Macroeconomic Factors and the Indian Stock Market: Exploring Long and Short Run Relationships

The rapid growth of Indian economy during the last two decades raises empirical questions regarding the fundamental connection between stock price and key macroeconomic indicators. This paper aims to examine long and short run relations between selected macroeconomic indicators and stock market ret...

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Main Authors: Kiran Kumar Kotha, Bhawna Sahu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2016-07-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Online Access:https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/2328
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author Kiran Kumar Kotha
Bhawna Sahu
author_facet Kiran Kumar Kotha
Bhawna Sahu
author_sort Kiran Kumar Kotha
collection DOAJ
description The rapid growth of Indian economy during the last two decades raises empirical questions regarding the fundamental connection between stock price and key macroeconomic indicators. This paper aims to examine long and short run relations between selected macroeconomic indicators and stock market returns with reference to India. This study employs monthly data from July 2001 to July 2015 since major stock market reforms viz., ban of Badla system, introduction of rolling settlement and introduction of stock derivatives, were all implemented in July 2001. With the help of co-integration and error correction model, the study reveals the presence of long run relation between the BSE Sensex and select macroeconomic indicators viz., Exchange Rate, Wholesale Price Index, T-bill rates and M3. Keywords: Macroeconomic indicators, stock returns, Cointegration JEL Classification: G15
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spelling doaj.art-152b7c02cfdc43d99bc9aed430cf4e262023-02-15T16:20:09ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382016-07-0163Macroeconomic Factors and the Indian Stock Market: Exploring Long and Short Run RelationshipsKiran Kumar Kotha0Bhawna Sahu1Indian Institute of Management IndoreIndian Institute of Management Indore The rapid growth of Indian economy during the last two decades raises empirical questions regarding the fundamental connection between stock price and key macroeconomic indicators. This paper aims to examine long and short run relations between selected macroeconomic indicators and stock market returns with reference to India. This study employs monthly data from July 2001 to July 2015 since major stock market reforms viz., ban of Badla system, introduction of rolling settlement and introduction of stock derivatives, were all implemented in July 2001. With the help of co-integration and error correction model, the study reveals the presence of long run relation between the BSE Sensex and select macroeconomic indicators viz., Exchange Rate, Wholesale Price Index, T-bill rates and M3. Keywords: Macroeconomic indicators, stock returns, Cointegration JEL Classification: G15 https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/2328
spellingShingle Kiran Kumar Kotha
Bhawna Sahu
Macroeconomic Factors and the Indian Stock Market: Exploring Long and Short Run Relationships
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
title Macroeconomic Factors and the Indian Stock Market: Exploring Long and Short Run Relationships
title_full Macroeconomic Factors and the Indian Stock Market: Exploring Long and Short Run Relationships
title_fullStr Macroeconomic Factors and the Indian Stock Market: Exploring Long and Short Run Relationships
title_full_unstemmed Macroeconomic Factors and the Indian Stock Market: Exploring Long and Short Run Relationships
title_short Macroeconomic Factors and the Indian Stock Market: Exploring Long and Short Run Relationships
title_sort macroeconomic factors and the indian stock market exploring long and short run relationships
url https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/2328
work_keys_str_mv AT kirankumarkotha macroeconomicfactorsandtheindianstockmarketexploringlongandshortrunrelationships
AT bhawnasahu macroeconomicfactorsandtheindianstockmarketexploringlongandshortrunrelationships