Automatic Threshold Setting and Its Uncertainty Quantification in Wind Turbine Condition Monitoring System

Setting optimal alarm thresholds in vibration based condition monitoring system is inherently difficult. There are no established thresholds for many vibration based measurements. Most of the time, the thresholds are set based on statistics of the collected data available. Often times the underlying...

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Main Authors: Kun S. Marhadi, Georgios Alexandros Skrimpas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Prognostics and Health Management Society 2015-12-01
Series:International Journal of Prognostics and Health Management
Subjects:
Online Access:https://papers.phmsociety.org/index.php/ijphm/article/view/2291
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author Kun S. Marhadi
Georgios Alexandros Skrimpas
author_facet Kun S. Marhadi
Georgios Alexandros Skrimpas
author_sort Kun S. Marhadi
collection DOAJ
description Setting optimal alarm thresholds in vibration based condition monitoring system is inherently difficult. There are no established thresholds for many vibration based measurements. Most of the time, the thresholds are set based on statistics of the collected data available. Often times the underlying probability distribution that describes the data is not known. Choosing an incorrect distribution to describe the data and then setting up thresholds based on the chosen distribution could result in sub-optimal thresholds. Moreover, in wind turbine applications the collected data available may not represent the whole operating conditions of a turbine, which results in uncertainty in the parameters of the fitted probability distribution and the thresholds calculated. In this study, Johnson, Normal, and Weibull distributions are investigated; which distribution can best fit vibration data collected from a period of time. False alarm rate resulted from using threshold determined from each distribution is used as a measure to determine which distribution is the most appropriate. This study shows that using Johnson distribution can eliminate testing or fitting various distributions to the data, and have more direct approach to obtain optimal thresholds. To quantify uncertainty in the thresholds due to limited data, implementations with bootstrap method and Bayesian inference are investigated.
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spelling doaj.art-18e8c1fa5b2a42c3a67b79a25498683c2022-12-21T18:23:38ZengThe Prognostics and Health Management SocietyInternational Journal of Prognostics and Health Management2153-26482153-26482015-12-0164doi:10.36001/ijphm.2015.v6i4.2291Automatic Threshold Setting and Its Uncertainty Quantification in Wind Turbine Condition Monitoring SystemKun S. Marhadi0Georgios Alexandros Skrimpas1Brüel & Kjær Vibro A/S, 2850 Nærum, DenmarkBrüel & Kjær Vibro A/S, 2850 Nærum, DenmarkSetting optimal alarm thresholds in vibration based condition monitoring system is inherently difficult. There are no established thresholds for many vibration based measurements. Most of the time, the thresholds are set based on statistics of the collected data available. Often times the underlying probability distribution that describes the data is not known. Choosing an incorrect distribution to describe the data and then setting up thresholds based on the chosen distribution could result in sub-optimal thresholds. Moreover, in wind turbine applications the collected data available may not represent the whole operating conditions of a turbine, which results in uncertainty in the parameters of the fitted probability distribution and the thresholds calculated. In this study, Johnson, Normal, and Weibull distributions are investigated; which distribution can best fit vibration data collected from a period of time. False alarm rate resulted from using threshold determined from each distribution is used as a measure to determine which distribution is the most appropriate. This study shows that using Johnson distribution can eliminate testing or fitting various distributions to the data, and have more direct approach to obtain optimal thresholds. To quantify uncertainty in the thresholds due to limited data, implementations with bootstrap method and Bayesian inference are investigated.https://papers.phmsociety.org/index.php/ijphm/article/view/2291uncertainty quantificationjohnson distributionalarm thresholdwind turbine condition monitoring
spellingShingle Kun S. Marhadi
Georgios Alexandros Skrimpas
Automatic Threshold Setting and Its Uncertainty Quantification in Wind Turbine Condition Monitoring System
International Journal of Prognostics and Health Management
uncertainty quantification
johnson distribution
alarm threshold
wind turbine condition monitoring
title Automatic Threshold Setting and Its Uncertainty Quantification in Wind Turbine Condition Monitoring System
title_full Automatic Threshold Setting and Its Uncertainty Quantification in Wind Turbine Condition Monitoring System
title_fullStr Automatic Threshold Setting and Its Uncertainty Quantification in Wind Turbine Condition Monitoring System
title_full_unstemmed Automatic Threshold Setting and Its Uncertainty Quantification in Wind Turbine Condition Monitoring System
title_short Automatic Threshold Setting and Its Uncertainty Quantification in Wind Turbine Condition Monitoring System
title_sort automatic threshold setting and its uncertainty quantification in wind turbine condition monitoring system
topic uncertainty quantification
johnson distribution
alarm threshold
wind turbine condition monitoring
url https://papers.phmsociety.org/index.php/ijphm/article/view/2291
work_keys_str_mv AT kunsmarhadi automaticthresholdsettinganditsuncertaintyquantificationinwindturbineconditionmonitoringsystem
AT georgiosalexandrosskrimpas automaticthresholdsettinganditsuncertaintyquantificationinwindturbineconditionmonitoringsystem