THE EVOLUTION OF ANNUAL MEAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION QUANTITY VARIABILITY BASED ON ESTIMATED CHANGES BY THE REGIONAL CLIMATIC MODELS

Climatic changes are representing one of the major challenges of our century, these being forcasted according to climate scenarios and models, which represent plausible and concrete images of future climatic conditions. The results of climate models comparison regarding future water resources and te...

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Main Authors: Paula Furtună, I. H. Holobâcă
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cluj University Press 2013-03-01
Series:Aerul şi Apa: Componente ale Mediului
Subjects:
Online Access:http://aerapa.conference.ubbcluj.ro/2013/pdf/48%20Furtuna_Holobaca%20383_390.pdf
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author Paula Furtună
I. H. Holobâcă
author_facet Paula Furtună
I. H. Holobâcă
author_sort Paula Furtună
collection DOAJ
description Climatic changes are representing one of the major challenges of our century, these being forcasted according to climate scenarios and models, which represent plausible and concrete images of future climatic conditions. The results of climate models comparison regarding future water resources and temperature regime trend can become a useful instrument for decision makers in choosing the most effective decisions regarding economic, social and ecologic levels. The aim of this article is the analysis of temperature and pluviometric variability at the closest grid point to Cluj-Napoca, based on data provided by six different regional climate models (RCMs). Analysed on 30 year periods (2001-2030,2031-2060 and 2061-2090), the mean temperature has an ascending general trend, with great varability between periods. The precipitation expressed trough percentage deviation shows a descending general trend, which is more emphazied during 2031-2060 and 2061-2090.
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spelling doaj.art-18206c629dac46eba45749be7d0fd9962023-12-02T11:49:53ZengCluj University PressAerul şi Apa: Componente ale Mediului2067-743X2013-03-012013383390THE EVOLUTION OF ANNUAL MEAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION QUANTITY VARIABILITY BASED ON ESTIMATED CHANGES BY THE REGIONAL CLIMATIC MODELSPaula FurtunăI. H. HolobâcăClimatic changes are representing one of the major challenges of our century, these being forcasted according to climate scenarios and models, which represent plausible and concrete images of future climatic conditions. The results of climate models comparison regarding future water resources and temperature regime trend can become a useful instrument for decision makers in choosing the most effective decisions regarding economic, social and ecologic levels. The aim of this article is the analysis of temperature and pluviometric variability at the closest grid point to Cluj-Napoca, based on data provided by six different regional climate models (RCMs). Analysed on 30 year periods (2001-2030,2031-2060 and 2061-2090), the mean temperature has an ascending general trend, with great varability between periods. The precipitation expressed trough percentage deviation shows a descending general trend, which is more emphazied during 2031-2060 and 2061-2090.http://aerapa.conference.ubbcluj.ro/2013/pdf/48%20Furtuna_Holobaca%20383_390.pdfregional climatic modelsforecasted changestemperature regimepluviometric regimeclimatic variability.
spellingShingle Paula Furtună
I. H. Holobâcă
THE EVOLUTION OF ANNUAL MEAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION QUANTITY VARIABILITY BASED ON ESTIMATED CHANGES BY THE REGIONAL CLIMATIC MODELS
Aerul şi Apa: Componente ale Mediului
regional climatic models
forecasted changes
temperature regime
pluviometric regime
climatic variability.
title THE EVOLUTION OF ANNUAL MEAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION QUANTITY VARIABILITY BASED ON ESTIMATED CHANGES BY THE REGIONAL CLIMATIC MODELS
title_full THE EVOLUTION OF ANNUAL MEAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION QUANTITY VARIABILITY BASED ON ESTIMATED CHANGES BY THE REGIONAL CLIMATIC MODELS
title_fullStr THE EVOLUTION OF ANNUAL MEAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION QUANTITY VARIABILITY BASED ON ESTIMATED CHANGES BY THE REGIONAL CLIMATIC MODELS
title_full_unstemmed THE EVOLUTION OF ANNUAL MEAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION QUANTITY VARIABILITY BASED ON ESTIMATED CHANGES BY THE REGIONAL CLIMATIC MODELS
title_short THE EVOLUTION OF ANNUAL MEAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION QUANTITY VARIABILITY BASED ON ESTIMATED CHANGES BY THE REGIONAL CLIMATIC MODELS
title_sort evolution of annual mean temperature and precipitation quantity variability based on estimated changes by the regional climatic models
topic regional climatic models
forecasted changes
temperature regime
pluviometric regime
climatic variability.
url http://aerapa.conference.ubbcluj.ro/2013/pdf/48%20Furtuna_Holobaca%20383_390.pdf
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