Statistical Measure for Risk-seeking Stochastic Wind Power Offering Strategies in Electricity Markets

This study proposes a statistical measure and a stochastic optimization model for generating risk-seeking wind power offering strategies in electricity markets. Inspired by the value at risk (VaR) to quantify risks in the worst-case scenarios of a profit distribution, a statistical measure is propos...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Dongliang Xiao, Haoyong Chen, Chun Wei, Xiaoqing Bai
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2022-01-01
Series:Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9642711/
Description
Summary:This study proposes a statistical measure and a stochastic optimization model for generating risk-seeking wind power offering strategies in electricity markets. Inspired by the value at risk (VaR) to quantify risks in the worst-case scenarios of a profit distribution, a statistical measure is proposed to quantify potential high profits in the best-case scenarios of a profit distribution, which is referred to as value at best (VaB) in the best-case scenarios. Then, a stochastic optimization model based on VaB is developed for a risk-seeking wind power producer, which is formulated as a mixed-integer linear programming problem. By adjusting the parameters in the proposed model, the wind power producer can flexibly manage the potential high profits in the best-case scenarios from the probabilistic perspective. Finally, the proposed statistical measure and riskseeking stochastic optimization model are verified through case studies.
ISSN:2196-5420