Natural variability in hard-bottom communities and possible drivers assessed by a time-series study in the SW Baltic Sea: know the noise to detect the change

In order to detect shifts in community structure and function associated with global change, the natural background fluctuation in these traits must be known. In a 6 yr study we characterized the composition of young benthic communities at 7 sites along the 300 km coast of the Kiel and Lübeck bights...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: M. Wahl, H.-H. Hinrichsen, A. Lehmann, M. Lenz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2013-07-01
Series:Biogeosciences
Online Access:http://www.biogeosciences.net/10/5227/2013/bg-10-5227-2013.pdf
_version_ 1818066410269573120
author M. Wahl
H.-H. Hinrichsen
A. Lehmann
M. Lenz
author_facet M. Wahl
H.-H. Hinrichsen
A. Lehmann
M. Lenz
author_sort M. Wahl
collection DOAJ
description In order to detect shifts in community structure and function associated with global change, the natural background fluctuation in these traits must be known. In a 6 yr study we characterized the composition of young benthic communities at 7 sites along the 300 km coast of the Kiel and Lübeck bights in the German Baltic Sea and we quantified their interannual variability of taxonomic and functional composition. Along the salinity gradient from NW to SE, the relative abundance of primary producers decreased while that of heterotrophs increased. Along the same gradient, annual productivity tended to increase. Taxonomic and functional richness were higher in Kiel Bight as compared to Lübeck Bight. With increasing species richness functional group richness showed saturation indicating an increasing functional redundancy in species rich communities. While taxonomic fluctuations between years were substantial, functionality of the communities seem preserved in most cases. Environmental conditions potentially driving these fluctuations are winter temperatures and current regimes. We tentatively define a confidence range of natural variability in taxonomic and functional composition a departure from which might help identifying an ongoing regime shift driven by global change. In addition, we propose to use RELATE, a statistical procedure in the PRIMER (Plymouth Routines in Multivariate Ecological Research) package to distinguish directional shifts in time ("signal") from natural temporal fluctuations ("noise").
first_indexed 2024-12-10T15:07:20Z
format Article
id doaj.art-1936ffcdb0074716bf968bcb9b0dd35c
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1726-4170
1726-4189
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-10T15:07:20Z
publishDate 2013-07-01
publisher Copernicus Publications
record_format Article
series Biogeosciences
spelling doaj.art-1936ffcdb0074716bf968bcb9b0dd35c2022-12-22T01:44:01ZengCopernicus PublicationsBiogeosciences1726-41701726-41892013-07-011075227524210.5194/bg-10-5227-2013Natural variability in hard-bottom communities and possible drivers assessed by a time-series study in the SW Baltic Sea: know the noise to detect the changeM. WahlH.-H. HinrichsenA. LehmannM. LenzIn order to detect shifts in community structure and function associated with global change, the natural background fluctuation in these traits must be known. In a 6 yr study we characterized the composition of young benthic communities at 7 sites along the 300 km coast of the Kiel and Lübeck bights in the German Baltic Sea and we quantified their interannual variability of taxonomic and functional composition. Along the salinity gradient from NW to SE, the relative abundance of primary producers decreased while that of heterotrophs increased. Along the same gradient, annual productivity tended to increase. Taxonomic and functional richness were higher in Kiel Bight as compared to Lübeck Bight. With increasing species richness functional group richness showed saturation indicating an increasing functional redundancy in species rich communities. While taxonomic fluctuations between years were substantial, functionality of the communities seem preserved in most cases. Environmental conditions potentially driving these fluctuations are winter temperatures and current regimes. We tentatively define a confidence range of natural variability in taxonomic and functional composition a departure from which might help identifying an ongoing regime shift driven by global change. In addition, we propose to use RELATE, a statistical procedure in the PRIMER (Plymouth Routines in Multivariate Ecological Research) package to distinguish directional shifts in time ("signal") from natural temporal fluctuations ("noise").http://www.biogeosciences.net/10/5227/2013/bg-10-5227-2013.pdf
spellingShingle M. Wahl
H.-H. Hinrichsen
A. Lehmann
M. Lenz
Natural variability in hard-bottom communities and possible drivers assessed by a time-series study in the SW Baltic Sea: know the noise to detect the change
Biogeosciences
title Natural variability in hard-bottom communities and possible drivers assessed by a time-series study in the SW Baltic Sea: know the noise to detect the change
title_full Natural variability in hard-bottom communities and possible drivers assessed by a time-series study in the SW Baltic Sea: know the noise to detect the change
title_fullStr Natural variability in hard-bottom communities and possible drivers assessed by a time-series study in the SW Baltic Sea: know the noise to detect the change
title_full_unstemmed Natural variability in hard-bottom communities and possible drivers assessed by a time-series study in the SW Baltic Sea: know the noise to detect the change
title_short Natural variability in hard-bottom communities and possible drivers assessed by a time-series study in the SW Baltic Sea: know the noise to detect the change
title_sort natural variability in hard bottom communities and possible drivers assessed by a time series study in the sw baltic sea know the noise to detect the change
url http://www.biogeosciences.net/10/5227/2013/bg-10-5227-2013.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT mwahl naturalvariabilityinhardbottomcommunitiesandpossibledriversassessedbyatimeseriesstudyintheswbalticseaknowthenoisetodetectthechange
AT hhhinrichsen naturalvariabilityinhardbottomcommunitiesandpossibledriversassessedbyatimeseriesstudyintheswbalticseaknowthenoisetodetectthechange
AT alehmann naturalvariabilityinhardbottomcommunitiesandpossibledriversassessedbyatimeseriesstudyintheswbalticseaknowthenoisetodetectthechange
AT mlenz naturalvariabilityinhardbottomcommunitiesandpossibledriversassessedbyatimeseriesstudyintheswbalticseaknowthenoisetodetectthechange