Bayes factor benefits for clinical psychology: review of child and adolescent evidence base [version 2; peer review: 2 approved]

Background: Statistical methods are a cornerstone of research in clinical psychology and are used in clinical trials and reviews to determine the best available evidence. The most widespread statistical framework, frequentist statistics, is often misunderstood and misused. Even when properly applied...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Sondre Sverd Rekdal, Asle Hoffart, Rune Zahl-Olsen, Thomas B. Bertelsen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: F1000 Research Ltd 2022-09-01
Series:F1000Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://f1000research.com/articles/11-171/v2
_version_ 1797663920447553536
author Sondre Sverd Rekdal
Asle Hoffart
Rune Zahl-Olsen
Thomas B. Bertelsen
author_facet Sondre Sverd Rekdal
Asle Hoffart
Rune Zahl-Olsen
Thomas B. Bertelsen
author_sort Sondre Sverd Rekdal
collection DOAJ
description Background: Statistical methods are a cornerstone of research in clinical psychology and are used in clinical trials and reviews to determine the best available evidence. The most widespread statistical framework, frequentist statistics, is often misunderstood and misused. Even when properly applied, this framework can lead to erroneous conclusions and unnecessarily prolonged trials. The implications for clinical psychology are difficulties in interpreting best available evidence and unnecessarily costly and burdensome research. An alternative framework, Bayesian statistics, is proposed as a solution to several issues with current practice. Methods: Statistical tests of primary outcome measures were extracted from 272 studies, which were cited in 11 recent reviews in the Evidence-based updates series in the Journal of Clinical Child and Adolescent Psychology. The extracted tests were examined regarding relevant features and re-analyzed using Bayes Factors. Results: When statistical tests were significant, the majority (98%) of re-analyzed tests agreed with such claims. When statistical tests were nonsignificant almost half (43%) of re-analyzed tests disagreed with such claims. Equally important for clinical research, an average of 13% fewer participants per study would have been required if the studies had used Bayes Factors. Conclusions: Bayes Factors offer benefits for research in clinical psychology through intuitive interpretations, and less costly trials.
first_indexed 2024-03-11T19:21:45Z
format Article
id doaj.art-185dbf10e0c743768c68628a823cf106
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2046-1402
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-11T19:21:45Z
publishDate 2022-09-01
publisher F1000 Research Ltd
record_format Article
series F1000Research
spelling doaj.art-185dbf10e0c743768c68628a823cf1062023-10-07T00:00:00ZengF1000 Research LtdF1000Research2046-14022022-09-0111138892Bayes factor benefits for clinical psychology: review of child and adolescent evidence base [version 2; peer review: 2 approved]Sondre Sverd Rekdal0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4830-0654Asle Hoffart1Rune Zahl-Olsen2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3747-4184Thomas B. Bertelsen3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3497-5290Department of Child and Adolescent Mental Health, Sørlandet sykehus, Kristiansand, Agder, 4615, NorwayResearch institute of Modum Bad psychiatric hospital, Vikersund, NorwayDepartment of Child and Adolescent Mental Health, Sørlandet sykehus, Kristiansand, Agder, 4615, NorwayDepartment of Child and Adolescent Mental Health, Sørlandet sykehus, Kristiansand, Agder, 4615, NorwayBackground: Statistical methods are a cornerstone of research in clinical psychology and are used in clinical trials and reviews to determine the best available evidence. The most widespread statistical framework, frequentist statistics, is often misunderstood and misused. Even when properly applied, this framework can lead to erroneous conclusions and unnecessarily prolonged trials. The implications for clinical psychology are difficulties in interpreting best available evidence and unnecessarily costly and burdensome research. An alternative framework, Bayesian statistics, is proposed as a solution to several issues with current practice. Methods: Statistical tests of primary outcome measures were extracted from 272 studies, which were cited in 11 recent reviews in the Evidence-based updates series in the Journal of Clinical Child and Adolescent Psychology. The extracted tests were examined regarding relevant features and re-analyzed using Bayes Factors. Results: When statistical tests were significant, the majority (98%) of re-analyzed tests agreed with such claims. When statistical tests were nonsignificant almost half (43%) of re-analyzed tests disagreed with such claims. Equally important for clinical research, an average of 13% fewer participants per study would have been required if the studies had used Bayes Factors. Conclusions: Bayes Factors offer benefits for research in clinical psychology through intuitive interpretations, and less costly trials.https://f1000research.com/articles/11-171/v2evidence-based Bayesian Bayes Factor clinical psychology child and adolescent psychologyeng
spellingShingle Sondre Sverd Rekdal
Asle Hoffart
Rune Zahl-Olsen
Thomas B. Bertelsen
Bayes factor benefits for clinical psychology: review of child and adolescent evidence base [version 2; peer review: 2 approved]
F1000Research
evidence-based
Bayesian
Bayes Factor
clinical psychology
child and adolescent psychology
eng
title Bayes factor benefits for clinical psychology: review of child and adolescent evidence base [version 2; peer review: 2 approved]
title_full Bayes factor benefits for clinical psychology: review of child and adolescent evidence base [version 2; peer review: 2 approved]
title_fullStr Bayes factor benefits for clinical psychology: review of child and adolescent evidence base [version 2; peer review: 2 approved]
title_full_unstemmed Bayes factor benefits for clinical psychology: review of child and adolescent evidence base [version 2; peer review: 2 approved]
title_short Bayes factor benefits for clinical psychology: review of child and adolescent evidence base [version 2; peer review: 2 approved]
title_sort bayes factor benefits for clinical psychology review of child and adolescent evidence base version 2 peer review 2 approved
topic evidence-based
Bayesian
Bayes Factor
clinical psychology
child and adolescent psychology
eng
url https://f1000research.com/articles/11-171/v2
work_keys_str_mv AT sondresverdrekdal bayesfactorbenefitsforclinicalpsychologyreviewofchildandadolescentevidencebaseversion2peerreview2approved
AT aslehoffart bayesfactorbenefitsforclinicalpsychologyreviewofchildandadolescentevidencebaseversion2peerreview2approved
AT runezahlolsen bayesfactorbenefitsforclinicalpsychologyreviewofchildandadolescentevidencebaseversion2peerreview2approved
AT thomasbbertelsen bayesfactorbenefitsforclinicalpsychologyreviewofchildandadolescentevidencebaseversion2peerreview2approved