Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Wiener Processes with Considering the Relaxation Effect

Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction has great importance in prognostics and health management (PHM). Relaxation effect refers to the capacity regeneration phenomenon of lithium-ion batteries during a long rest time, which can lead to a regenerated useful time (RUT). This paper mainly studies the...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Xiaodong Xu, Chuanqiang Yu, Shengjin Tang, Xiaoyan Sun, Xiaosheng Si, Lifeng Wu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-05-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/9/1685
_version_ 1828120183951065088
author Xiaodong Xu
Chuanqiang Yu
Shengjin Tang
Xiaoyan Sun
Xiaosheng Si
Lifeng Wu
author_facet Xiaodong Xu
Chuanqiang Yu
Shengjin Tang
Xiaoyan Sun
Xiaosheng Si
Lifeng Wu
author_sort Xiaodong Xu
collection DOAJ
description Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction has great importance in prognostics and health management (PHM). Relaxation effect refers to the capacity regeneration phenomenon of lithium-ion batteries during a long rest time, which can lead to a regenerated useful time (RUT). This paper mainly studies the influence of the relaxation effect on the degradation law of lithium-ion batteries, and proposes a novel RUL prediction method based on Wiener processes. This method can simplify the modeling complexity by using the RUT to model the recovery process. First, the life cycle of a lithium-ion battery is divided into the degradation processes that eliminate the relaxation effect and the recovery processes caused by relaxation effect. Next, the degradation model, after eliminating the relaxation effect, is established based on linear Wiener processes, and the model for RUT is established by using normal distribution. Then, the prior parameters estimation method based on maximum likelihood estimation and online updating method under the Bayesian framework are proposed. Finally, the experiments are carried out according to the degradation data of lithium-ion batteries published by NASA. The results show that the method proposed in this paper can effectively improve the accuracy of RUL prediction and has a strong engineering application value.
first_indexed 2024-04-11T14:01:10Z
format Article
id doaj.art-17c28d7da9fa42f18dc7ac3c447ff6e0
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1996-1073
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-11T14:01:10Z
publishDate 2019-05-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Energies
spelling doaj.art-17c28d7da9fa42f18dc7ac3c447ff6e02022-12-22T04:20:07ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732019-05-01129168510.3390/en12091685en12091685Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Wiener Processes with Considering the Relaxation EffectXiaodong Xu0Chuanqiang Yu1Shengjin Tang2Xiaoyan Sun3Xiaosheng Si4Lifeng Wu5High-Tech Institute of Xi’an, Xi’an 710025, ChinaHigh-Tech Institute of Xi’an, Xi’an 710025, ChinaHigh-Tech Institute of Xi’an, Xi’an 710025, ChinaHigh-Tech Institute of Xi’an, Xi’an 710025, ChinaHigh-Tech Institute of Xi’an, Xi’an 710025, ChinaCollege of Information Engineering, Capital Normal University, Beijing 100048, ChinaRemaining useful life (RUL) prediction has great importance in prognostics and health management (PHM). Relaxation effect refers to the capacity regeneration phenomenon of lithium-ion batteries during a long rest time, which can lead to a regenerated useful time (RUT). This paper mainly studies the influence of the relaxation effect on the degradation law of lithium-ion batteries, and proposes a novel RUL prediction method based on Wiener processes. This method can simplify the modeling complexity by using the RUT to model the recovery process. First, the life cycle of a lithium-ion battery is divided into the degradation processes that eliminate the relaxation effect and the recovery processes caused by relaxation effect. Next, the degradation model, after eliminating the relaxation effect, is established based on linear Wiener processes, and the model for RUT is established by using normal distribution. Then, the prior parameters estimation method based on maximum likelihood estimation and online updating method under the Bayesian framework are proposed. Finally, the experiments are carried out according to the degradation data of lithium-ion batteries published by NASA. The results show that the method proposed in this paper can effectively improve the accuracy of RUL prediction and has a strong engineering application value.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/9/1685lithium-ion batteryrelaxationremaining useful liferegenerated useful timeWiener processesBayesian frameworkmaximum likelihood estimation
spellingShingle Xiaodong Xu
Chuanqiang Yu
Shengjin Tang
Xiaoyan Sun
Xiaosheng Si
Lifeng Wu
Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Wiener Processes with Considering the Relaxation Effect
Energies
lithium-ion battery
relaxation
remaining useful life
regenerated useful time
Wiener processes
Bayesian framework
maximum likelihood estimation
title Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Wiener Processes with Considering the Relaxation Effect
title_full Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Wiener Processes with Considering the Relaxation Effect
title_fullStr Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Wiener Processes with Considering the Relaxation Effect
title_full_unstemmed Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Wiener Processes with Considering the Relaxation Effect
title_short Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Wiener Processes with Considering the Relaxation Effect
title_sort remaining useful life prediction of lithium ion batteries based on wiener processes with considering the relaxation effect
topic lithium-ion battery
relaxation
remaining useful life
regenerated useful time
Wiener processes
Bayesian framework
maximum likelihood estimation
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/9/1685
work_keys_str_mv AT xiaodongxu remainingusefullifepredictionoflithiumionbatteriesbasedonwienerprocesseswithconsideringtherelaxationeffect
AT chuanqiangyu remainingusefullifepredictionoflithiumionbatteriesbasedonwienerprocesseswithconsideringtherelaxationeffect
AT shengjintang remainingusefullifepredictionoflithiumionbatteriesbasedonwienerprocesseswithconsideringtherelaxationeffect
AT xiaoyansun remainingusefullifepredictionoflithiumionbatteriesbasedonwienerprocesseswithconsideringtherelaxationeffect
AT xiaoshengsi remainingusefullifepredictionoflithiumionbatteriesbasedonwienerprocesseswithconsideringtherelaxationeffect
AT lifengwu remainingusefullifepredictionoflithiumionbatteriesbasedonwienerprocesseswithconsideringtherelaxationeffect