MEDIA AND POLICY: An Application of Cox Proportional Hazard Model to Evaluate Population Policy of Pakistan

In developing countries like Pakistan, the family planning program has been the principal instrument of a population policy to influence fertility behaviour and preferences. For effective implementation of such programmes, media plays a crucial role to bring awareness among people. Through informati...

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Main Authors: Muhammad KASHIF, Alvina Sabah IDREES, Raees ASLAM
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Applied Economics Research Centre, University of Karachi 2022-06-01
Series:Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.aerc.edu.pk/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/Paper-946-KASHIF-IV-1.pdf
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author Muhammad KASHIF
Alvina Sabah IDREES
Raees ASLAM
author_facet Muhammad KASHIF
Alvina Sabah IDREES
Raees ASLAM
author_sort Muhammad KASHIF
collection DOAJ
description In developing countries like Pakistan, the family planning program has been the principal instrument of a population policy to influence fertility behaviour and preferences. For effective implementation of such programmes, media plays a crucial role to bring awareness among people. Through information sharing, media helps restructure society’s preferences to bring them in line with the set policy targets. This study undertakes the analysis in retrospect by evaluating the Population Policy of Pakistan 2002. The use of family planning methods was increased and incentivised through media coverage. The Cox proportional hazard model is applied to explore the extent to which the policy remained effective in influencing fertility behaviour by an increase in contraceptive use through a mass media campaign. The childbearing dynamics of women is analysed using data from Pakistan Demographic and Health Survey (PDHS) 2012-13. The women’s age group included in the analysis is between 15 to 32 years. The data is segregated into 3-year calendar periods, divided into six groups, ranging over the time period from 1995 to 2012. The indicator of media coverage has been used to capture policy intervention while controlling for women’s education, wealth quintile index, and rural urban divide. Results show that the policy of 2002 effectively increased the birth gaps only for a higher order of childbirth and mass media played an important role in bringing awareness about contraceptive usage.
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spelling doaj.art-18808c28ffba44088bd82a78c23558942022-12-22T04:24:45ZengApplied Economics Research Centre, University of KarachiPakistan Journal of Applied Economics0254-92042519-04312022-06-013215174MEDIA AND POLICY: An Application of Cox Proportional Hazard Model to Evaluate Population Policy of PakistanMuhammad KASHIF0Alvina Sabah IDREES1Raees ASLAM2M.Phil ScholarAssistant ProfessorLecturer, Department of Economics, Government College Uni- versity, LahoreIn developing countries like Pakistan, the family planning program has been the principal instrument of a population policy to influence fertility behaviour and preferences. For effective implementation of such programmes, media plays a crucial role to bring awareness among people. Through information sharing, media helps restructure society’s preferences to bring them in line with the set policy targets. This study undertakes the analysis in retrospect by evaluating the Population Policy of Pakistan 2002. The use of family planning methods was increased and incentivised through media coverage. The Cox proportional hazard model is applied to explore the extent to which the policy remained effective in influencing fertility behaviour by an increase in contraceptive use through a mass media campaign. The childbearing dynamics of women is analysed using data from Pakistan Demographic and Health Survey (PDHS) 2012-13. The women’s age group included in the analysis is between 15 to 32 years. The data is segregated into 3-year calendar periods, divided into six groups, ranging over the time period from 1995 to 2012. The indicator of media coverage has been used to capture policy intervention while controlling for women’s education, wealth quintile index, and rural urban divide. Results show that the policy of 2002 effectively increased the birth gaps only for a higher order of childbirth and mass media played an important role in bringing awareness about contraceptive usage.http://www.aerc.edu.pk/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/Paper-946-KASHIF-IV-1.pdfdemographyfertilityfamily planningmedia
spellingShingle Muhammad KASHIF
Alvina Sabah IDREES
Raees ASLAM
MEDIA AND POLICY: An Application of Cox Proportional Hazard Model to Evaluate Population Policy of Pakistan
Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics
demography
fertility
family planning
media
title MEDIA AND POLICY: An Application of Cox Proportional Hazard Model to Evaluate Population Policy of Pakistan
title_full MEDIA AND POLICY: An Application of Cox Proportional Hazard Model to Evaluate Population Policy of Pakistan
title_fullStr MEDIA AND POLICY: An Application of Cox Proportional Hazard Model to Evaluate Population Policy of Pakistan
title_full_unstemmed MEDIA AND POLICY: An Application of Cox Proportional Hazard Model to Evaluate Population Policy of Pakistan
title_short MEDIA AND POLICY: An Application of Cox Proportional Hazard Model to Evaluate Population Policy of Pakistan
title_sort media and policy an application of cox proportional hazard model to evaluate population policy of pakistan
topic demography
fertility
family planning
media
url http://www.aerc.edu.pk/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/Paper-946-KASHIF-IV-1.pdf
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AT raeesaslam mediaandpolicyanapplicationofcoxproportionalhazardmodeltoevaluatepopulationpolicyofpakistan