Information, incentives, and goals in election forecasts
Presidential elections can be forecast using information from political and economic conditions, polls, and a statistical model of changes in public opinion over time. However, these ``knowns'' about how to make a good presidential election forecast come with many unknowns due to the chall...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Cambridge University Press
2020-09-01
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| Series: | Judgment and Decision Making |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://journal.sjdm.org/20/200907b/jdm200907b.pdf |