A new alpha logarithmic-generated class to model precipitation data with theory and inference

Precipitation, or rainfall, is a central feature of the weather cycle and plays a vital role in sustaining life on Earth. However, existing models such as the Poisson, exponential, normal, log-normal, generalized Pareto, gamma, generalized extreme value, lognormal, beta, Gumbel, Weibull, and Pearson...

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Main Author: Aned Al Mutairi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-09-01
Series:Heliyon
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023067695
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author Aned Al Mutairi
author_facet Aned Al Mutairi
author_sort Aned Al Mutairi
collection DOAJ
description Precipitation, or rainfall, is a central feature of the weather cycle and plays a vital role in sustaining life on Earth. However, existing models such as the Poisson, exponential, normal, log-normal, generalized Pareto, gamma, generalized extreme value, lognormal, beta, Gumbel, Weibull, and Pearson type III distributions used for predicting precipitation are often inadequate for precisely representing the complex pattern of rainfall. This study proposes a novel and innovative approach to address these limitations through the new alpha logarithmic-generated (NAL-G) class of distributions. The study authors thoroughly examine the NAL-G class and a unique model, the NAL-Exponential (NAL-Exp) distribution, with a focus on analyzing mathematical properties such as moments, quantile function, entropy, order statistics, and more. Six recognized classical estimation methods are employed, and extensive simulations are conducted to determine the best one. The NAL-Exp distribution demonstrates its high adaptability and value through its superior performance in modeling four distinct rainfall data sets. The results show that the NAL-Exp distribution outperforms other commonly used distribution models, highlighting its potential as a valuable tool in hydrological modeling and analysis. The increased versatility and flexibility of this new approach hold great potential for enhancing the accuracy and reliability of future rainfall predictions.
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spelling doaj.art-1732f9c1c5a24f75b1399e79954213f12023-10-01T06:00:08ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402023-09-0199e19561A new alpha logarithmic-generated class to model precipitation data with theory and inferenceAned Al Mutairi0Department of Mathematical Sciences, College of Science, Princess Nourah Bint Abdulrahman University, P.O. Box 84428, Riyadh 11671, Saudi ArabiaPrecipitation, or rainfall, is a central feature of the weather cycle and plays a vital role in sustaining life on Earth. However, existing models such as the Poisson, exponential, normal, log-normal, generalized Pareto, gamma, generalized extreme value, lognormal, beta, Gumbel, Weibull, and Pearson type III distributions used for predicting precipitation are often inadequate for precisely representing the complex pattern of rainfall. This study proposes a novel and innovative approach to address these limitations through the new alpha logarithmic-generated (NAL-G) class of distributions. The study authors thoroughly examine the NAL-G class and a unique model, the NAL-Exponential (NAL-Exp) distribution, with a focus on analyzing mathematical properties such as moments, quantile function, entropy, order statistics, and more. Six recognized classical estimation methods are employed, and extensive simulations are conducted to determine the best one. The NAL-Exp distribution demonstrates its high adaptability and value through its superior performance in modeling four distinct rainfall data sets. The results show that the NAL-Exp distribution outperforms other commonly used distribution models, highlighting its potential as a valuable tool in hydrological modeling and analysis. The increased versatility and flexibility of this new approach hold great potential for enhancing the accuracy and reliability of future rainfall predictions.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023067695Exponential distributionGenerated classesMomentsEntropyPrecipitation (rainfall)Classical estimation techniques
spellingShingle Aned Al Mutairi
A new alpha logarithmic-generated class to model precipitation data with theory and inference
Heliyon
Exponential distribution
Generated classes
Moments
Entropy
Precipitation (rainfall)
Classical estimation techniques
title A new alpha logarithmic-generated class to model precipitation data with theory and inference
title_full A new alpha logarithmic-generated class to model precipitation data with theory and inference
title_fullStr A new alpha logarithmic-generated class to model precipitation data with theory and inference
title_full_unstemmed A new alpha logarithmic-generated class to model precipitation data with theory and inference
title_short A new alpha logarithmic-generated class to model precipitation data with theory and inference
title_sort new alpha logarithmic generated class to model precipitation data with theory and inference
topic Exponential distribution
Generated classes
Moments
Entropy
Precipitation (rainfall)
Classical estimation techniques
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023067695
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