Spatial Prediction and Mapping of Gully Erosion Susceptibility Using Machine Learning Techniques in a Degraded Semi-Arid Region of Kenya

This study aimed at (i) developing, evaluating and comparing the performance of support vector machines (SVM), boosted regression trees (BRT), random forest (RF) and logistic regression (LR) models in mapping gully erosion susceptibility, and (ii) determining the important gully erosion conditioning...

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Main Authors: Kennedy Were, Syphyline Kebeney, Harrison Churu, James Mumo Mutio, Ruth Njoroge, Denis Mugaa, Boniface Alkamoi, Wilson Ng’etich, Bal Ram Singh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-04-01
Series:Land
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/4/890
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author Kennedy Were
Syphyline Kebeney
Harrison Churu
James Mumo Mutio
Ruth Njoroge
Denis Mugaa
Boniface Alkamoi
Wilson Ng’etich
Bal Ram Singh
author_facet Kennedy Were
Syphyline Kebeney
Harrison Churu
James Mumo Mutio
Ruth Njoroge
Denis Mugaa
Boniface Alkamoi
Wilson Ng’etich
Bal Ram Singh
author_sort Kennedy Were
collection DOAJ
description This study aimed at (i) developing, evaluating and comparing the performance of support vector machines (SVM), boosted regression trees (BRT), random forest (RF) and logistic regression (LR) models in mapping gully erosion susceptibility, and (ii) determining the important gully erosion conditioning factors (GECFs) in a Kenyan semi-arid landscape. A total of 431 geo-referenced gully erosion points were gathered through a field survey and visual interpretation of high-resolution satellite imagery on Google Earth, while 24 raster-based GECFs were retrieved from the existing geodatabases for spatial modeling and prediction. The resultant models exhibited excellent performance, although the machine learners outperformed the benchmark LR technique. Specifically, the RF and BRT models returned the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC = 0.89 each) and overall accuracy (OA = 80.2%; 79.7%, respectively), followed by the SVM and LR models (AUC = 0.86; 0.85 & OA = 79.1%; 79.6%, respectively). In addition, the importance of the GECFs varied among the models. The best-performing RF model ranked the distance to a stream, drainage density and valley depth as the three most important GECFs in the region. The output gully erosion susceptibility maps can support the efficient allocation of resources for sustainable land management in the area.
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spelling doaj.art-1608945bcf8f46ce914b659b8f08bf932023-11-17T20:03:42ZengMDPI AGLand2073-445X2023-04-0112489010.3390/land12040890Spatial Prediction and Mapping of Gully Erosion Susceptibility Using Machine Learning Techniques in a Degraded Semi-Arid Region of KenyaKennedy Were0Syphyline Kebeney1Harrison Churu2James Mumo Mutio3Ruth Njoroge4Denis Mugaa5Boniface Alkamoi6Wilson Ng’etich7Bal Ram Singh8Kenya Agricultural and Livestock Research Organization, Kenya Soil Survey, P.O. Box 14733, Nairobi 00800, KenyaSchool of Agriculture and Biotechnology, University of Eldoret, P.O. Box 1125, Eldoret 30100, KenyaSchool of Agriculture and Biotechnology, University of Eldoret, P.O. Box 1125, Eldoret 30100, KenyaSchool of Agriculture and Biotechnology, University of Eldoret, P.O. Box 1125, Eldoret 30100, KenyaSchool of Agriculture and Biotechnology, University of Eldoret, P.O. Box 1125, Eldoret 30100, KenyaSchool of Agriculture and Biotechnology, University of Eldoret, P.O. Box 1125, Eldoret 30100, KenyaSchool of Agriculture and Biotechnology, University of Eldoret, P.O. Box 1125, Eldoret 30100, KenyaSchool of Agriculture and Biotechnology, University of Eldoret, P.O. Box 1125, Eldoret 30100, KenyaFaculty of Environmental Sciences and Natural Resource Management, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, P.O. Box 5003, 1432 Ås, NorwayThis study aimed at (i) developing, evaluating and comparing the performance of support vector machines (SVM), boosted regression trees (BRT), random forest (RF) and logistic regression (LR) models in mapping gully erosion susceptibility, and (ii) determining the important gully erosion conditioning factors (GECFs) in a Kenyan semi-arid landscape. A total of 431 geo-referenced gully erosion points were gathered through a field survey and visual interpretation of high-resolution satellite imagery on Google Earth, while 24 raster-based GECFs were retrieved from the existing geodatabases for spatial modeling and prediction. The resultant models exhibited excellent performance, although the machine learners outperformed the benchmark LR technique. Specifically, the RF and BRT models returned the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC = 0.89 each) and overall accuracy (OA = 80.2%; 79.7%, respectively), followed by the SVM and LR models (AUC = 0.86; 0.85 & OA = 79.1%; 79.6%, respectively). In addition, the importance of the GECFs varied among the models. The best-performing RF model ranked the distance to a stream, drainage density and valley depth as the three most important GECFs in the region. The output gully erosion susceptibility maps can support the efficient allocation of resources for sustainable land management in the area.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/4/890soil erosionland degradationsustainable land managementlandscape restorationspatial predictionmachine learning
spellingShingle Kennedy Were
Syphyline Kebeney
Harrison Churu
James Mumo Mutio
Ruth Njoroge
Denis Mugaa
Boniface Alkamoi
Wilson Ng’etich
Bal Ram Singh
Spatial Prediction and Mapping of Gully Erosion Susceptibility Using Machine Learning Techniques in a Degraded Semi-Arid Region of Kenya
Land
soil erosion
land degradation
sustainable land management
landscape restoration
spatial prediction
machine learning
title Spatial Prediction and Mapping of Gully Erosion Susceptibility Using Machine Learning Techniques in a Degraded Semi-Arid Region of Kenya
title_full Spatial Prediction and Mapping of Gully Erosion Susceptibility Using Machine Learning Techniques in a Degraded Semi-Arid Region of Kenya
title_fullStr Spatial Prediction and Mapping of Gully Erosion Susceptibility Using Machine Learning Techniques in a Degraded Semi-Arid Region of Kenya
title_full_unstemmed Spatial Prediction and Mapping of Gully Erosion Susceptibility Using Machine Learning Techniques in a Degraded Semi-Arid Region of Kenya
title_short Spatial Prediction and Mapping of Gully Erosion Susceptibility Using Machine Learning Techniques in a Degraded Semi-Arid Region of Kenya
title_sort spatial prediction and mapping of gully erosion susceptibility using machine learning techniques in a degraded semi arid region of kenya
topic soil erosion
land degradation
sustainable land management
landscape restoration
spatial prediction
machine learning
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/4/890
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