Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategy
Abstract We use analogues of atmospheric patterns to investigate changes in four devastating Acqua Alta (flooding) events in the lagoon of Venice associated with intense Mediterranean cyclones occurred in 1966, 2008, 2018 and 2019. Our results provide evidence that changes in atmospheric circulation...
Main Authors: | , , , , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Nature Portfolio
2023-11-01
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Series: | npj Climate and Atmospheric Science |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00513-0 |
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author | Davide Faranda Mireia Ginesta Tommaso Alberti Erika Coppola Marco Anzidei |
author_facet | Davide Faranda Mireia Ginesta Tommaso Alberti Erika Coppola Marco Anzidei |
author_sort | Davide Faranda |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Abstract We use analogues of atmospheric patterns to investigate changes in four devastating Acqua Alta (flooding) events in the lagoon of Venice associated with intense Mediterranean cyclones occurred in 1966, 2008, 2018 and 2019. Our results provide evidence that changes in atmospheric circulation, although not necessarily only anthropogenically driven, are linked to the severity of these events. We also evaluate the cost and benefit of the MoSE system, which was designed to protect against flooding. Our analysis shows that the MoSE has already provided protection against analogues of the most extreme event, which occurred in 1966. These findings have significant implications for the future of Venice and other coastal cities facing similar challenges from rising sea levels due to extreme events. This study also provides a pathway to evaluate the effectiveness of adaptation in a scenario more frequent and intense extreme events if higher global warming levels will be reached. |
first_indexed | 2024-03-07T15:11:44Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-14c056195eb146bca96640c348f500b7 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2397-3722 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-07T15:11:44Z |
publishDate | 2023-11-01 |
publisher | Nature Portfolio |
record_format | Article |
series | npj Climate and Atmospheric Science |
spelling | doaj.art-14c056195eb146bca96640c348f500b72024-03-05T18:08:02ZengNature Portfolionpj Climate and Atmospheric Science2397-37222023-11-01611810.1038/s41612-023-00513-0Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategyDavide Faranda0Mireia Ginesta1Tommaso Alberti2Erika Coppola3Marco Anzidei4Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, CEA Saclay l’Orme des Merisiers, UMR 8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, CEA Saclay l’Orme des Merisiers, UMR 8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e VulcanologiaInternational Centre for Theoretical PhysicsIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e VulcanologiaAbstract We use analogues of atmospheric patterns to investigate changes in four devastating Acqua Alta (flooding) events in the lagoon of Venice associated with intense Mediterranean cyclones occurred in 1966, 2008, 2018 and 2019. Our results provide evidence that changes in atmospheric circulation, although not necessarily only anthropogenically driven, are linked to the severity of these events. We also evaluate the cost and benefit of the MoSE system, which was designed to protect against flooding. Our analysis shows that the MoSE has already provided protection against analogues of the most extreme event, which occurred in 1966. These findings have significant implications for the future of Venice and other coastal cities facing similar challenges from rising sea levels due to extreme events. This study also provides a pathway to evaluate the effectiveness of adaptation in a scenario more frequent and intense extreme events if higher global warming levels will be reached.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00513-0 |
spellingShingle | Davide Faranda Mireia Ginesta Tommaso Alberti Erika Coppola Marco Anzidei Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategy npj Climate and Atmospheric Science |
title | Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategy |
title_full | Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategy |
title_fullStr | Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategy |
title_full_unstemmed | Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategy |
title_short | Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategy |
title_sort | attributing venice acqua alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of mose adaptation strategy |
url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00513-0 |
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