Mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the Covid-19 - What next in combating the pandemic

Mathematical predictions in combating the epidemics are yet to reach its perfection. The rapid spread, the ways, and the procedures involved in containment of a pandemic demand the earliest understanding in finding solutions in line with the habitual, physiological, biological, and environmental asp...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: A. Anirudh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2020-01-01
Series:Infectious Disease Modelling
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S246804272030018X
Description
Summary:Mathematical predictions in combating the epidemics are yet to reach its perfection. The rapid spread, the ways, and the procedures involved in containment of a pandemic demand the earliest understanding in finding solutions in line with the habitual, physiological, biological, and environmental aspects of life with better computerised mathematical modeling and predictions. Epidemiology models are key tools in public health management programs despite having a high level of uncertainty in each one of these models. This paper describes the outcome and the challenges of SIR, SEIR, SEIRU, SIRD, SLIAR, ARIMA, SIDARTHE, etc models used in prediction of spread, peak, and reduction of Covid-19 cases.
ISSN:2468-0427