Pretrial release judgments and decision fatigue

Field studies in many domains have found evidence of decision fatigue, a phenomenon describing how decision quality can be impaired by the act of making previous decisions. Debate remains, however, over posited psychological mechanisms underlying decision fatigue, and the size of effects in high-sta...

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Main Authors: Ravi Shroff, Konstantinos Vamvourellis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2022-11-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500009384/type/journal_article
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author Ravi Shroff
Konstantinos Vamvourellis
author_facet Ravi Shroff
Konstantinos Vamvourellis
author_sort Ravi Shroff
collection DOAJ
description Field studies in many domains have found evidence of decision fatigue, a phenomenon describing how decision quality can be impaired by the act of making previous decisions. Debate remains, however, over posited psychological mechanisms underlying decision fatigue, and the size of effects in high-stakes settings. We examine an extensive set of pretrial arraignments in a large, urban court system to investigate how judicial release and bail decisions are influenced by the time an arraignment occurs. We find that release rates decline modestly in the hours before lunch and before dinner, and these declines persist after statistically adjusting for an extensive set of observed covariates. However, we find no evidence that arraignment time affects pretrial release rates in the remainder of each decision-making session. Moreover, we find that release rates remain unchanged after a meal break even though judges have the opportunity to replenish their mental and physical resources by resting and eating. In a complementary analysis, we find that the rate at which judges concur with prosecutorial bail requests does not appear to be influenced by either arraignment time or a meal break. Taken together, our results imply that to the extent that decision fatigue plays a role in pretrial release judgments, effects are small and inconsistent with previous explanations implicating psychological depletion processes.
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spelling doaj.art-18aa8bae2ce346c8b5dd6d5fa23f309c2023-09-03T13:42:58ZengCambridge University PressJudgment and Decision Making1930-29752022-11-01171176120710.1017/S1930297500009384Pretrial release judgments and decision fatigueRavi Shroff0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3783-9630Konstantinos Vamvourellis1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7355-6865Department of Applied Statistics, Social Science, and Humanities, New York UniversityDepartment of Statistics, London School of EconomicsField studies in many domains have found evidence of decision fatigue, a phenomenon describing how decision quality can be impaired by the act of making previous decisions. Debate remains, however, over posited psychological mechanisms underlying decision fatigue, and the size of effects in high-stakes settings. We examine an extensive set of pretrial arraignments in a large, urban court system to investigate how judicial release and bail decisions are influenced by the time an arraignment occurs. We find that release rates decline modestly in the hours before lunch and before dinner, and these declines persist after statistically adjusting for an extensive set of observed covariates. However, we find no evidence that arraignment time affects pretrial release rates in the remainder of each decision-making session. Moreover, we find that release rates remain unchanged after a meal break even though judges have the opportunity to replenish their mental and physical resources by resting and eating. In a complementary analysis, we find that the rate at which judges concur with prosecutorial bail requests does not appear to be influenced by either arraignment time or a meal break. Taken together, our results imply that to the extent that decision fatigue plays a role in pretrial release judgments, effects are small and inconsistent with previous explanations implicating psychological depletion processes.https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500009384/type/journal_articlejudicial decision makingdecision fatiguemental depletionpretrial detention
spellingShingle Ravi Shroff
Konstantinos Vamvourellis
Pretrial release judgments and decision fatigue
Judgment and Decision Making
judicial decision making
decision fatigue
mental depletion
pretrial detention
title Pretrial release judgments and decision fatigue
title_full Pretrial release judgments and decision fatigue
title_fullStr Pretrial release judgments and decision fatigue
title_full_unstemmed Pretrial release judgments and decision fatigue
title_short Pretrial release judgments and decision fatigue
title_sort pretrial release judgments and decision fatigue
topic judicial decision making
decision fatigue
mental depletion
pretrial detention
url https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500009384/type/journal_article
work_keys_str_mv AT ravishroff pretrialreleasejudgmentsanddecisionfatigue
AT konstantinosvamvourellis pretrialreleasejudgmentsanddecisionfatigue