On model fitting and estimation of strictly stationary processes

Stationary processes have been extensively studied in the literature. Their applications include modeling and forecasting numerous real life phenomena such as natural disasters, sales and market movements. When stationary processes are considered, modeling is traditionally based on fitting an autore...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Marko Voutilainen, Lauri Viitasaari, Pauliina Ilmonen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: VTeX 2017-12-01
Series:Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications
Subjects:
Online Access:https://vmsta.vtex.vmt/doi/10.15559/17-VMSTA91
Description
Summary:Stationary processes have been extensively studied in the literature. Their applications include modeling and forecasting numerous real life phenomena such as natural disasters, sales and market movements. When stationary processes are considered, modeling is traditionally based on fitting an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) process. However, we challenge this conventional approach. Instead of fitting an ARMA model, we apply an AR(1) characterization in modeling any strictly stationary processes. Moreover, we derive consistent and asymptotically normal estimators of the corresponding model parameter.
ISSN:2351-6046
2351-6054