Note on AR(1)-characterisation of stationary processes and model fitting

It was recently proved that any strictly stationary stochastic process can be viewed as an autoregressive process of order one with coloured noise. Furthermore, it was proved that, using this characterisation, one can define closed form estimators for the model parameter based on autocovariance esti...

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Main Authors: Marko Voutilainen, Lauri Viitasaari, Pauliina Ilmonen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: VTeX 2019-03-01
Series:Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.vmsta.org/doi/10.15559/19-VMSTA132
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author Marko Voutilainen
Lauri Viitasaari
Pauliina Ilmonen
author_facet Marko Voutilainen
Lauri Viitasaari
Pauliina Ilmonen
author_sort Marko Voutilainen
collection DOAJ
description It was recently proved that any strictly stationary stochastic process can be viewed as an autoregressive process of order one with coloured noise. Furthermore, it was proved that, using this characterisation, one can define closed form estimators for the model parameter based on autocovariance estimators for several different lags. However, this estimation procedure may fail in some special cases. In this article, a detailed analysis of these special cases is provided. In particular, it is proved that these cases correspond to degenerate processes.
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spelling doaj.art-193207670d73412595c9690febdb33002022-12-21T18:15:40ZengVTeXModern Stochastics: Theory and Applications2351-60462351-60542019-03-016219520710.15559/19-VMSTA132Note on AR(1)-characterisation of stationary processes and model fittingMarko Voutilainen0Lauri Viitasaari1Pauliina Ilmonen2Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis, Aalto University School of Science, P.O. Box 11100, FI-00076 Aalto, FinlandDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Helsinki, P.O. Box 68, FI-00014 University of Helsinki, FinlandDepartment of Mathematics and Systems Analysis, Aalto University School of Science, P.O. Box 11100, FI-00076 Aalto, FinlandIt was recently proved that any strictly stationary stochastic process can be viewed as an autoregressive process of order one with coloured noise. Furthermore, it was proved that, using this characterisation, one can define closed form estimators for the model parameter based on autocovariance estimators for several different lags. However, this estimation procedure may fail in some special cases. In this article, a detailed analysis of these special cases is provided. In particular, it is proved that these cases correspond to degenerate processes.https://www.vmsta.org/doi/10.15559/19-VMSTA132AR(1)-characterisationstationary processescovariance functions
spellingShingle Marko Voutilainen
Lauri Viitasaari
Pauliina Ilmonen
Note on AR(1)-characterisation of stationary processes and model fitting
Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications
AR(1)-characterisation
stationary processes
covariance functions
title Note on AR(1)-characterisation of stationary processes and model fitting
title_full Note on AR(1)-characterisation of stationary processes and model fitting
title_fullStr Note on AR(1)-characterisation of stationary processes and model fitting
title_full_unstemmed Note on AR(1)-characterisation of stationary processes and model fitting
title_short Note on AR(1)-characterisation of stationary processes and model fitting
title_sort note on ar 1 characterisation of stationary processes and model fitting
topic AR(1)-characterisation
stationary processes
covariance functions
url https://www.vmsta.org/doi/10.15559/19-VMSTA132
work_keys_str_mv AT markovoutilainen noteonar1characterisationofstationaryprocessesandmodelfitting
AT lauriviitasaari noteonar1characterisationofstationaryprocessesandmodelfitting
AT pauliinailmonen noteonar1characterisationofstationaryprocessesandmodelfitting