The closer, the better – How perceived ideological proximity between parties affects the emergence of coalition preferences

ABSTRACTWhile coalition governments have been studied extensively, there remains a lack of understanding of how coalition preferences emerge and what factors are the most influential. Utilising coalition formation theories, this study posits that voters tend to prefer coalitions with a narrower rang...

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Main Authors: L. Constantin Wurthmann, Svenja Krauss
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-12-01
Series:Political Research Exchange
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/2474736X.2024.2303130
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author L. Constantin Wurthmann
Svenja Krauss
author_facet L. Constantin Wurthmann
Svenja Krauss
author_sort L. Constantin Wurthmann
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACTWhile coalition governments have been studied extensively, there remains a lack of understanding of how coalition preferences emerge and what factors are the most influential. Utilising coalition formation theories, this study posits that voters tend to prefer coalitions with a narrower range of ideological differences between 1.) the parties involved and 2.) between the voter and the party perceived to have the greatest ideological distance from the individual. Previous studies have mainly concentrated on a general left-right ideological dimension or specific issue dimensions, despite the fact that some of the countries analysed are characterized by a two-dimensional political space. Using Germany as a case study that exemplifies this inherent two-dimensionality, this analysis adopts a nuanced approach by employing the calculation of Euclidean distance based on socio-economic and socio-cultural measures. This approach aims to explain the formation of coalition preferences leading up to the federal election in 2021. Our results show how strongly the perceived ideological distance of parties contributes to developing preferences for a specific coalition option, even when controlling for party evaluation and socio-demographics. For this reason, they have important implications for the understanding of the emergence of coalition preferences and party competition.
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spelling doaj.art-15575f0e684449448e48e383f0c6bdd22024-01-11T07:04:33ZengTaylor & Francis GroupPolitical Research Exchange2474-736X2024-12-016110.1080/2474736X.2024.2303130The closer, the better – How perceived ideological proximity between parties affects the emergence of coalition preferencesL. Constantin Wurthmann0Svenja Krauss1Data and Research on Society (DRS), National Election Studies, GESIS – Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences Mannheim, GermanyDepartment of Government, University of Vienna, AustriaABSTRACTWhile coalition governments have been studied extensively, there remains a lack of understanding of how coalition preferences emerge and what factors are the most influential. Utilising coalition formation theories, this study posits that voters tend to prefer coalitions with a narrower range of ideological differences between 1.) the parties involved and 2.) between the voter and the party perceived to have the greatest ideological distance from the individual. Previous studies have mainly concentrated on a general left-right ideological dimension or specific issue dimensions, despite the fact that some of the countries analysed are characterized by a two-dimensional political space. Using Germany as a case study that exemplifies this inherent two-dimensionality, this analysis adopts a nuanced approach by employing the calculation of Euclidean distance based on socio-economic and socio-cultural measures. This approach aims to explain the formation of coalition preferences leading up to the federal election in 2021. Our results show how strongly the perceived ideological distance of parties contributes to developing preferences for a specific coalition option, even when controlling for party evaluation and socio-demographics. For this reason, they have important implications for the understanding of the emergence of coalition preferences and party competition.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/2474736X.2024.2303130Coalition preferencescoalition researchcoalition governmentGerman politicscoalition theory
spellingShingle L. Constantin Wurthmann
Svenja Krauss
The closer, the better – How perceived ideological proximity between parties affects the emergence of coalition preferences
Political Research Exchange
Coalition preferences
coalition research
coalition government
German politics
coalition theory
title The closer, the better – How perceived ideological proximity between parties affects the emergence of coalition preferences
title_full The closer, the better – How perceived ideological proximity between parties affects the emergence of coalition preferences
title_fullStr The closer, the better – How perceived ideological proximity between parties affects the emergence of coalition preferences
title_full_unstemmed The closer, the better – How perceived ideological proximity between parties affects the emergence of coalition preferences
title_short The closer, the better – How perceived ideological proximity between parties affects the emergence of coalition preferences
title_sort closer the better how perceived ideological proximity between parties affects the emergence of coalition preferences
topic Coalition preferences
coalition research
coalition government
German politics
coalition theory
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/2474736X.2024.2303130
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