Secular Trends of Liver Cancer Mortality and Years of Life Lost in Wuhan, China 2010–2019

Background: Liver cancer has caused a heavy burden worldwide. This study aimed to estimate the trends in the mortality and years of life lost (YLL) due to liver cancer and decompose the total deaths into three contributors: population growth, population aging, and mortality change. Methods: Our stud...

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Main Authors: Yuanyuan Zhao, Donghui Yang, Yaqiong Yan, Xiaoxia Zhang, Niannian Yang, Yan Guo, Chuanhua Yu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-01-01
Series:Current Oncology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1718-7729/30/1/71
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author Yuanyuan Zhao
Donghui Yang
Yaqiong Yan
Xiaoxia Zhang
Niannian Yang
Yan Guo
Chuanhua Yu
author_facet Yuanyuan Zhao
Donghui Yang
Yaqiong Yan
Xiaoxia Zhang
Niannian Yang
Yan Guo
Chuanhua Yu
author_sort Yuanyuan Zhao
collection DOAJ
description Background: Liver cancer has caused a heavy burden worldwide. This study aimed to estimate the trends in the mortality and years of life lost (YLL) due to liver cancer and decompose the total deaths into three contributors: population growth, population aging, and mortality change. Methods: Our study used data from the cause-of-death surveillance system in Wuhan. The mortality and YLL rates were standardized according to the sixth national population census in China. This study calculated the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) to estimate the trends in the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age-standardized YLL rate (ASYR). Meanwhile, a decomposition analysis was used to explore the effect of population growth, population aging, and age-specific mortality change on the change in liver cancer deaths. Results: The ASMR of liver cancer declined at an annual rate of 4.6% from 30.87 per 100,000 people in 2010 to 20.29 per 100,000 people in 2019, while the ASYR was at an annual rate of 5.6% from 969.35 per 100,000 people in 2010 to 581.82 per 100,000 people in 2019. Similar downward trends were seen in men and women. The decomposition analysis found that total deaths number changed by −12.42% from 2010 to 2019, of which population growth and population aging caused the total death numbers to increase by 9.75% and 21.15%, while the age-specific mortality change caused the total death numbers to decrease by 43.32%. Conclusion: Although the ASMR of liver cancer has declined in recent years in Wuhan, it still causes a heavy burden with the increasing population and rapid population aging and remains an essential public health issue. The government should take measures to reduce the burden of liver cancer, especially among men.
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spelling doaj.art-169eacb703a146ab8519fa1576fe16452023-11-30T21:49:52ZengMDPI AGCurrent Oncology1198-00521718-77292023-01-0130193894810.3390/curroncol30010071Secular Trends of Liver Cancer Mortality and Years of Life Lost in Wuhan, China 2010–2019Yuanyuan Zhao0Donghui Yang1Yaqiong Yan2Xiaoxia Zhang3Niannian Yang4Yan Guo5Chuanhua Yu6Wuhan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan 430024, ChinaDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, ChinaWuhan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan 430024, ChinaWuhan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan 430024, ChinaWuhan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan 430024, ChinaWuhan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan 430024, ChinaDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, ChinaBackground: Liver cancer has caused a heavy burden worldwide. This study aimed to estimate the trends in the mortality and years of life lost (YLL) due to liver cancer and decompose the total deaths into three contributors: population growth, population aging, and mortality change. Methods: Our study used data from the cause-of-death surveillance system in Wuhan. The mortality and YLL rates were standardized according to the sixth national population census in China. This study calculated the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) to estimate the trends in the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age-standardized YLL rate (ASYR). Meanwhile, a decomposition analysis was used to explore the effect of population growth, population aging, and age-specific mortality change on the change in liver cancer deaths. Results: The ASMR of liver cancer declined at an annual rate of 4.6% from 30.87 per 100,000 people in 2010 to 20.29 per 100,000 people in 2019, while the ASYR was at an annual rate of 5.6% from 969.35 per 100,000 people in 2010 to 581.82 per 100,000 people in 2019. Similar downward trends were seen in men and women. The decomposition analysis found that total deaths number changed by −12.42% from 2010 to 2019, of which population growth and population aging caused the total death numbers to increase by 9.75% and 21.15%, while the age-specific mortality change caused the total death numbers to decrease by 43.32%. Conclusion: Although the ASMR of liver cancer has declined in recent years in Wuhan, it still causes a heavy burden with the increasing population and rapid population aging and remains an essential public health issue. The government should take measures to reduce the burden of liver cancer, especially among men.https://www.mdpi.com/1718-7729/30/1/71liver cancerdisease burdentrenddecompositionWuhan
spellingShingle Yuanyuan Zhao
Donghui Yang
Yaqiong Yan
Xiaoxia Zhang
Niannian Yang
Yan Guo
Chuanhua Yu
Secular Trends of Liver Cancer Mortality and Years of Life Lost in Wuhan, China 2010–2019
Current Oncology
liver cancer
disease burden
trend
decomposition
Wuhan
title Secular Trends of Liver Cancer Mortality and Years of Life Lost in Wuhan, China 2010–2019
title_full Secular Trends of Liver Cancer Mortality and Years of Life Lost in Wuhan, China 2010–2019
title_fullStr Secular Trends of Liver Cancer Mortality and Years of Life Lost in Wuhan, China 2010–2019
title_full_unstemmed Secular Trends of Liver Cancer Mortality and Years of Life Lost in Wuhan, China 2010–2019
title_short Secular Trends of Liver Cancer Mortality and Years of Life Lost in Wuhan, China 2010–2019
title_sort secular trends of liver cancer mortality and years of life lost in wuhan china 2010 2019
topic liver cancer
disease burden
trend
decomposition
Wuhan
url https://www.mdpi.com/1718-7729/30/1/71
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