COVID-19 Infection and Mortality: Association with PM<sub>2.5</sub> Concentration and Population Density—An Exploratory Study

The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has become a public health problem at a global scale because of its high infection and mortality rate. It has affected most countries in the world, and the number of confirmed cases and death toll is still growing rapidly. Susceptibility studies have been con...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Xinyu Yu, Man Sing Wong, Mei Po Kwan, Janet Elizabeth Nichol, Rui Zhu, Joon Heo, Pak Wai Chan, David C. W. Chin, Coco Yin Tung Kwok, Zihan Kan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-03-01
Series:ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/10/3/123
Description
Summary:The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has become a public health problem at a global scale because of its high infection and mortality rate. It has affected most countries in the world, and the number of confirmed cases and death toll is still growing rapidly. Susceptibility studies have been conducted in specific countries, where COVID-19 infection and mortality rates were highly related to demographics and air pollution, especially PM<sub>2.5</sub>, but there are few studies on a global scale. This paper is an exploratory study of the relationship between confirmed COVID-19 cases and death toll per million population, population density, and PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentration on a worldwide basis. A multivariate linear regression based on Moran eigenvector spatial filtering model and Geographically weighted regression model were undertaken to analyze the relationship between population density, PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentration, and COVID-19 infection and mortality rate, and a geostatistical method with bivariate local spatial association analysis was adopted to explore their spatial correlations. The results show that there is a statistically significant positive relationship between COVID-19 confirmed cases and death toll per million population, population density, and PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentration, but the relationship displays obvious spatial heterogeneity. While some adjacent countries are likely to have similar characteristics, it suggests that the countries with close contacts/sharing borders and similar spatial pattern of population density and PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentration tend to have similar patterns of COVID-19 risk. The analysis provides an interpretation of the statistical and spatial association of COVID-19 with population density and PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentration, which has implications for the control and abatement of COVID-19 in terms of both infection and mortality.
ISSN:2220-9964