925548/full |
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