Comparison of the collapse frequency and failure probability of buildings
In a previous study, the collapse frequencies and associated mortalities of buildings were compiled based on various publications. The investigation showed a considerable scattering of collapse frequencies depending on the countries. In this paper, the collapse frequencies determined for buildings a...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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CTU Central Library
2022-08-01
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Series: | Acta Polytechnica CTU Proceedings |
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Online Access: | https://ojs.cvut.cz/ojs/index.php/APP/article/view/8414 |
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author | Dirk Proske Michael Schmid |
author_facet | Dirk Proske Michael Schmid |
author_sort | Dirk Proske |
collection | DOAJ |
description | In a previous study, the collapse frequencies and associated mortalities of buildings were compiled based on various publications. The investigation showed a considerable scattering of collapse frequencies depending on the countries. In this paper, the collapse frequencies determined for buildings are compared with the results of probabilistic calculations. Such comparisons have already been carried out for bridges, dams, tunnels and retaining walls including the consideration of central estimators and standard deviations. In order to limit the scatter, the probabilities of failure for buildings were subdivided into the different causes of failure, and collapse frequencies were subdivided into different countries and geographical regions. Overall, the comparison shows that the probabilities of failure are on overage larger than the observed collapse frequencies. Furthermore, the comparison shows are large span, which is unusual for other types of structures. Of concern are the high observed collapse frequencies in various developing countries. Human error, lack of training, etc. are often cited as the cause. Should this correspond to the facts, the basic safety concept of modern building standards, which generally excludes human error, would only be applicable in these regions to a limited extent. However, the investigation includes some limitations, such as different safety targets in different standards and different years of constructions, which are not considered. Further work is required. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-11T20:21:03Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-1722443125d143d9ae5c8cbd332a3baa |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2336-5382 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-11T20:21:03Z |
publishDate | 2022-08-01 |
publisher | CTU Central Library |
record_format | Article |
series | Acta Polytechnica CTU Proceedings |
spelling | doaj.art-1722443125d143d9ae5c8cbd332a3baa2022-12-22T04:04:48ZengCTU Central LibraryActa Polytechnica CTU Proceedings2336-53822022-08-013616116610.14311/APP.2022.36.01615654Comparison of the collapse frequency and failure probability of buildingsDirk Proske0Michael Schmid1Bern University of Applied Science, School of Architecture, Wood and Civil Engineering, Pestalozzistrasse 20, 3401 Burgdorf, SwitzerlandRothpletz, Lienhard + Cie AG Projektierende Bauingenieure SIA, Blumenberggasse 50, 3013 Bern, SwitzerlandIn a previous study, the collapse frequencies and associated mortalities of buildings were compiled based on various publications. The investigation showed a considerable scattering of collapse frequencies depending on the countries. In this paper, the collapse frequencies determined for buildings are compared with the results of probabilistic calculations. Such comparisons have already been carried out for bridges, dams, tunnels and retaining walls including the consideration of central estimators and standard deviations. In order to limit the scatter, the probabilities of failure for buildings were subdivided into the different causes of failure, and collapse frequencies were subdivided into different countries and geographical regions. Overall, the comparison shows that the probabilities of failure are on overage larger than the observed collapse frequencies. Furthermore, the comparison shows are large span, which is unusual for other types of structures. Of concern are the high observed collapse frequencies in various developing countries. Human error, lack of training, etc. are often cited as the cause. Should this correspond to the facts, the basic safety concept of modern building standards, which generally excludes human error, would only be applicable in these regions to a limited extent. However, the investigation includes some limitations, such as different safety targets in different standards and different years of constructions, which are not considered. Further work is required.https://ojs.cvut.cz/ojs/index.php/APP/article/view/8414buildingscollapsecollapse frequencyprobability of failure |
spellingShingle | Dirk Proske Michael Schmid Comparison of the collapse frequency and failure probability of buildings Acta Polytechnica CTU Proceedings buildings collapse collapse frequency probability of failure |
title | Comparison of the collapse frequency and failure probability of buildings |
title_full | Comparison of the collapse frequency and failure probability of buildings |
title_fullStr | Comparison of the collapse frequency and failure probability of buildings |
title_full_unstemmed | Comparison of the collapse frequency and failure probability of buildings |
title_short | Comparison of the collapse frequency and failure probability of buildings |
title_sort | comparison of the collapse frequency and failure probability of buildings |
topic | buildings collapse collapse frequency probability of failure |
url | https://ojs.cvut.cz/ojs/index.php/APP/article/view/8414 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT dirkproske comparisonofthecollapsefrequencyandfailureprobabilityofbuildings AT michaelschmid comparisonofthecollapsefrequencyandfailureprobabilityofbuildings |