Estimando o Prêmio de Mercado Brasileiro

Risky investments assume that profits are on average higher than those obtained from risk-free assets; this difference is traditionally called an equity risk premium. Its importance is unequivocal: for investors, when deciding on being exposed to the stock market’s risks; for corporation managers, i...

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Main Authors: Luciana Ribeiro Chalela, William Eid Junior, Ricardo Ratner Rochman, Walter Gonçalves Junior
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Associação Nacional de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa em Administração (ANPAD) 2011-09-01
Series:RAC: Revista de Administração Contemporânea
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.anpad.org.br/periodicos/arq_pdf/a_1237.pdf
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author Luciana Ribeiro Chalela
William Eid Junior
Ricardo Ratner Rochman
Walter Gonçalves Junior
author_facet Luciana Ribeiro Chalela
William Eid Junior
Ricardo Ratner Rochman
Walter Gonçalves Junior
author_sort Luciana Ribeiro Chalela
collection DOAJ
description Risky investments assume that profits are on average higher than those obtained from risk-free assets; this difference is traditionally called an equity risk premium. Its importance is unequivocal: for investors, when deciding on being exposed to the stock market’s risks; for corporation managers, in project selection and even for government agencies when regulating utility company returns and supervising pension funds. However, this applicability requires trustworthy values to be used in the models. This paper analyses estimates obtained by three different approaches covering the period of January of 1996 to December of 2008. In the historical approach, the results vary from 5% to 7% for the IBrX and FGV-100 indexes; in the prospective approach (which reflects the expected premium) the result was 3.35%; finally, in the indirect approach (by market models), negative equity premiums were found, an unexpected but significant result.
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spelling doaj.art-15a74cb2bdf64d40999bee0e3f500a102023-09-02T18:22:19ZengAssociação Nacional de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa em Administração (ANPAD)RAC: Revista de Administração Contemporânea1415-65551982-78492011-09-01155931954Estimando o Prêmio de Mercado BrasileiroLuciana Ribeiro ChalelaWilliam Eid JuniorRicardo Ratner RochmanWalter Gonçalves JuniorRisky investments assume that profits are on average higher than those obtained from risk-free assets; this difference is traditionally called an equity risk premium. Its importance is unequivocal: for investors, when deciding on being exposed to the stock market’s risks; for corporation managers, in project selection and even for government agencies when regulating utility company returns and supervising pension funds. However, this applicability requires trustworthy values to be used in the models. This paper analyses estimates obtained by three different approaches covering the period of January of 1996 to December of 2008. In the historical approach, the results vary from 5% to 7% for the IBrX and FGV-100 indexes; in the prospective approach (which reflects the expected premium) the result was 3.35%; finally, in the indirect approach (by market models), negative equity premiums were found, an unexpected but significant result.http://www.anpad.org.br/periodicos/arq_pdf/a_1237.pdfmarket premiumrisk premiumindexesdividendsCAPM.
spellingShingle Luciana Ribeiro Chalela
William Eid Junior
Ricardo Ratner Rochman
Walter Gonçalves Junior
Estimando o Prêmio de Mercado Brasileiro
RAC: Revista de Administração Contemporânea
market premium
risk premium
indexes
dividends
CAPM.
title Estimando o Prêmio de Mercado Brasileiro
title_full Estimando o Prêmio de Mercado Brasileiro
title_fullStr Estimando o Prêmio de Mercado Brasileiro
title_full_unstemmed Estimando o Prêmio de Mercado Brasileiro
title_short Estimando o Prêmio de Mercado Brasileiro
title_sort estimando o premio de mercado brasileiro
topic market premium
risk premium
indexes
dividends
CAPM.
url http://www.anpad.org.br/periodicos/arq_pdf/a_1237.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT lucianaribeirochalela estimandoopremiodemercadobrasileiro
AT williameidjunior estimandoopremiodemercadobrasileiro
AT ricardoratnerrochman estimandoopremiodemercadobrasileiro
AT waltergoncalvesjunior estimandoopremiodemercadobrasileiro