Contextualizing Scenarios to Explore Social-Ecological Futures: A Three Step Participatory Case Study for the Humboldt Current Upwelling System

In the face of global change, the exploration of possible futures of marine social-ecological systems (MSES) becomes increasingly important. A variety of models aims at improving our understanding of ecosystem dynamics and complexities by assessing how systems react to internal and external drivers...

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Main Authors: María Garteizgogeascoa, Lotta C. Kluger, Isabel E. Gonzales, Gerardo Damonte, Michael Flitner
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2020-10-01
Series:Frontiers in Marine Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2020.557181/full
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author María Garteizgogeascoa
Lotta C. Kluger
Lotta C. Kluger
Isabel E. Gonzales
Isabel E. Gonzales
Gerardo Damonte
Gerardo Damonte
Michael Flitner
Michael Flitner
author_facet María Garteizgogeascoa
Lotta C. Kluger
Lotta C. Kluger
Isabel E. Gonzales
Isabel E. Gonzales
Gerardo Damonte
Gerardo Damonte
Michael Flitner
Michael Flitner
author_sort María Garteizgogeascoa
collection DOAJ
description In the face of global change, the exploration of possible futures of marine social-ecological systems (MSES) becomes increasingly important. A variety of models aims at improving our understanding of ecosystem dynamics and complexities by assessing how systems react to internal and external drivers of change. However, these models are often built from a natural-science perspective through a reductionist and top-down knowledge production process that does not engage with the interests, concerns and knowledge of stakeholders. Our work explores different futures of the Peruvian MSES tied to the Humboldt Current Upwelling System (HCUS) through a sequential integrative participatory scenario process. The methodology used opens novel ways to explore, at different contextual levels, the uncertainties of the future and, in doing so, to include diverging world views of different actors. This approach implies a broader social processing of scientific projections about the future and encourages the articulation of different notions of sustainability. We thereby contribute to current scientific discussions on scenario planning in MSES by exploring potential futures through the analysis of narratives, a process that helps to identify plausible future development pathways that can inform different types of ecosystem modeling or policy making.
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spelling doaj.art-15a6cb77a768421798887037de238bce2022-12-21T23:36:23ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Marine Science2296-77452020-10-01710.3389/fmars.2020.557181557181Contextualizing Scenarios to Explore Social-Ecological Futures: A Three Step Participatory Case Study for the Humboldt Current Upwelling SystemMaría Garteizgogeascoa0Lotta C. Kluger1Lotta C. Kluger2Isabel E. Gonzales3Isabel E. Gonzales4Gerardo Damonte5Gerardo Damonte6Michael Flitner7Michael Flitner8Artec Sustainability Research Center, Universität Bremen, Bremen, GermanyArtec Sustainability Research Center, Universität Bremen, Bremen, GermanyLeibniz Center for Tropical Marine Research, Bremen, GermanyGrupo de Análisis para el Desarrollo, Lima, PeruDepartment of Social Sciences, Catholic University of Peru, Lima, PeruGrupo de Análisis para el Desarrollo, Lima, PeruDepartment of Social Sciences, Catholic University of Peru, Lima, PeruArtec Sustainability Research Center, Universität Bremen, Bremen, GermanyInstitute of Geography, Universität Bremen, Bremen, GermanyIn the face of global change, the exploration of possible futures of marine social-ecological systems (MSES) becomes increasingly important. A variety of models aims at improving our understanding of ecosystem dynamics and complexities by assessing how systems react to internal and external drivers of change. However, these models are often built from a natural-science perspective through a reductionist and top-down knowledge production process that does not engage with the interests, concerns and knowledge of stakeholders. Our work explores different futures of the Peruvian MSES tied to the Humboldt Current Upwelling System (HCUS) through a sequential integrative participatory scenario process. The methodology used opens novel ways to explore, at different contextual levels, the uncertainties of the future and, in doing so, to include diverging world views of different actors. This approach implies a broader social processing of scientific projections about the future and encourages the articulation of different notions of sustainability. We thereby contribute to current scientific discussions on scenario planning in MSES by exploring potential futures through the analysis of narratives, a process that helps to identify plausible future development pathways that can inform different types of ecosystem modeling or policy making.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2020.557181/fulltransdisciplinary methodssustainabilityscenariosfisheriesHumboldt Current Upwelling System
spellingShingle María Garteizgogeascoa
Lotta C. Kluger
Lotta C. Kluger
Isabel E. Gonzales
Isabel E. Gonzales
Gerardo Damonte
Gerardo Damonte
Michael Flitner
Michael Flitner
Contextualizing Scenarios to Explore Social-Ecological Futures: A Three Step Participatory Case Study for the Humboldt Current Upwelling System
Frontiers in Marine Science
transdisciplinary methods
sustainability
scenarios
fisheries
Humboldt Current Upwelling System
title Contextualizing Scenarios to Explore Social-Ecological Futures: A Three Step Participatory Case Study for the Humboldt Current Upwelling System
title_full Contextualizing Scenarios to Explore Social-Ecological Futures: A Three Step Participatory Case Study for the Humboldt Current Upwelling System
title_fullStr Contextualizing Scenarios to Explore Social-Ecological Futures: A Three Step Participatory Case Study for the Humboldt Current Upwelling System
title_full_unstemmed Contextualizing Scenarios to Explore Social-Ecological Futures: A Three Step Participatory Case Study for the Humboldt Current Upwelling System
title_short Contextualizing Scenarios to Explore Social-Ecological Futures: A Three Step Participatory Case Study for the Humboldt Current Upwelling System
title_sort contextualizing scenarios to explore social ecological futures a three step participatory case study for the humboldt current upwelling system
topic transdisciplinary methods
sustainability
scenarios
fisheries
Humboldt Current Upwelling System
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2020.557181/full
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