Prediction of Pediatric Mortality in Bahrami Children's Hospital Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) based on Pediatric Index of Mortality-2 (PIM2)

Background: This study assessed to study Pediatric Index of Mortality-2 (PIM2) measure for outcome assess-ment of children admitted to pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) of Bahrami children’s hospital. Methods: A prospective cohort study was implemented in Bahrami Children’s Hospital affiliated...

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Main Authors: Payman Salamati, Mousa Zargar, Asgar Eghbalkhah, Reza Chaman, Kambiz Sotoudeh, Behdad Navabi, Zahra Mokhtari
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Isfahan University of Medical Sciences 2010-05-01
Series:مجله دانشکده پزشکی اصفهان
Online Access:http://jims.mui.ac.ir/index.php/jims/article/view/353
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author Payman Salamati
Mousa Zargar
Asgar Eghbalkhah
Reza Chaman
Kambiz Sotoudeh
Behdad Navabi
Zahra Mokhtari
author_facet Payman Salamati
Mousa Zargar
Asgar Eghbalkhah
Reza Chaman
Kambiz Sotoudeh
Behdad Navabi
Zahra Mokhtari
author_sort Payman Salamati
collection DOAJ
description Background: This study assessed to study Pediatric Index of Mortality-2 (PIM2) measure for outcome assess-ment of children admitted to pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) of Bahrami children’s hospital. Methods: A prospective cohort study was implemented in Bahrami Children’s Hospital affiliated to Tehran University of Medical Sciences. We studied consecutively all of the patients admitted in PICU from May 2007 through November 2008. Patients’ data were registered at the admission time in related to records. We calculated PIM2 measure and compared expected mortality risk with observed mortality by using logistic regression, ROC curve analysis and standardized mortality ratio. We analyzed goodness of fit of PIM2 index with Hosmer and Lemeshow test. Findings: Two hundred and forty patients were studied. Mean (standard deviation) of age was 31.427 (42.7978). one hundred and fifty (62.5%) were male and 90 (37.5%) were female. The model fitted the test data well (P = 0.741) and area under the receiver operating characteristic plot was 0.795 (0.715-0.875 for 95% C.I.) and standardized mortality ratio was 1.8 (1.28- 2.465 for 95% C.I.). Conclusion: Measurement of bilirubin with transcutaneous bilirubinometry from covered area of glabella in preterm infants undergoing phototherapy could be a useful predictor of serum bilirubin level. With this method, we could reduce blood sampling in preterm neonates. So, the need for blood transfusion, the pain from taking blood and its side effects will be reduced. Keywords: Intensive care unit, Mortality prediction, Outcome assessment, Severity of illness.
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spelling doaj.art-16bdf623e6134bd594255f96a0ac35382023-09-02T17:22:50ZfasIsfahan University of Medical Sciencesمجله دانشکده پزشکی اصفهان1027-75951735-854X2010-05-0128105345Prediction of Pediatric Mortality in Bahrami Children's Hospital Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) based on Pediatric Index of Mortality-2 (PIM2)Payman Salamati0Mousa Zargar1Asgar Eghbalkhah2Reza Chaman3Kambiz Sotoudeh4Behdad Navabi5Zahra Mokhtari6Associate Professor, Sina Trauma and Surgery Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, TehranProfessor, Sina Trauma and Surgery Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, TehranAssistant Professor, Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, TehranAssistant Professor of Epidemiology, Department of Basic Sciences, School of Medicine, Shahrood Universtiy of Medical Sciences, ShahroodResident, Department of Pathology, School of Medicine, Iran University of Medical Sciences, TehranResident, Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, TehranHead-nurse, Pediatric Intensive Care Unit, Bahrami Children's Hospital, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, TehranBackground: This study assessed to study Pediatric Index of Mortality-2 (PIM2) measure for outcome assess-ment of children admitted to pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) of Bahrami children’s hospital. Methods: A prospective cohort study was implemented in Bahrami Children’s Hospital affiliated to Tehran University of Medical Sciences. We studied consecutively all of the patients admitted in PICU from May 2007 through November 2008. Patients’ data were registered at the admission time in related to records. We calculated PIM2 measure and compared expected mortality risk with observed mortality by using logistic regression, ROC curve analysis and standardized mortality ratio. We analyzed goodness of fit of PIM2 index with Hosmer and Lemeshow test. Findings: Two hundred and forty patients were studied. Mean (standard deviation) of age was 31.427 (42.7978). one hundred and fifty (62.5%) were male and 90 (37.5%) were female. The model fitted the test data well (P = 0.741) and area under the receiver operating characteristic plot was 0.795 (0.715-0.875 for 95% C.I.) and standardized mortality ratio was 1.8 (1.28- 2.465 for 95% C.I.). Conclusion: Measurement of bilirubin with transcutaneous bilirubinometry from covered area of glabella in preterm infants undergoing phototherapy could be a useful predictor of serum bilirubin level. With this method, we could reduce blood sampling in preterm neonates. So, the need for blood transfusion, the pain from taking blood and its side effects will be reduced. Keywords: Intensive care unit, Mortality prediction, Outcome assessment, Severity of illness.http://jims.mui.ac.ir/index.php/jims/article/view/353
spellingShingle Payman Salamati
Mousa Zargar
Asgar Eghbalkhah
Reza Chaman
Kambiz Sotoudeh
Behdad Navabi
Zahra Mokhtari
Prediction of Pediatric Mortality in Bahrami Children's Hospital Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) based on Pediatric Index of Mortality-2 (PIM2)
مجله دانشکده پزشکی اصفهان
title Prediction of Pediatric Mortality in Bahrami Children's Hospital Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) based on Pediatric Index of Mortality-2 (PIM2)
title_full Prediction of Pediatric Mortality in Bahrami Children's Hospital Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) based on Pediatric Index of Mortality-2 (PIM2)
title_fullStr Prediction of Pediatric Mortality in Bahrami Children's Hospital Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) based on Pediatric Index of Mortality-2 (PIM2)
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of Pediatric Mortality in Bahrami Children's Hospital Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) based on Pediatric Index of Mortality-2 (PIM2)
title_short Prediction of Pediatric Mortality in Bahrami Children's Hospital Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) based on Pediatric Index of Mortality-2 (PIM2)
title_sort prediction of pediatric mortality in bahrami children s hospital pediatric intensive care unit picu based on pediatric index of mortality 2 pim2
url http://jims.mui.ac.ir/index.php/jims/article/view/353
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