Export Complexity and Economic Growth: Empirical Analysis for Selected CEE Countries

The principal objective of the paper is to test the hypothesis that export sophistication (complexity) rather than the volume of exports has a more robust impact on economic growth. We applied a dynamic panel specification model (system GMM) to a sample of 22 selected CEE countries in the 2009–2019...

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Main Authors: Darko Lazarov, Goce Petreski
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Institute of Economics, Zagreb 2023-01-01
Series:Croatian Economic Survey
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/451437
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author Darko Lazarov
Goce Petreski
author_facet Darko Lazarov
Goce Petreski
author_sort Darko Lazarov
collection DOAJ
description The principal objective of the paper is to test the hypothesis that export sophistication (complexity) rather than the volume of exports has a more robust impact on economic growth. We applied a dynamic panel specification model (system GMM) to a sample of 22 selected CEE countries in the 2009–2019 period. Estimated research results suggest that export still plays a significant role in determining economic growth in these countries. However, the analysis shows that export sophistication (complexity) has a predominant role in stimulating economic growth for the observed sample of countries. In addition to the main focus of the paper, estimated results show that FDI inflows have a positive and statistically significant direct and indirect impact on economic growth. Moreover, the results indicate that, apart from the direct effects of export sophistication on economic growth, it has an additional positive effect on export performance through structural transformation. When comparing the impact of export sophistication on economic growth, the difference between EU and non-EU economies seems to be mostly insignificant.
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spelling doaj.art-178a1e951b604ed08bf6a1e3c4699a862024-04-15T19:13:05ZengThe Institute of Economics, ZagrebCroatian Economic Survey1330-48601846-38782023-01-01252416510.15179/ces.25.2.2Export Complexity and Economic Growth: Empirical Analysis for Selected CEE CountriesDarko Lazarov0Goce Petreski1University “Goce Delchev” – Shtip, North MacedoniaFaculty of Economics, University “Ss. Cyril and Methodius” – Skopje, North Macedonia; Macedonian Academy of Science and ArtsThe principal objective of the paper is to test the hypothesis that export sophistication (complexity) rather than the volume of exports has a more robust impact on economic growth. We applied a dynamic panel specification model (system GMM) to a sample of 22 selected CEE countries in the 2009–2019 period. Estimated research results suggest that export still plays a significant role in determining economic growth in these countries. However, the analysis shows that export sophistication (complexity) has a predominant role in stimulating economic growth for the observed sample of countries. In addition to the main focus of the paper, estimated results show that FDI inflows have a positive and statistically significant direct and indirect impact on economic growth. Moreover, the results indicate that, apart from the direct effects of export sophistication on economic growth, it has an additional positive effect on export performance through structural transformation. When comparing the impact of export sophistication on economic growth, the difference between EU and non-EU economies seems to be mostly insignificant.https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/451437export complexityeconomic growthGMM panel regressionCEE countries
spellingShingle Darko Lazarov
Goce Petreski
Export Complexity and Economic Growth: Empirical Analysis for Selected CEE Countries
Croatian Economic Survey
export complexity
economic growth
GMM panel regression
CEE countries
title Export Complexity and Economic Growth: Empirical Analysis for Selected CEE Countries
title_full Export Complexity and Economic Growth: Empirical Analysis for Selected CEE Countries
title_fullStr Export Complexity and Economic Growth: Empirical Analysis for Selected CEE Countries
title_full_unstemmed Export Complexity and Economic Growth: Empirical Analysis for Selected CEE Countries
title_short Export Complexity and Economic Growth: Empirical Analysis for Selected CEE Countries
title_sort export complexity and economic growth empirical analysis for selected cee countries
topic export complexity
economic growth
GMM panel regression
CEE countries
url https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/451437
work_keys_str_mv AT darkolazarov exportcomplexityandeconomicgrowthempiricalanalysisforselectedceecountries
AT gocepetreski exportcomplexityandeconomicgrowthempiricalanalysisforselectedceecountries