Induction, Experimentation and Causation in the Social Sciences

Inductive thinking is a universal human habit; we generalise from our experiences the best we can. The induction problem is to identify which observed regularities provide reasonable justification for inductive conclusions. In the natural sciences, we can often use strict laws in making successful i...

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Main Author: Lars-Göran Johansson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-12-01
Series:Philosophies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2409-9287/6/4/105
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author Lars-Göran Johansson
author_facet Lars-Göran Johansson
author_sort Lars-Göran Johansson
collection DOAJ
description Inductive thinking is a universal human habit; we generalise from our experiences the best we can. The induction problem is to identify which observed regularities provide reasonable justification for inductive conclusions. In the natural sciences, we can often use strict laws in making successful inferences about unobserved states of affairs. In the social sciences, by contrast, we have no strict laws, only regularities which most often are conditioned on ceteris paribus clauses. This makes it much more difficult to make reliable inferences in the social sciences. In particular, we want knowledge about general causal relations in order to be able to determine what to do in order to achieve a certain state of affairs. Knowledge about causal relations that are also valid in the future requires experiments or so called ‘natural experiments’. Only knowledge derived from such experiences enable us to draw reasonably reliable inferences about how to act in order to achieve our goals.
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spelling doaj.art-14977c97b69241dc81e182a66d9406372024-04-03T09:23:13ZengMDPI AGPhilosophies2409-92872021-12-016410510.3390/philosophies6040105Induction, Experimentation and Causation in the Social SciencesLars-Göran Johansson0Department of Philosophy, Uppsala University, P.O. Box 256, 751 05 Uppsala, SwedenInductive thinking is a universal human habit; we generalise from our experiences the best we can. The induction problem is to identify which observed regularities provide reasonable justification for inductive conclusions. In the natural sciences, we can often use strict laws in making successful inferences about unobserved states of affairs. In the social sciences, by contrast, we have no strict laws, only regularities which most often are conditioned on ceteris paribus clauses. This makes it much more difficult to make reliable inferences in the social sciences. In particular, we want knowledge about general causal relations in order to be able to determine what to do in order to achieve a certain state of affairs. Knowledge about causal relations that are also valid in the future requires experiments or so called ‘natural experiments’. Only knowledge derived from such experiences enable us to draw reasonably reliable inferences about how to act in order to achieve our goals.https://www.mdpi.com/2409-9287/6/4/105induction problemnatural versus social sciencecomplexitycausationexperimentation in social sciencelaws
spellingShingle Lars-Göran Johansson
Induction, Experimentation and Causation in the Social Sciences
Philosophies
induction problem
natural versus social science
complexity
causation
experimentation in social science
laws
title Induction, Experimentation and Causation in the Social Sciences
title_full Induction, Experimentation and Causation in the Social Sciences
title_fullStr Induction, Experimentation and Causation in the Social Sciences
title_full_unstemmed Induction, Experimentation and Causation in the Social Sciences
title_short Induction, Experimentation and Causation in the Social Sciences
title_sort induction experimentation and causation in the social sciences
topic induction problem
natural versus social science
complexity
causation
experimentation in social science
laws
url https://www.mdpi.com/2409-9287/6/4/105
work_keys_str_mv AT larsgoranjohansson inductionexperimentationandcausationinthesocialsciences