Transportation and Air Quality Perspectives and Projections in a Mediterranean Country, the Case of Greece

This study provides a thorough review and analysis of the evolution of the Greek vehicle fleet over the last ~30 years, which is next used for the generation of high granularity fleet projections, the assessment of associated air pollution and the estimation of relevant environmental benefits by 203...

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Main Authors: Georgios C. Spyropoulos, Panagiotis T. Nastos, Konstantinos P. Moustris, Konstantinos J. Chalvatzis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-01-01
Series:Land
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/2/152
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author Georgios C. Spyropoulos
Panagiotis T. Nastos
Konstantinos P. Moustris
Konstantinos J. Chalvatzis
author_facet Georgios C. Spyropoulos
Panagiotis T. Nastos
Konstantinos P. Moustris
Konstantinos J. Chalvatzis
author_sort Georgios C. Spyropoulos
collection DOAJ
description This study provides a thorough review and analysis of the evolution of the Greek vehicle fleet over the last ~30 years, which is next used for the generation of high granularity fleet projections, the assessment of associated air pollution and the estimation of relevant environmental benefits by 2030. The integrated methodology developed takes also into account vehicle clustering and the Brown’s Double Simple Exponential Smoothing technique that, together with the adoption of COPERT-based emission factors, allow for the estimation of the anticipated emissions in 2030. Expected 2030 emissions levels suggest a reduction across all pollutants compared to 2018, ranging from 3.7% for PM<sub>10</sub> to 54.5% for NMVOC (and 46% for CO, 14% for SO<sub>2</sub>, 28% for NO<sub>X</sub> and 21% for CO<sub>2</sub>). We find that Greece is on track with national goals concerning the reduction of air pollution from the transportation sector, which designates the positive contribution anticipated by EVs and new, “greener” vehicles, and sets new challenges for the further improvement of the sector beyond the 2030 outlook.
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spelling doaj.art-174c8f156e654ae685572222437bafa32023-11-23T20:41:51ZengMDPI AGLand2073-445X2022-01-0111215210.3390/land11020152Transportation and Air Quality Perspectives and Projections in a Mediterranean Country, the Case of GreeceGeorgios C. Spyropoulos0Panagiotis T. Nastos1Konstantinos P. Moustris2Konstantinos J. Chalvatzis3Laboratory of Climatology and Atmospheric Environment, Department of Geology and Geoenvironment, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, GR-15784 Athens, GreeceLaboratory of Climatology and Atmospheric Environment, Department of Geology and Geoenvironment, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, GR-15784 Athens, GreeceLaboratory of Soft Energy Applications & Environmental Protection, Mechanical Engineering Department, University of West Attica, 250 Thivon and P. Ralli Str., GR-12244 Athens, GreeceTyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Norwich Business School, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UKThis study provides a thorough review and analysis of the evolution of the Greek vehicle fleet over the last ~30 years, which is next used for the generation of high granularity fleet projections, the assessment of associated air pollution and the estimation of relevant environmental benefits by 2030. The integrated methodology developed takes also into account vehicle clustering and the Brown’s Double Simple Exponential Smoothing technique that, together with the adoption of COPERT-based emission factors, allow for the estimation of the anticipated emissions in 2030. Expected 2030 emissions levels suggest a reduction across all pollutants compared to 2018, ranging from 3.7% for PM<sub>10</sub> to 54.5% for NMVOC (and 46% for CO, 14% for SO<sub>2</sub>, 28% for NO<sub>X</sub> and 21% for CO<sub>2</sub>). We find that Greece is on track with national goals concerning the reduction of air pollution from the transportation sector, which designates the positive contribution anticipated by EVs and new, “greener” vehicles, and sets new challenges for the further improvement of the sector beyond the 2030 outlook.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/2/152air pollutiontransportation policyvehicle fleet projectionselectric vehiclesExponential SmoothingGreece
spellingShingle Georgios C. Spyropoulos
Panagiotis T. Nastos
Konstantinos P. Moustris
Konstantinos J. Chalvatzis
Transportation and Air Quality Perspectives and Projections in a Mediterranean Country, the Case of Greece
Land
air pollution
transportation policy
vehicle fleet projections
electric vehicles
Exponential Smoothing
Greece
title Transportation and Air Quality Perspectives and Projections in a Mediterranean Country, the Case of Greece
title_full Transportation and Air Quality Perspectives and Projections in a Mediterranean Country, the Case of Greece
title_fullStr Transportation and Air Quality Perspectives and Projections in a Mediterranean Country, the Case of Greece
title_full_unstemmed Transportation and Air Quality Perspectives and Projections in a Mediterranean Country, the Case of Greece
title_short Transportation and Air Quality Perspectives and Projections in a Mediterranean Country, the Case of Greece
title_sort transportation and air quality perspectives and projections in a mediterranean country the case of greece
topic air pollution
transportation policy
vehicle fleet projections
electric vehicles
Exponential Smoothing
Greece
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/2/152
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