Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture

<p>Agricultural production and food prices are affected by hydroclimatic extremes. There has been a growing amount of literature measuring the impacts of individual extreme events (heat stress or water stress) on agricultural and human systems. Yet, we lack a comprehensive understanding of the...

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Main Authors: I. Haqiqi, D. S. Grogan, T. W. Hertel, W. Schlenker
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2021-02-01
Series:Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Online Access:https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/25/551/2021/hess-25-551-2021.pdf
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author I. Haqiqi
D. S. Grogan
T. W. Hertel
T. W. Hertel
W. Schlenker
W. Schlenker
author_facet I. Haqiqi
D. S. Grogan
T. W. Hertel
T. W. Hertel
W. Schlenker
W. Schlenker
author_sort I. Haqiqi
collection DOAJ
description <p>Agricultural production and food prices are affected by hydroclimatic extremes. There has been a growing amount of literature measuring the impacts of individual extreme events (heat stress or water stress) on agricultural and human systems. Yet, we lack a comprehensive understanding of the significance and the magnitude of the impacts of compound extremes. This study combines a fine-scale weather product with outputs of a hydrological model to construct functional metrics of individual and compound hydroclimatic extremes for agriculture. Then, a yield response function is estimated with individual and compound metrics, focusing on corn in the United States during the 1981–2015 period. Supported by statistical evidence, the findings suggest that metrics of compound hydroclimatic extremes are better predictors of corn yield variations than metrics of individual extremes. The results also confirm that wet heat is more damaging than dry heat for corn. This study shows the average yield damage from heat stress has been up to four times more severe when combined with water stress.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-17cece28e69c4510bc754a4ece39d1b02022-12-21T23:43:30ZengCopernicus PublicationsHydrology and Earth System Sciences1027-56061607-79382021-02-012555156410.5194/hess-25-551-2021Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agricultureI. Haqiqi0D. S. Grogan1T. W. Hertel2T. W. Hertel3W. Schlenker4W. Schlenker5Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, USAInstitute for the Study of Earth, Oceans, and Space, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH, USADepartment of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, USAPurdue Climate Change Research Center, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, USASchool of International and Public Affairs, Columbia University, New York, NY, USANational Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA, USA<p>Agricultural production and food prices are affected by hydroclimatic extremes. There has been a growing amount of literature measuring the impacts of individual extreme events (heat stress or water stress) on agricultural and human systems. Yet, we lack a comprehensive understanding of the significance and the magnitude of the impacts of compound extremes. This study combines a fine-scale weather product with outputs of a hydrological model to construct functional metrics of individual and compound hydroclimatic extremes for agriculture. Then, a yield response function is estimated with individual and compound metrics, focusing on corn in the United States during the 1981–2015 period. Supported by statistical evidence, the findings suggest that metrics of compound hydroclimatic extremes are better predictors of corn yield variations than metrics of individual extremes. The results also confirm that wet heat is more damaging than dry heat for corn. This study shows the average yield damage from heat stress has been up to four times more severe when combined with water stress.</p>https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/25/551/2021/hess-25-551-2021.pdf
spellingShingle I. Haqiqi
D. S. Grogan
T. W. Hertel
T. W. Hertel
W. Schlenker
W. Schlenker
Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
title Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture
title_full Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture
title_fullStr Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture
title_full_unstemmed Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture
title_short Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture
title_sort quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture
url https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/25/551/2021/hess-25-551-2021.pdf
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