Sensitivity-Informed Bayesian Inference for Home PLC Network Models with Unknown Parameters

Bayesian inference is used to calibrate a bottom-up home PLC network model with unknown loads and wires at frequencies up to 30 MHz. A network topology with over 50 parameters is calibrated using global sensitivity analysis and transitional Markov Chain Monte Carlo (TMCMC). The sensitivity-informed...

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Main Authors: David S. Ching, Cosmin Safta, Thomas A. Reichardt
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-04-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/9/2402
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author David S. Ching
Cosmin Safta
Thomas A. Reichardt
author_facet David S. Ching
Cosmin Safta
Thomas A. Reichardt
author_sort David S. Ching
collection DOAJ
description Bayesian inference is used to calibrate a bottom-up home PLC network model with unknown loads and wires at frequencies up to 30 MHz. A network topology with over 50 parameters is calibrated using global sensitivity analysis and transitional Markov Chain Monte Carlo (TMCMC). The sensitivity-informed Bayesian inference computes Sobol indices for each network parameter and applies TMCMC to calibrate the most sensitive parameters for a given network topology. A greedy random search with TMCMC is used to refine the discrete random variables of the network. This results in a model that can accurately compute the transfer function despite noisy training data and a high dimensional parameter space. The model is able to infer some parameters of the network used to produce the training data, and accurately computes the transfer function under extrapolative scenarios.
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spelling doaj.art-176a116be7114ad5b796b786e9f5f3402023-11-21T16:49:47ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732021-04-01149240210.3390/en14092402Sensitivity-Informed Bayesian Inference for Home PLC Network Models with Unknown ParametersDavid S. Ching0Cosmin Safta1Thomas A. Reichardt2Sandia National Laboratories, 7011 East Ave., Livermore, CA 94550, USASandia National Laboratories, 7011 East Ave., Livermore, CA 94550, USASandia National Laboratories, 7011 East Ave., Livermore, CA 94550, USABayesian inference is used to calibrate a bottom-up home PLC network model with unknown loads and wires at frequencies up to 30 MHz. A network topology with over 50 parameters is calibrated using global sensitivity analysis and transitional Markov Chain Monte Carlo (TMCMC). The sensitivity-informed Bayesian inference computes Sobol indices for each network parameter and applies TMCMC to calibrate the most sensitive parameters for a given network topology. A greedy random search with TMCMC is used to refine the discrete random variables of the network. This results in a model that can accurately compute the transfer function despite noisy training data and a high dimensional parameter space. The model is able to infer some parameters of the network used to produce the training data, and accurately computes the transfer function under extrapolative scenarios.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/9/2402power line communications (PLC)Bayesian inferenceTransitional Markov Chain Monte Carlochannel calibrationhome network
spellingShingle David S. Ching
Cosmin Safta
Thomas A. Reichardt
Sensitivity-Informed Bayesian Inference for Home PLC Network Models with Unknown Parameters
Energies
power line communications (PLC)
Bayesian inference
Transitional Markov Chain Monte Carlo
channel calibration
home network
title Sensitivity-Informed Bayesian Inference for Home PLC Network Models with Unknown Parameters
title_full Sensitivity-Informed Bayesian Inference for Home PLC Network Models with Unknown Parameters
title_fullStr Sensitivity-Informed Bayesian Inference for Home PLC Network Models with Unknown Parameters
title_full_unstemmed Sensitivity-Informed Bayesian Inference for Home PLC Network Models with Unknown Parameters
title_short Sensitivity-Informed Bayesian Inference for Home PLC Network Models with Unknown Parameters
title_sort sensitivity informed bayesian inference for home plc network models with unknown parameters
topic power line communications (PLC)
Bayesian inference
Transitional Markov Chain Monte Carlo
channel calibration
home network
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/9/2402
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