Description of the Joint Probability of Significant Wave Height and Mean Wave Period
The bivariate probability distribution of significant wave heights and mean wave periods has an indispensable guiding role in the implementation of offshore engineering, which has attracted great attention. This work gives a new bivariate method to describe the bivariate distribution of significant...
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Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2022-12-01
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Series: | Journal of Marine Science and Engineering |
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Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/10/12/1971 |
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author | Mingwen Zhao Xiaodong Deng Jichao Wang |
author_facet | Mingwen Zhao Xiaodong Deng Jichao Wang |
author_sort | Mingwen Zhao |
collection | DOAJ |
description | The bivariate probability distribution of significant wave heights and mean wave periods has an indispensable guiding role in the implementation of offshore engineering, which has attracted great attention. This work gives a new bivariate method to describe the bivariate distribution of significant wave height and mean wave period at the NanJi, BeiShuang, and XiaoMaiDao stations from 2018 to 2020. A mixed lognormal distribution is used for univariate probability analysis of wave data, and the method of connecting two mixed lognormal distributions with copula functions is applied to construct bivariate distribution. The results show that compared with Weibull and lognormal distributions, the mixed lognormal distribution shows good performance in fitting marginal distributions. In the bivariate probability analysis, the conditional model overestimates the probability of lower wave heights, and the bivariate function model has a poor fitting effect in the region with larger periods. In contrast, the copula model based on mixed lognormal distribution is more suited to describe the joint distribution of significant wave height and mean wave period. |
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id | doaj.art-15a345cd6f424dca957cb23b11c669bf |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2077-1312 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-09T16:13:35Z |
publishDate | 2022-12-01 |
publisher | MDPI AG |
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series | Journal of Marine Science and Engineering |
spelling | doaj.art-15a345cd6f424dca957cb23b11c669bf2023-11-24T15:57:28ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122022-12-011012197110.3390/jmse10121971Description of the Joint Probability of Significant Wave Height and Mean Wave PeriodMingwen Zhao0Xiaodong Deng1Jichao Wang2College of Science, China University of Petroleum, Qingdao 266580, ChinaEast China Sea Forecasting and Hazard Mitigation Center, MNR, Shanghai 200136, ChinaCollege of Science, China University of Petroleum, Qingdao 266580, ChinaThe bivariate probability distribution of significant wave heights and mean wave periods has an indispensable guiding role in the implementation of offshore engineering, which has attracted great attention. This work gives a new bivariate method to describe the bivariate distribution of significant wave height and mean wave period at the NanJi, BeiShuang, and XiaoMaiDao stations from 2018 to 2020. A mixed lognormal distribution is used for univariate probability analysis of wave data, and the method of connecting two mixed lognormal distributions with copula functions is applied to construct bivariate distribution. The results show that compared with Weibull and lognormal distributions, the mixed lognormal distribution shows good performance in fitting marginal distributions. In the bivariate probability analysis, the conditional model overestimates the probability of lower wave heights, and the bivariate function model has a poor fitting effect in the region with larger periods. In contrast, the copula model based on mixed lognormal distribution is more suited to describe the joint distribution of significant wave height and mean wave period.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/10/12/1971copula functionjoint distributionmarginal distributionmixed lognormal distributionEM algorithm |
spellingShingle | Mingwen Zhao Xiaodong Deng Jichao Wang Description of the Joint Probability of Significant Wave Height and Mean Wave Period Journal of Marine Science and Engineering copula function joint distribution marginal distribution mixed lognormal distribution EM algorithm |
title | Description of the Joint Probability of Significant Wave Height and Mean Wave Period |
title_full | Description of the Joint Probability of Significant Wave Height and Mean Wave Period |
title_fullStr | Description of the Joint Probability of Significant Wave Height and Mean Wave Period |
title_full_unstemmed | Description of the Joint Probability of Significant Wave Height and Mean Wave Period |
title_short | Description of the Joint Probability of Significant Wave Height and Mean Wave Period |
title_sort | description of the joint probability of significant wave height and mean wave period |
topic | copula function joint distribution marginal distribution mixed lognormal distribution EM algorithm |
url | https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/10/12/1971 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT mingwenzhao descriptionofthejointprobabilityofsignificantwaveheightandmeanwaveperiod AT xiaodongdeng descriptionofthejointprobabilityofsignificantwaveheightandmeanwaveperiod AT jichaowang descriptionofthejointprobabilityofsignificantwaveheightandmeanwaveperiod |