Winter precipitation and cyclones in the Mediterranean region: future climate scenarios in a regional simulation
Future climate projections show higher/lower winter (Dec-Jan-Feb) precipitation in the northern/southern Mediterranean region than in present climate conditions. This paper analyzes the results of regional model simulations of the A2 and B2 scenarios, which confirm this opposite precipitation change...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Copernicus Publications
2007-11-01
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| Series: | Advances in Geosciences |
| Online Access: | http://www.adv-geosci.net/12/153/2007/adgeo-12-153-2007.pdf |
| _version_ | 1828454053903859712 |
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| author | P. Lionello F. Giorgi |
| author_facet | P. Lionello F. Giorgi |
| author_sort | P. Lionello |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Future climate projections show higher/lower winter (Dec-Jan-Feb) precipitation in the northern/southern Mediterranean region than in present climate conditions. This paper analyzes the results of regional model simulations of the A2 and B2 scenarios, which confirm this opposite precipitation change and link it to the change of cyclone activity. The increase of the winter cyclone activity in future climate scenarios over western Europe is responsible for the larger precipitation at the northern coast of the basin, though the bulk of the change is located outside the Mediterranean region. The reduction of cyclone activity inside the Mediterranean region in future scenarios is responsible for the lower precipitation at the southern and eastern Mediterranean coast. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-11T00:16:46Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-18304697ae8545a49adac57cbeacbba3 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1680-7340 1680-7359 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-11T00:16:46Z |
| publishDate | 2007-11-01 |
| publisher | Copernicus Publications |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Advances in Geosciences |
| spelling | doaj.art-18304697ae8545a49adac57cbeacbba32022-12-22T01:27:55ZengCopernicus PublicationsAdvances in Geosciences1680-73401680-73592007-11-0112153158Winter precipitation and cyclones in the Mediterranean region: future climate scenarios in a regional simulationP. LionelloF. GiorgiFuture climate projections show higher/lower winter (Dec-Jan-Feb) precipitation in the northern/southern Mediterranean region than in present climate conditions. This paper analyzes the results of regional model simulations of the A2 and B2 scenarios, which confirm this opposite precipitation change and link it to the change of cyclone activity. The increase of the winter cyclone activity in future climate scenarios over western Europe is responsible for the larger precipitation at the northern coast of the basin, though the bulk of the change is located outside the Mediterranean region. The reduction of cyclone activity inside the Mediterranean region in future scenarios is responsible for the lower precipitation at the southern and eastern Mediterranean coast.http://www.adv-geosci.net/12/153/2007/adgeo-12-153-2007.pdf |
| spellingShingle | P. Lionello F. Giorgi Winter precipitation and cyclones in the Mediterranean region: future climate scenarios in a regional simulation Advances in Geosciences |
| title | Winter precipitation and cyclones in the Mediterranean region: future climate scenarios in a regional simulation |
| title_full | Winter precipitation and cyclones in the Mediterranean region: future climate scenarios in a regional simulation |
| title_fullStr | Winter precipitation and cyclones in the Mediterranean region: future climate scenarios in a regional simulation |
| title_full_unstemmed | Winter precipitation and cyclones in the Mediterranean region: future climate scenarios in a regional simulation |
| title_short | Winter precipitation and cyclones in the Mediterranean region: future climate scenarios in a regional simulation |
| title_sort | winter precipitation and cyclones in the mediterranean region future climate scenarios in a regional simulation |
| url | http://www.adv-geosci.net/12/153/2007/adgeo-12-153-2007.pdf |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT plionello winterprecipitationandcyclonesinthemediterraneanregionfutureclimatescenariosinaregionalsimulation AT fgiorgi winterprecipitationandcyclonesinthemediterraneanregionfutureclimatescenariosinaregionalsimulation |