COVID-19 outbreaks analysis in the Valencian Region of Spain in the prelude of the third wave
IntroductionThe COVID-19 pandemic has led to unprecedented social and mobility restrictions on a global scale. Since its start in the spring of 2020, numerous scientific papers have been published on the characteristics of the virus, and the healthcare, economic and social consequences of the pandem...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Frontiers Media S.A.
2022-11-01
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| Series: | Frontiers in Public Health |
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| Online Access: | https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2022.1010124/full |
| _version_ | 1811224422363693056 |
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| author | David Fuente David Hervás Miguel Rebollo J. Alberto Conejero Nuria Oliver |
| author_facet | David Fuente David Hervás Miguel Rebollo J. Alberto Conejero Nuria Oliver |
| author_sort | David Fuente |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | IntroductionThe COVID-19 pandemic has led to unprecedented social and mobility restrictions on a global scale. Since its start in the spring of 2020, numerous scientific papers have been published on the characteristics of the virus, and the healthcare, economic and social consequences of the pandemic. However, in-depth analyses of the evolution of single coronavirus outbreaks have been rarely reported.MethodsIn this paper, we analyze the main properties of all the tracked COVID-19 outbreaks in the Valencian Region between September and December of 2020. Our analysis includes the evaluation of the origin, dynamic evolution, duration, and spatial distribution of the outbreaks.ResultsWe find that the duration of the outbreaks follows a power-law distribution: most outbreaks are controlled within 2 weeks of their onset, and only a few last more than 2 months. We do not identify any significant differences in the outbreak properties with respect to the geographical location across the entire region. Finally, we also determine the cluster size distribution of each infection origin through a Bayesian statistical model.DiscussionWe hope that our work will assist in optimizing and planning the resource assignment for future pandemic tracking efforts. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-12T08:49:06Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-16792c3cb0a949c2a69d32c4dcb449e5 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2296-2565 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-12T08:49:06Z |
| publishDate | 2022-11-01 |
| publisher | Frontiers Media S.A. |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Frontiers in Public Health |
| spelling | doaj.art-16792c3cb0a949c2a69d32c4dcb449e52022-12-22T03:39:37ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Public Health2296-25652022-11-011010.3389/fpubh.2022.10101241010124COVID-19 outbreaks analysis in the Valencian Region of Spain in the prelude of the third waveDavid Fuente0David Hervás1Miguel Rebollo2J. Alberto Conejero3Nuria Oliver4Instituto Universitario de Aplicaciones de las Tecnologías de la Información y de las Comunicaciones Avanzadas, Universitat Politècnica de València, València, SpainDepartamento de Estadística e Investigación Operativa Aplicadas y Calidad, Universitat Politècnica de València, València, SpainValencia Research Institute on Artificial Intelligence, Universitat Politècnica de València, València, SpainInstituto Universitario de Matemática Pura y Aplicada, Universitat Politècnica de València, València, SpainELLIS Alicante, Alicante, SpainIntroductionThe COVID-19 pandemic has led to unprecedented social and mobility restrictions on a global scale. Since its start in the spring of 2020, numerous scientific papers have been published on the characteristics of the virus, and the healthcare, economic and social consequences of the pandemic. However, in-depth analyses of the evolution of single coronavirus outbreaks have been rarely reported.MethodsIn this paper, we analyze the main properties of all the tracked COVID-19 outbreaks in the Valencian Region between September and December of 2020. Our analysis includes the evaluation of the origin, dynamic evolution, duration, and spatial distribution of the outbreaks.ResultsWe find that the duration of the outbreaks follows a power-law distribution: most outbreaks are controlled within 2 weeks of their onset, and only a few last more than 2 months. We do not identify any significant differences in the outbreak properties with respect to the geographical location across the entire region. Finally, we also determine the cluster size distribution of each infection origin through a Bayesian statistical model.DiscussionWe hope that our work will assist in optimizing and planning the resource assignment for future pandemic tracking efforts.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2022.1010124/fullCOVID-19SARS-CoV-2epidemiological analysisclusteroutbreak modelingbiomedical data science |
| spellingShingle | David Fuente David Hervás Miguel Rebollo J. Alberto Conejero Nuria Oliver COVID-19 outbreaks analysis in the Valencian Region of Spain in the prelude of the third wave Frontiers in Public Health COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 epidemiological analysis cluster outbreak modeling biomedical data science |
| title | COVID-19 outbreaks analysis in the Valencian Region of Spain in the prelude of the third wave |
| title_full | COVID-19 outbreaks analysis in the Valencian Region of Spain in the prelude of the third wave |
| title_fullStr | COVID-19 outbreaks analysis in the Valencian Region of Spain in the prelude of the third wave |
| title_full_unstemmed | COVID-19 outbreaks analysis in the Valencian Region of Spain in the prelude of the third wave |
| title_short | COVID-19 outbreaks analysis in the Valencian Region of Spain in the prelude of the third wave |
| title_sort | covid 19 outbreaks analysis in the valencian region of spain in the prelude of the third wave |
| topic | COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 epidemiological analysis cluster outbreak modeling biomedical data science |
| url | https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2022.1010124/full |
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