Determinants of survival in children with cancer in Johannesburg, South Africa

Background: Childhood cancer, although rare, remains an important cause of death worldwide. The outcomes of children with all cancer types in South Africa are not well-documented. Aim: The aim of the article was to determine local childhood cancer survival rates and establish determinants of surviv...

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Main Authors: Nadia Beringer, Kate G. Bennett, Janet E. Poole, Jennifer A. Geel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AOSIS 2021-10-01
Series:South African Journal of Oncology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://sajo.org.za/index.php/sajo/article/view/189
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author Nadia Beringer
Kate G. Bennett
Janet E. Poole
Jennifer A. Geel
author_facet Nadia Beringer
Kate G. Bennett
Janet E. Poole
Jennifer A. Geel
author_sort Nadia Beringer
collection DOAJ
description Background: Childhood cancer, although rare, remains an important cause of death worldwide. The outcomes of children with all cancer types in South Africa are not well-documented. Aim: The aim of the article was to determine local childhood cancer survival rates and establish determinants of survival. Setting: The study was conducted at a state and a private hospital in South Africa. Methods: This retrospective cohort study consecutively included all children with a proven malignancy from 01 January 2012 to 31 December 2016. Univariable and multivariable analyses were used to establish which factors significantly impacted overall survival (OS). Results: Of a total of 677 study participants, 71% were black South Africans. The estimated 5-year overall survival (OS) was 57% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 53-61%) and significant determinants of OS on the multivariable analysis included: ethnicity, cancer-type and nutritional status. White and Indian patients had higher OS compared to black patients (hazard ration [HR] (95% CI) 0.46 (0.30-0.69) p = 0.0002 and HR (95%) 0.38 (0.19-0.78) p = 0.0087, respectively). Underweight patients had inferior survival (HR (95% CI) 1.78 (1.28-2.47)) p = 0.0006. Patients with neuroblastoma had an increased risk of dying compared to those with leukaemia (HR [95% CI] 1.78 [1.08-2.94]) p = 0.025. Progression of disease was the most common cause of death, followed by disease relapse. Conclusion: The childhood cancer survival rate obtained in this study can be used as a baseline to facilitate improvement. Non-modifiable prognostic factors included ethnicity and cancer-type whilst modifiable risk factors included undernutrition. Undernutrition should be addressed on a national and local level to improve survival.
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spelling doaj.art-14ae1a06d4fc4f49bca5c1d6672230c42022-12-21T23:41:20ZengAOSISSouth African Journal of Oncology2518-87042523-06462021-10-0150e1e910.4102/sajo.v5i0.18982Determinants of survival in children with cancer in Johannesburg, South AfricaNadia Beringer0Kate G. Bennett1Janet E. Poole2Jennifer A. Geel3Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, School of Clinical Medicine, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; and, Department of Paediatrics, Division of Paediatric Haematology and Oncology, Johannesburg Hospital, JohannesburgDepartment of Paediatric Oncology, Wits University Donald Gordon Medical Centre, JohannesburgDepartment of Paediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, School of Clinical Medicine, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; and, Department of Paediatrics, Division of Paediatric Haematology and Oncology, Johannesburg Hospital, Johannesburg, South Africa; and, Department of Paediatric Oncology, Wits University Donald Gordon Medical Centre, JohannesburgDepartment of Paediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, School of Clinical Medicine, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; and, Department of Paediatrics, Division of Paediatric Haematology and Oncology, Johannesburg Hospital, Johannesburg, South Africa; and, Department of Paediatric Oncology, Wits University Donald Gordon Medical Centre, JohannesburgBackground: Childhood cancer, although rare, remains an important cause of death worldwide. The outcomes of children with all cancer types in South Africa are not well-documented. Aim: The aim of the article was to determine local childhood cancer survival rates and establish determinants of survival. Setting: The study was conducted at a state and a private hospital in South Africa. Methods: This retrospective cohort study consecutively included all children with a proven malignancy from 01 January 2012 to 31 December 2016. Univariable and multivariable analyses were used to establish which factors significantly impacted overall survival (OS). Results: Of a total of 677 study participants, 71% were black South Africans. The estimated 5-year overall survival (OS) was 57% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 53-61%) and significant determinants of OS on the multivariable analysis included: ethnicity, cancer-type and nutritional status. White and Indian patients had higher OS compared to black patients (hazard ration [HR] (95% CI) 0.46 (0.30-0.69) p = 0.0002 and HR (95%) 0.38 (0.19-0.78) p = 0.0087, respectively). Underweight patients had inferior survival (HR (95% CI) 1.78 (1.28-2.47)) p = 0.0006. Patients with neuroblastoma had an increased risk of dying compared to those with leukaemia (HR [95% CI] 1.78 [1.08-2.94]) p = 0.025. Progression of disease was the most common cause of death, followed by disease relapse. Conclusion: The childhood cancer survival rate obtained in this study can be used as a baseline to facilitate improvement. Non-modifiable prognostic factors included ethnicity and cancer-type whilst modifiable risk factors included undernutrition. Undernutrition should be addressed on a national and local level to improve survival.https://sajo.org.za/index.php/sajo/article/view/189childhood cancersurvivalrisk factorsundernutritionethnicitystagesouth africa
spellingShingle Nadia Beringer
Kate G. Bennett
Janet E. Poole
Jennifer A. Geel
Determinants of survival in children with cancer in Johannesburg, South Africa
South African Journal of Oncology
childhood cancer
survival
risk factors
undernutrition
ethnicity
stage
south africa
title Determinants of survival in children with cancer in Johannesburg, South Africa
title_full Determinants of survival in children with cancer in Johannesburg, South Africa
title_fullStr Determinants of survival in children with cancer in Johannesburg, South Africa
title_full_unstemmed Determinants of survival in children with cancer in Johannesburg, South Africa
title_short Determinants of survival in children with cancer in Johannesburg, South Africa
title_sort determinants of survival in children with cancer in johannesburg south africa
topic childhood cancer
survival
risk factors
undernutrition
ethnicity
stage
south africa
url https://sajo.org.za/index.php/sajo/article/view/189
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AT kategbennett determinantsofsurvivalinchildrenwithcancerinjohannesburgsouthafrica
AT janetepoole determinantsofsurvivalinchildrenwithcancerinjohannesburgsouthafrica
AT jenniferageel determinantsofsurvivalinchildrenwithcancerinjohannesburgsouthafrica