Mapping global hotspots and trends of water quality (1992–2010): a data driven approach

Clean water is key for sustainable development. However, large gaps in monitoring data limit our understanding of global hotspots of poor water quality and their evolution over time. We demonstrate the value added of a data-driven approach (here, random forest) to provide accurate high-frequency est...

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Main Authors: Sebastien Desbureaux, Frederic Mortier, Esha Zaveri, Michelle T H van Vliet, Jason Russ, Aude Sophie Rodella, Richard Damania
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2022-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac9cf6
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author Sebastien Desbureaux
Frederic Mortier
Esha Zaveri
Michelle T H van Vliet
Jason Russ
Aude Sophie Rodella
Richard Damania
author_facet Sebastien Desbureaux
Frederic Mortier
Esha Zaveri
Michelle T H van Vliet
Jason Russ
Aude Sophie Rodella
Richard Damania
author_sort Sebastien Desbureaux
collection DOAJ
description Clean water is key for sustainable development. However, large gaps in monitoring data limit our understanding of global hotspots of poor water quality and their evolution over time. We demonstrate the value added of a data-driven approach (here, random forest) to provide accurate high-frequency estimates of surface water quality worldwide over the period 1992–2010. We assess water quality for six indicators (temperature, dissolved oxygen, pH, salinity, nitrate-nitrite, phosphorus) relevant for the sustainable development goals. The performance of our modeling approach compares well to, or exceeds, the performance of recently published process-based models. The model’s outputs indicate that poor water quality is a global problem that impacts low-, middle- and high-income countries but with different pollutants. When countries become richer, water pollution does not disappear but evolves. Water quality exhibited a signif icant change between 1992 and 2010 with a higher percentage of grid cells where water quality shows a statistically significant deterioration (30%) compared to where water quality improved (22%).
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spelling doaj.art-14b58328a42f49869f5c71615b79617c2023-08-09T15:18:57ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262022-01-01171111404810.1088/1748-9326/ac9cf6Mapping global hotspots and trends of water quality (1992–2010): a data driven approachSebastien Desbureaux0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5489-4917Frederic Mortier1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5473-709XEsha Zaveri2Michelle T H van Vliet3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2597-8422Jason Russ4Aude Sophie Rodella5Richard Damania6Center for Environmental Economics—Montpellier, University Montpellier, CNRS, INRA, SupAgro , Montpellier, FranceEnvironmental Justice Program—Georgetown, Georgetown University , Washington DC, United States of America; Forêts et Sociétés, Univ. Montpellier, CIRAD , Montpellier, FranceThe World Bank , Washington DC, United States of AmericaDepartment of Physical Geography, Utrecht University , Utrecht, The NetherlandsThe World Bank , Washington DC, United States of AmericaThe World Bank , Washington DC, United States of AmericaThe World Bank , Washington DC, United States of AmericaClean water is key for sustainable development. However, large gaps in monitoring data limit our understanding of global hotspots of poor water quality and their evolution over time. We demonstrate the value added of a data-driven approach (here, random forest) to provide accurate high-frequency estimates of surface water quality worldwide over the period 1992–2010. We assess water quality for six indicators (temperature, dissolved oxygen, pH, salinity, nitrate-nitrite, phosphorus) relevant for the sustainable development goals. The performance of our modeling approach compares well to, or exceeds, the performance of recently published process-based models. The model’s outputs indicate that poor water quality is a global problem that impacts low-, middle- and high-income countries but with different pollutants. When countries become richer, water pollution does not disappear but evolves. Water quality exhibited a signif icant change between 1992 and 2010 with a higher percentage of grid cells where water quality shows a statistically significant deterioration (30%) compared to where water quality improved (22%).https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac9cf6water qualitysustainable development goalsrandom forestdata-driven modelling
spellingShingle Sebastien Desbureaux
Frederic Mortier
Esha Zaveri
Michelle T H van Vliet
Jason Russ
Aude Sophie Rodella
Richard Damania
Mapping global hotspots and trends of water quality (1992–2010): a data driven approach
Environmental Research Letters
water quality
sustainable development goals
random forest
data-driven modelling
title Mapping global hotspots and trends of water quality (1992–2010): a data driven approach
title_full Mapping global hotspots and trends of water quality (1992–2010): a data driven approach
title_fullStr Mapping global hotspots and trends of water quality (1992–2010): a data driven approach
title_full_unstemmed Mapping global hotspots and trends of water quality (1992–2010): a data driven approach
title_short Mapping global hotspots and trends of water quality (1992–2010): a data driven approach
title_sort mapping global hotspots and trends of water quality 1992 2010 a data driven approach
topic water quality
sustainable development goals
random forest
data-driven modelling
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac9cf6
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