Statistical Measure for Risk-seeking Stochastic Wind Power Offering Strategies in Electricity Markets

This study proposes a statistical measure and a stochastic optimization model for generating risk-seeking wind power offering strategies in electricity markets. Inspired by the value at risk (VaR) to quantify risks in the worst-case scenarios of a profit distribution, a statistical measure is propos...

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Main Authors: Dongliang Xiao, Haoyong Chen, Chun Wei, Xiaoqing Bai
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2022-01-01
Series:Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9642711/
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author Dongliang Xiao
Haoyong Chen
Chun Wei
Xiaoqing Bai
author_facet Dongliang Xiao
Haoyong Chen
Chun Wei
Xiaoqing Bai
author_sort Dongliang Xiao
collection DOAJ
description This study proposes a statistical measure and a stochastic optimization model for generating risk-seeking wind power offering strategies in electricity markets. Inspired by the value at risk (VaR) to quantify risks in the worst-case scenarios of a profit distribution, a statistical measure is proposed to quantify potential high profits in the best-case scenarios of a profit distribution, which is referred to as value at best (VaB) in the best-case scenarios. Then, a stochastic optimization model based on VaB is developed for a risk-seeking wind power producer, which is formulated as a mixed-integer linear programming problem. By adjusting the parameters in the proposed model, the wind power producer can flexibly manage the potential high profits in the best-case scenarios from the probabilistic perspective. Finally, the proposed statistical measure and riskseeking stochastic optimization model are verified through case studies.
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spelling doaj.art-17d48b48496d44bba817c50e14eff6b32022-12-22T03:17:48ZengIEEEJournal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy2196-54202022-01-011051437144210.35833/MPCE.2021.0002189642711Statistical Measure for Risk-seeking Stochastic Wind Power Offering Strategies in Electricity MarketsDongliang Xiao0Haoyong Chen1Chun Wei2Xiaoqing Bai3School of Electric Power, South China University of Technology,Guangzhou,China,510641School of Electric Power, South China University of Technology,Guangzhou,China,510641College of Information Engineering, Zhejiang University of Technology,Hangzhou,ChinaSchool of Electrical Engineering, Guangxi University,Nanning,ChinaThis study proposes a statistical measure and a stochastic optimization model for generating risk-seeking wind power offering strategies in electricity markets. Inspired by the value at risk (VaR) to quantify risks in the worst-case scenarios of a profit distribution, a statistical measure is proposed to quantify potential high profits in the best-case scenarios of a profit distribution, which is referred to as value at best (VaB) in the best-case scenarios. Then, a stochastic optimization model based on VaB is developed for a risk-seeking wind power producer, which is formulated as a mixed-integer linear programming problem. By adjusting the parameters in the proposed model, the wind power producer can flexibly manage the potential high profits in the best-case scenarios from the probabilistic perspective. Finally, the proposed statistical measure and riskseeking stochastic optimization model are verified through case studies.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9642711/Electricity marketrisk-seekingstatistical measurestochastic optimizationwind power
spellingShingle Dongliang Xiao
Haoyong Chen
Chun Wei
Xiaoqing Bai
Statistical Measure for Risk-seeking Stochastic Wind Power Offering Strategies in Electricity Markets
Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy
Electricity market
risk-seeking
statistical measure
stochastic optimization
wind power
title Statistical Measure for Risk-seeking Stochastic Wind Power Offering Strategies in Electricity Markets
title_full Statistical Measure for Risk-seeking Stochastic Wind Power Offering Strategies in Electricity Markets
title_fullStr Statistical Measure for Risk-seeking Stochastic Wind Power Offering Strategies in Electricity Markets
title_full_unstemmed Statistical Measure for Risk-seeking Stochastic Wind Power Offering Strategies in Electricity Markets
title_short Statistical Measure for Risk-seeking Stochastic Wind Power Offering Strategies in Electricity Markets
title_sort statistical measure for risk seeking stochastic wind power offering strategies in electricity markets
topic Electricity market
risk-seeking
statistical measure
stochastic optimization
wind power
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9642711/
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AT haoyongchen statisticalmeasureforriskseekingstochasticwindpowerofferingstrategiesinelectricitymarkets
AT chunwei statisticalmeasureforriskseekingstochasticwindpowerofferingstrategiesinelectricitymarkets
AT xiaoqingbai statisticalmeasureforriskseekingstochasticwindpowerofferingstrategiesinelectricitymarkets