Description of the Joint Probability of Significant Wave Height and Mean Wave Period

The bivariate probability distribution of significant wave heights and mean wave periods has an indispensable guiding role in the implementation of offshore engineering, which has attracted great attention. This work gives a new bivariate method to describe the bivariate distribution of significant...

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Main Authors: Mingwen Zhao, Xiaodong Deng, Jichao Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-12-01
Series:Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/10/12/1971
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author Mingwen Zhao
Xiaodong Deng
Jichao Wang
author_facet Mingwen Zhao
Xiaodong Deng
Jichao Wang
author_sort Mingwen Zhao
collection DOAJ
description The bivariate probability distribution of significant wave heights and mean wave periods has an indispensable guiding role in the implementation of offshore engineering, which has attracted great attention. This work gives a new bivariate method to describe the bivariate distribution of significant wave height and mean wave period at the NanJi, BeiShuang, and XiaoMaiDao stations from 2018 to 2020. A mixed lognormal distribution is used for univariate probability analysis of wave data, and the method of connecting two mixed lognormal distributions with copula functions is applied to construct bivariate distribution. The results show that compared with Weibull and lognormal distributions, the mixed lognormal distribution shows good performance in fitting marginal distributions. In the bivariate probability analysis, the conditional model overestimates the probability of lower wave heights, and the bivariate function model has a poor fitting effect in the region with larger periods. In contrast, the copula model based on mixed lognormal distribution is more suited to describe the joint distribution of significant wave height and mean wave period.
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spelling doaj.art-15a345cd6f424dca957cb23b11c669bf2023-11-24T15:57:28ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122022-12-011012197110.3390/jmse10121971Description of the Joint Probability of Significant Wave Height and Mean Wave PeriodMingwen Zhao0Xiaodong Deng1Jichao Wang2College of Science, China University of Petroleum, Qingdao 266580, ChinaEast China Sea Forecasting and Hazard Mitigation Center, MNR, Shanghai 200136, ChinaCollege of Science, China University of Petroleum, Qingdao 266580, ChinaThe bivariate probability distribution of significant wave heights and mean wave periods has an indispensable guiding role in the implementation of offshore engineering, which has attracted great attention. This work gives a new bivariate method to describe the bivariate distribution of significant wave height and mean wave period at the NanJi, BeiShuang, and XiaoMaiDao stations from 2018 to 2020. A mixed lognormal distribution is used for univariate probability analysis of wave data, and the method of connecting two mixed lognormal distributions with copula functions is applied to construct bivariate distribution. The results show that compared with Weibull and lognormal distributions, the mixed lognormal distribution shows good performance in fitting marginal distributions. In the bivariate probability analysis, the conditional model overestimates the probability of lower wave heights, and the bivariate function model has a poor fitting effect in the region with larger periods. In contrast, the copula model based on mixed lognormal distribution is more suited to describe the joint distribution of significant wave height and mean wave period.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/10/12/1971copula functionjoint distributionmarginal distributionmixed lognormal distributionEM algorithm
spellingShingle Mingwen Zhao
Xiaodong Deng
Jichao Wang
Description of the Joint Probability of Significant Wave Height and Mean Wave Period
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
copula function
joint distribution
marginal distribution
mixed lognormal distribution
EM algorithm
title Description of the Joint Probability of Significant Wave Height and Mean Wave Period
title_full Description of the Joint Probability of Significant Wave Height and Mean Wave Period
title_fullStr Description of the Joint Probability of Significant Wave Height and Mean Wave Period
title_full_unstemmed Description of the Joint Probability of Significant Wave Height and Mean Wave Period
title_short Description of the Joint Probability of Significant Wave Height and Mean Wave Period
title_sort description of the joint probability of significant wave height and mean wave period
topic copula function
joint distribution
marginal distribution
mixed lognormal distribution
EM algorithm
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/10/12/1971
work_keys_str_mv AT mingwenzhao descriptionofthejointprobabilityofsignificantwaveheightandmeanwaveperiod
AT xiaodongdeng descriptionofthejointprobabilityofsignificantwaveheightandmeanwaveperiod
AT jichaowang descriptionofthejointprobabilityofsignificantwaveheightandmeanwaveperiod