Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategy

Abstract We use analogues of atmospheric patterns to investigate changes in four devastating Acqua Alta (flooding) events in the lagoon of Venice associated with intense Mediterranean cyclones occurred in 1966, 2008, 2018 and 2019. Our results provide evidence that changes in atmospheric circulation...

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Main Authors: Davide Faranda, Mireia Ginesta, Tommaso Alberti, Erika Coppola, Marco Anzidei
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-11-01
Series:npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00513-0
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author Davide Faranda
Mireia Ginesta
Tommaso Alberti
Erika Coppola
Marco Anzidei
author_facet Davide Faranda
Mireia Ginesta
Tommaso Alberti
Erika Coppola
Marco Anzidei
author_sort Davide Faranda
collection DOAJ
description Abstract We use analogues of atmospheric patterns to investigate changes in four devastating Acqua Alta (flooding) events in the lagoon of Venice associated with intense Mediterranean cyclones occurred in 1966, 2008, 2018 and 2019. Our results provide evidence that changes in atmospheric circulation, although not necessarily only anthropogenically driven, are linked to the severity of these events. We also evaluate the cost and benefit of the MoSE system, which was designed to protect against flooding. Our analysis shows that the MoSE has already provided protection against analogues of the most extreme event, which occurred in 1966. These findings have significant implications for the future of Venice and other coastal cities facing similar challenges from rising sea levels due to extreme events. This study also provides a pathway to evaluate the effectiveness of adaptation in a scenario more frequent and intense extreme events if higher global warming levels will be reached.
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spelling doaj.art-14c056195eb146bca96640c348f500b72024-03-05T18:08:02ZengNature Portfolionpj Climate and Atmospheric Science2397-37222023-11-01611810.1038/s41612-023-00513-0Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategyDavide Faranda0Mireia Ginesta1Tommaso Alberti2Erika Coppola3Marco Anzidei4Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, CEA Saclay l’Orme des Merisiers, UMR 8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, CEA Saclay l’Orme des Merisiers, UMR 8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e VulcanologiaInternational Centre for Theoretical PhysicsIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e VulcanologiaAbstract We use analogues of atmospheric patterns to investigate changes in four devastating Acqua Alta (flooding) events in the lagoon of Venice associated with intense Mediterranean cyclones occurred in 1966, 2008, 2018 and 2019. Our results provide evidence that changes in atmospheric circulation, although not necessarily only anthropogenically driven, are linked to the severity of these events. We also evaluate the cost and benefit of the MoSE system, which was designed to protect against flooding. Our analysis shows that the MoSE has already provided protection against analogues of the most extreme event, which occurred in 1966. These findings have significant implications for the future of Venice and other coastal cities facing similar challenges from rising sea levels due to extreme events. This study also provides a pathway to evaluate the effectiveness of adaptation in a scenario more frequent and intense extreme events if higher global warming levels will be reached.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00513-0
spellingShingle Davide Faranda
Mireia Ginesta
Tommaso Alberti
Erika Coppola
Marco Anzidei
Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategy
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
title Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategy
title_full Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategy
title_fullStr Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategy
title_full_unstemmed Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategy
title_short Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategy
title_sort attributing venice acqua alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of mose adaptation strategy
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00513-0
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