Approaching Modern Monetary Theory with a Taylor Rule

Considering the goals of Modern Monetary Theorists, this article examines inflation stabilization and employment maximization through a Taylor Rule for fiscal policy, similar to John Taylor’s foundational examination of the behavior of the Federal Reserve. If it is the role of the federal...

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Main Authors: Ryan S. Mattson, Rex Pjesky
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-09-01
Series:Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/7/4/97
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author Ryan S. Mattson
Rex Pjesky
author_facet Ryan S. Mattson
Rex Pjesky
author_sort Ryan S. Mattson
collection DOAJ
description Considering the goals of Modern Monetary Theorists, this article examines inflation stabilization and employment maximization through a Taylor Rule for fiscal policy, similar to John Taylor’s foundational examination of the behavior of the Federal Reserve. If it is the role of the federal government to aid in the maintenance of the dual mandate of the Federal Reserve, then their behavior should follow a similar policy of setting an intermediate target of deficits relative to the maximum employment (the “Federal Job Guarantee”) and the inflation target. The paper will compare the historical data with the rule. When the predictions of the Deficit Rule are compared to historical data from 1965, we find that fiscal policy aligns with what the Deficit Rule predicts with two exceptions: the stagflation of the 1970s and the current increases in budget deficits.
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spelling doaj.art-16eed2215b054325825720c9b3084ba92022-12-22T03:10:35ZengMDPI AGEconomies2227-70992019-09-01749710.3390/economies7040097economies7040097Approaching Modern Monetary Theory with a Taylor RuleRyan S. Mattson0Rex Pjesky1Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Paul and Virginia Engler College of Business, West Texas A&M University, Canyon, TX 79016, USADepartment of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Paul and Virginia Engler College of Business, West Texas A&M University, Canyon, TX 79016, USAConsidering the goals of Modern Monetary Theorists, this article examines inflation stabilization and employment maximization through a Taylor Rule for fiscal policy, similar to John Taylor’s foundational examination of the behavior of the Federal Reserve. If it is the role of the federal government to aid in the maintenance of the dual mandate of the Federal Reserve, then their behavior should follow a similar policy of setting an intermediate target of deficits relative to the maximum employment (the “Federal Job Guarantee”) and the inflation target. The paper will compare the historical data with the rule. When the predictions of the Deficit Rule are compared to historical data from 1965, we find that fiscal policy aligns with what the Deficit Rule predicts with two exceptions: the stagflation of the 1970s and the current increases in budget deficits.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/7/4/97modern monetary theoryTaylor rule
spellingShingle Ryan S. Mattson
Rex Pjesky
Approaching Modern Monetary Theory with a Taylor Rule
Economies
modern monetary theory
Taylor rule
title Approaching Modern Monetary Theory with a Taylor Rule
title_full Approaching Modern Monetary Theory with a Taylor Rule
title_fullStr Approaching Modern Monetary Theory with a Taylor Rule
title_full_unstemmed Approaching Modern Monetary Theory with a Taylor Rule
title_short Approaching Modern Monetary Theory with a Taylor Rule
title_sort approaching modern monetary theory with a taylor rule
topic modern monetary theory
Taylor rule
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/7/4/97
work_keys_str_mv AT ryansmattson approachingmodernmonetarytheorywithataylorrule
AT rexpjesky approachingmodernmonetarytheorywithataylorrule