Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture
<p>Agricultural production and food prices are affected by hydroclimatic extremes. There has been a growing amount of literature measuring the impacts of individual extreme events (heat stress or water stress) on agricultural and human systems. Yet, we lack a comprehensive understanding of the...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Copernicus Publications
2021-02-01
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Series: | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences |
Online Access: | https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/25/551/2021/hess-25-551-2021.pdf |
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author | I. Haqiqi D. S. Grogan T. W. Hertel T. W. Hertel W. Schlenker W. Schlenker |
author_facet | I. Haqiqi D. S. Grogan T. W. Hertel T. W. Hertel W. Schlenker W. Schlenker |
author_sort | I. Haqiqi |
collection | DOAJ |
description | <p>Agricultural production and food prices are affected by
hydroclimatic extremes. There has been a growing amount of literature measuring the impacts of individual extreme events (heat stress or water stress) on agricultural and human systems. Yet, we lack a comprehensive understanding of the significance and the magnitude of the impacts of compound extremes. This study combines a fine-scale weather product with outputs of a hydrological model to construct functional metrics of individual and compound hydroclimatic extremes for agriculture. Then, a yield response function is estimated with individual and compound metrics, focusing on corn in the United States during the 1981–2015 period. Supported by statistical evidence, the findings suggest that metrics of compound hydroclimatic extremes are better predictors of corn yield variations than metrics of individual extremes. The results also confirm that wet heat is more damaging than dry heat for corn. This study shows the average yield damage from heat stress has been up to four times more severe when combined with water stress.</p> |
first_indexed | 2024-12-13T13:43:18Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-17cece28e69c4510bc754a4ece39d1b0 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1027-5606 1607-7938 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-12-13T13:43:18Z |
publishDate | 2021-02-01 |
publisher | Copernicus Publications |
record_format | Article |
series | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences |
spelling | doaj.art-17cece28e69c4510bc754a4ece39d1b02022-12-21T23:43:30ZengCopernicus PublicationsHydrology and Earth System Sciences1027-56061607-79382021-02-012555156410.5194/hess-25-551-2021Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agricultureI. Haqiqi0D. S. Grogan1T. W. Hertel2T. W. Hertel3W. Schlenker4W. Schlenker5Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, USAInstitute for the Study of Earth, Oceans, and Space, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH, USADepartment of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, USAPurdue Climate Change Research Center, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, USASchool of International and Public Affairs, Columbia University, New York, NY, USANational Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA, USA<p>Agricultural production and food prices are affected by hydroclimatic extremes. There has been a growing amount of literature measuring the impacts of individual extreme events (heat stress or water stress) on agricultural and human systems. Yet, we lack a comprehensive understanding of the significance and the magnitude of the impacts of compound extremes. This study combines a fine-scale weather product with outputs of a hydrological model to construct functional metrics of individual and compound hydroclimatic extremes for agriculture. Then, a yield response function is estimated with individual and compound metrics, focusing on corn in the United States during the 1981–2015 period. Supported by statistical evidence, the findings suggest that metrics of compound hydroclimatic extremes are better predictors of corn yield variations than metrics of individual extremes. The results also confirm that wet heat is more damaging than dry heat for corn. This study shows the average yield damage from heat stress has been up to four times more severe when combined with water stress.</p>https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/25/551/2021/hess-25-551-2021.pdf |
spellingShingle | I. Haqiqi D. S. Grogan T. W. Hertel T. W. Hertel W. Schlenker W. Schlenker Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture Hydrology and Earth System Sciences |
title | Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture |
title_full | Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture |
title_fullStr | Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture |
title_full_unstemmed | Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture |
title_short | Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture |
title_sort | quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture |
url | https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/25/551/2021/hess-25-551-2021.pdf |
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