Monetary Uncertainty and Demand for Money Stability in Nigeria: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach

This paper investigates the effect of monetary uncertainty (MUC) on the stability of money demand function in Nigeria using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach for the period of 1980-2014. The demand for money in Nigeria is specified as a function of income, domestic interest rate, inflati...

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Main Authors: Shehu El-Rasheed, Hussin Abdullah, Jauhari Dahalan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2017-03-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ijefi/issue/32002/353245?publisher=http-www-cag-edu-tr-ilhan-ozturk
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author Shehu El-Rasheed
Hussin Abdullah
Jauhari Dahalan
author_facet Shehu El-Rasheed
Hussin Abdullah
Jauhari Dahalan
author_sort Shehu El-Rasheed
collection DOAJ
description This paper investigates the effect of monetary uncertainty (MUC) on the stability of money demand function in Nigeria using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach for the period of 1980-2014. The demand for money in Nigeria is specified as a function of income, domestic interest rate, inflation, nominal exchange rate and MUC. The effect of MUC on money demand function has not been previously studied in the demand for money literature in Nigeria. The results from the bound testing indicate that MUC, income, domestic interest rate, inflation, exchange rate and broad money (M2) are co-integrated. The finding shows that MUC has a significant influence on the demand for money function in Nigeria. Evidence has shown a unidirectional causality running from MUC to money demand without feedback. The CUSSUM and CUSSUMSQ stability test established that the broad money demand function in Nigeria is stable over the period under study. By implication the monetary policies aimed at monetary targeting could be very effective even when there is the presence of significant MUC.
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spelling doaj.art-15fbedb6ca8f4097a0ee84c6193507602023-02-15T16:17:56ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382017-03-01716016071032Monetary Uncertainty and Demand for Money Stability in Nigeria: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag ApproachShehu El-RasheedHussin AbdullahJauhari DahalanThis paper investigates the effect of monetary uncertainty (MUC) on the stability of money demand function in Nigeria using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach for the period of 1980-2014. The demand for money in Nigeria is specified as a function of income, domestic interest rate, inflation, nominal exchange rate and MUC. The effect of MUC on money demand function has not been previously studied in the demand for money literature in Nigeria. The results from the bound testing indicate that MUC, income, domestic interest rate, inflation, exchange rate and broad money (M2) are co-integrated. The finding shows that MUC has a significant influence on the demand for money function in Nigeria. Evidence has shown a unidirectional causality running from MUC to money demand without feedback. The CUSSUM and CUSSUMSQ stability test established that the broad money demand function in Nigeria is stable over the period under study. By implication the monetary policies aimed at monetary targeting could be very effective even when there is the presence of significant MUC.https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ijefi/issue/32002/353245?publisher=http-www-cag-edu-tr-ilhan-ozturkautoregressive distributed lag co-integration money demand uncertainty nigeria
spellingShingle Shehu El-Rasheed
Hussin Abdullah
Jauhari Dahalan
Monetary Uncertainty and Demand for Money Stability in Nigeria: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
autoregressive distributed lag
co-integration
money demand
uncertainty
nigeria
title Monetary Uncertainty and Demand for Money Stability in Nigeria: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach
title_full Monetary Uncertainty and Demand for Money Stability in Nigeria: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach
title_fullStr Monetary Uncertainty and Demand for Money Stability in Nigeria: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach
title_full_unstemmed Monetary Uncertainty and Demand for Money Stability in Nigeria: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach
title_short Monetary Uncertainty and Demand for Money Stability in Nigeria: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach
title_sort monetary uncertainty and demand for money stability in nigeria an autoregressive distributed lag approach
topic autoregressive distributed lag
co-integration
money demand
uncertainty
nigeria
url https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ijefi/issue/32002/353245?publisher=http-www-cag-edu-tr-ilhan-ozturk
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AT hussinabdullah monetaryuncertaintyanddemandformoneystabilityinnigeriaanautoregressivedistributedlagapproach
AT jauharidahalan monetaryuncertaintyanddemandformoneystabilityinnigeriaanautoregressivedistributedlagapproach